Elim Garak
Veteran
If Republicans somehow lost Texas that shyt would be wild. 
That's a very blue area.
That's a very blue area.
The official early voting mail in ballot data thread
- Thread starter Elim Garak
- Start date
1/1
Florida Turnout (October 21)
@FloridaGOP +18,899 over @FlaDems
- GOP: 679,644 (40.5%)
- DEM: 660,745 (39.3%)
- OTH: 338,751 (20.2%)
Statewide turnout is R+1.1
Dems outperforming GOP in 57/67 counties.
See county-level data here: FreshTake.Vote
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
Florida Turnout (October 21)
@FloridaGOP +18,899 over @FlaDems
- GOP: 679,644 (40.5%)
- DEM: 660,745 (39.3%)
- OTH: 338,751 (20.2%)
Statewide turnout is R+1.1
Dems outperforming GOP in 57/67 counties.
See county-level data here: FreshTake.Vote
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
I voted about 3 weeks ago via absentee ballet. Got an email a week ago saying my vote had been counted.
Kornball The Conqueror
Superstar
Dem always win early votes
Absentee ballets won Biden the election in 2019/2020. I think it will do the same for Harris. Trump has never won the popular vote.
Elim Garak
Veteran
That's actually not true. That was one election 2020.
Historical the more people who vote, the more likely Dems win. If there is a record turnout, they are liking blue.
Belize King
I got concepts of a plan.
My wife pressed me this morning like "Did you vote yet?"
I told her that this is Illinois. It don't matter if I did or didn't or whoever I would've voted for. I also told her I'm not sold on Kamala yet, just so she can get an attitude and I can watch college football in peace
the cac mamba
Banned
would be a real shame if they got some bad weather
Clayton Endicott
Superstar
This is exactly why he moved heaven and earth to try and squash mail in ballots and installed Dejoy as postmaster general. He said himself that he feared republicans would never win the white house again if those were allowed.
12/22
@VoteHubUS
Georgia
Early voting update
In-person: 1,594,723 ballots
Mail: 99,623 ballots
Statewide turnout: 23.5%
Gender breakdown: 55.3% Female, 44.5% Male
Race breakdown: 59.3% White, 27.4% Black, 13.3% Other
White turnout: 27.0%
Black turnout: 21.5%
Turnout for each county shown below. https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-turnout
13/22
@DelonFerdinand
Really comes down to if white woman are more for Harris or Trump and everything we’ve seen is they are for Harris this cycle. So this to me seems very promising
14/22
@H1M_16
Women are pissed
15/22
@DebunkM9790
Trump is toast.
16/22
@happy_cali
Question: you have (2) different references to race % breakdown. What’s the difference between the two (59.3/27.4 v 27.0/21.5)
17/22
@ANTO1324
Interesting
18/22
@Ceo_Branding
This would seem to favor Harris. But the analytics suggest Trump would win if election was today.
But things like this provide glitches in the matrix. A few key thoughts:
[Quoted tweet]
If the election were held today, Donald Trump would win!
Polls like Emerson show Trump gaining momentum, indicating a clear pattern of acceleration over the last 60 days.
However, the election isn’t today, and the Harris campaign seems to be rolling out strategic countermeasures.
Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are dialed in more on their closing message toward big-tent optimism, hosting events with Liz Cheney and focusing on a broader, more favorable view of America. While yes, the Cheney collab may seem odd, there is a group of Republicans that voted for George W Bush and Harris efforts may get them to abstain on their presidential vote or support her.
The question remains: is there enough time to sway voters, or will the clock run out?
There are signs that Harris’s approach might be working. A new Associated Press-NORC poll shows Harris at 51% favorability compared to Trump’s 40% favorability and 58% unfavorable with 46% of voters preferring Harris on middle-class taxes.
Voters remain divided on key issues like the economy, with Trump still holding a slight edge on tariffs and immigration.
However, the Harris campaign’s focus on core issues like taxes and housing may be starting to resonate, as her favorability ratings rise and some of Trump’s traditional advantages fade.
The real question is whether this late momentum can be sustained in key swing states, or if Trump’s consistent base and ability to shift around the narrative outlast Harris’s late surge.
Time will tell if her coalition-building and optimistic messaging can sway enough undecided voters.
Will Harris strategy work or will time run out?
Or do you believe this race is already over?
19/22
@StevenValdezII1
Maga has Georgia! They don’t want no more illegal immigrants
20/22
@lolwutbrosef
Black women carrying the state of GA since 2020
21/22
@croatiandaddi
Women are going to deliver this election for Harris 🩵
22/22
@CaptainUltraPr1
Vote for Harris!
No more MAGA filth!
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
@VoteHubUS
Georgia
Early voting update
In-person: 1,594,723 ballots
Mail: 99,623 ballots
Statewide turnout: 23.5%
Gender breakdown: 55.3% Female, 44.5% Male
Race breakdown: 59.3% White, 27.4% Black, 13.3% Other
White turnout: 27.0%
Black turnout: 21.5%
Turnout for each county shown below. https://sos.ga.gov/page/election-data-hub-turnout
13/22
@DelonFerdinand
Really comes down to if white woman are more for Harris or Trump and everything we’ve seen is they are for Harris this cycle. So this to me seems very promising
14/22
@H1M_16
Women are pissed
15/22
@DebunkM9790
Trump is toast.
16/22
@happy_cali
Question: you have (2) different references to race % breakdown. What’s the difference between the two (59.3/27.4 v 27.0/21.5)
17/22
@ANTO1324
Interesting
18/22
@Ceo_Branding
This would seem to favor Harris. But the analytics suggest Trump would win if election was today.
But things like this provide glitches in the matrix. A few key thoughts:
[Quoted tweet]
If the election were held today, Donald Trump would win!
Polls like Emerson show Trump gaining momentum, indicating a clear pattern of acceleration over the last 60 days.
However, the election isn’t today, and the Harris campaign seems to be rolling out strategic countermeasures.
Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are dialed in more on their closing message toward big-tent optimism, hosting events with Liz Cheney and focusing on a broader, more favorable view of America. While yes, the Cheney collab may seem odd, there is a group of Republicans that voted for George W Bush and Harris efforts may get them to abstain on their presidential vote or support her.
The question remains: is there enough time to sway voters, or will the clock run out?
There are signs that Harris’s approach might be working. A new Associated Press-NORC poll shows Harris at 51% favorability compared to Trump’s 40% favorability and 58% unfavorable with 46% of voters preferring Harris on middle-class taxes.
Voters remain divided on key issues like the economy, with Trump still holding a slight edge on tariffs and immigration.
However, the Harris campaign’s focus on core issues like taxes and housing may be starting to resonate, as her favorability ratings rise and some of Trump’s traditional advantages fade.
The real question is whether this late momentum can be sustained in key swing states, or if Trump’s consistent base and ability to shift around the narrative outlast Harris’s late surge.
Time will tell if her coalition-building and optimistic messaging can sway enough undecided voters.
Will Harris strategy work or will time run out?
Or do you believe this race is already over?
19/22
@StevenValdezII1
Maga has Georgia! They don’t want no more illegal immigrants
20/22
@lolwutbrosef
Black women carrying the state of GA since 2020
21/22
@croatiandaddi
Women are going to deliver this election for Harris 🩵
22/22
@CaptainUltraPr1
Vote for Harris!
No more MAGA filth!
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
1/2
~14,000 more Clark county mail ballots processed per @JohnRSamuelsen
NEVADA statewide ->
Total mail ballots returned: 154,943 (D+12)
Total early ballots cast: 104,729 (R+24)
Republican 101,178 votes (39%)
Democratic 95,290 votes (37%)
️ Other 63,204 votes (24%)
2/2
Democrats gained about 1700 in this batch
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
~14,000 more Clark county mail ballots processed per @JohnRSamuelsen
NEVADA statewide ->
Total mail ballots returned: 154,943 (D+12)
Total early ballots cast: 104,729 (R+24)
Republican 101,178 votes (39%) Democratic 95,290 votes (37%)️ Other 63,204 votes (24%)2/2
Democrats gained about 1700 in this batch
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1/1
Newest Total - Mail Ballots - Clark County, NV
10/21/2024
Dem 50,385 (45.4%) +20,307
Rep 30,078 (27.1%)
Other 30,514 (27.5%)
Total 110,977
More mail ballots were in the mail file last night than reported by the SOS. Dems have a bigger firewall than we thought from yesterday.
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
Newest Total - Mail Ballots - Clark County, NV
10/21/2024
Dem 50,385 (45.4%) +20,307
Rep 30,078 (27.1%)
Other 30,514 (27.5%)
Total 110,977
More mail ballots were in the mail file last night than reported by the SOS. Dems have a bigger firewall than we thought from yesterday.
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
1/2
I've been saying for several days now that the early vote looks strong for Dems in MI. A huge driver for that is turnout among modeled Dem women. At this point in '20 GOP women were turning out at a higher rate than Dem women (3.6 pts), right now Dem women have a 5.7 pt advantage
2/2
2010, 2014, you know... the elections where a majority of Americans voted for Republicans.
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
I've been saying for several days now that the early vote looks strong for Dems in MI. A huge driver for that is turnout among modeled Dem women. At this point in '20 GOP women were turning out at a higher rate than Dem women (3.6 pts), right now Dem women have a 5.7 pt advantage
2/2
2010, 2014, you know... the elections where a majority of Americans voted for Republicans.
To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
