Ok let's suppose it was 2 months.
It would be irresponsible to make any judgments about any player's ability on June 1st or whatever.
That's the equivalent.
The only New York athletes with any heart are Jalen Brunson and Francisco Lindor
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It would be irresponsible to make any judgments about any player's ability on June 1st or whatever.
That's the equivalent.
AnonymityX1000
Veteran
That's impossible criteria. The person who has the most playoff ABs Jeter has 650, 2nd is Bernie at 465 who by your standards doesn't have a big enough sample size. lol
Convenient for your theory. The playoffs present a different pressure than the regular season and is going to obviously have a smaller sample size so 'one great season' analogy doesn't work.
I don't understand why that's an impossible criteria.
You need a lot of sample to trust the numbers because there's a lot of volatility. The inherent nature of the playoffs does mean that ALL playoff stats are unreliable.
There's nothing wrong with that.
200 ABs, 650 ABs just doesn't mean anything in the big picture.
AnonymityX1000
Veteran
We observe with our own eyes players rising to the occasion because of and crumbling because of playoff pressure. It's nonsensical to the say it's impossible to measure the difference between regular season and playoff performance of players.
It's a narrative argument that isn't backed up statistically though.
Those below are the top 10 players in Playoff ABs.
Their averages or OPS from Regular Season to Playoffs is nearly identical...with maybe exceptions for David Justice and Tino Martinez -- though you should notice that as playoff ABs decrease, the volatility increases also. Makes sense, right? Less ABs mean more noise.
It's not a coincidence that the players at the top of the list have the most similar numbers.
| Player | Regular Season | Postseason |
| Derek Jeter | .310/.377/.440 | .308/.374/.465 |
| Bernie Williams | .297/.381/.477 | .275/.371/.480 |
| Jose Altuve | .306/.363/.468 | .271/.337/.505 |
| Jorge Posada | .273/.374/.474 | 248/.358/.387 |
| Manny Ramirez | .312/.411/.585 | .285/.394/.544 |
| David Justice | .279/.378/.500 | .224/.335/.382 |
| Kenny Lofton | .299/.372/.423 | .247/.315/.352 |
| Yadier Molina | .277/.327/.399 | .273/.326/.357 |
| Alex Bregman | .272/.366/.483 | .238/.346/.443 |
| Tino Martinez | .271/.344/.471 | .233/.321/.351 |
AnonymityX1000
Veteran
Hitting in the playoffs is more difficult than the regular season. You acknowledged the heightened pressure and we all know the pitching is consistently better. So matching your regular season stats is more difficult. Blindly looking at statistics also doesn't account for the situation RBIs/HR were produced. But I guess that wouldn't matter because it's an even smaller sample size. lol
If Judge was slumping in April (and he was) you wouldn't use the clutch narrative.
You'd recognize it as just pressing, variance, slump, whatever.
I made this thread using a narrative that does go against my personal beliefs in the math, but I trust people see this thread for what it actually is.
That said, you asked me about my thoughts on clutch and I gave my reasons.
AnonymityX1000
Veteran
If he was struggling in April but all his RBIs he did get were game tying or game winning I would say he was clutch.
Trojan 24
Veteran
fukk this reverse jinx thread 
This aint 2004, breh.fukk this reverse jinx thread
I have no delusions over how this series ends.
Whips-n-Chains
Chi
Please no more Giants national televised games. Please
Soldier
not redeemed with gold but with His Blood
tonight’s hero was without a doubt hometown kid Anthony Volpe, with one clutch grand slam homerun And two stolen bases.
His homerun in the bottom of the 3rd inning was the turning point of game 4, the yanks never looked back after that moment.
Brunson and Lindor have new company now.
His homerun in the bottom of the 3rd inning was the turning point of game 4, the yanks never looked back after that moment.
Brunson and Lindor have new company now.
It's going to take more than that.