Good teams can be hit with injuries or have gotten old
- See the Spurs the year before they drafted Duncan. 59 wins one year. Robinson goes down and they end up with 20 wins
- See the Heat before they drafted Beasley - Wade gets hurt. Shaq is limping then bounces.
- See Miami before they got Wade - Mourning got sick. Hardaway got hurt. The rest of the team was just old
And this is not about the top pick. The top pick is only a big deal when you have one of those once in a lifetime players about to declare for the draft. To me a team thats tanking shouldnt be rewarded with any of the top 5 picks, period. But again notice i said teams that are tanking. Teams that just are bad and need the talent should be fascilitated in getting it.
My probem is when you have a team that finishes among the bottom of the league in wins 2,3 years in a row. One year is okay (see Miami and San Antonio). 2 years is cause for concern. 3 years...You're not getting any of the top 5 picks, period