TLR 2022 midterm election watch thread

Hoshi_Toshi

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NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong

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I think Warnock will pull it out. Dems are more motivated to get back out. The Kemp voters got what they wanted.

Idk

Good amount of Kemp-Warnock voters may not be motivated to show up again.

How motivated can a R voter that voted Kemp be to show up again to vote against Walker?

Warnock needs to get voters to show up that didnt on election night
 

Elim Garak

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Idk

Good amount of Kemp-Warnock voters may not be motivated to show up again.

How motivated can a R voter that voted Kemp be to show up again to vote against Walker?

Warnock needs to get voters to show up that didnt on election night
Who is going to show up that didn't? They had record early voting numbers this ain't happening. Democrats simply need to message better and spend money for the runoff they need to find something and stick with it with discipline.
 

NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong

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Who is going to show up that didn't? They had record early voting numbers this ain't happening. Democrats simply need to message better and spend money for the runoff they need to find something and stick with it with discipline.

I'm saying Republican voters who voted Warnock wont show up to vote Warnock a second time

Edit sorry misread

Maybe people who lean dem but dont like Abrams

Does that number outweigh the Kemp-warnock voters
 

Elim Garak

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I'm saying Republican voters who voted Warnock wont show up to vote Warnock a second time
I think they could it will come down to strategy. Democrats will be putting all resources into this race that much is certain.
 

Elim Garak

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Biden would help to put forth a big idea for Warnock to run on
Let's hope so I think the runoff could actually be to his advantage since we will have no Abrams but he will have to fight can't just hope Herschel self implodes that obviously didn't work the first time.
 

NkrumahWasRight Is Wrong

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Let's hope so I think the runoff could actually be to his advantage since we will have no Abrams but he will have to fight can't just hope Herschel self implodes that obviously didn't work the first time.

Let's hope so I think the runoff could actually be to his advantage since we will have no Abrams but he will have to fight can't just hope Herschel self implodes that obviously didn't work the first time.

Well look

If the Republicans are dead set on DeSantis they're going to make this a referendum on Trump

If trump hadnt made that announcement for next week I'd say that he and the party would agree to make this the bellwether for him. He campaigns with Walker and Walker wins and he runs. If he campaigns with Walker and Walker loses then DeSantis is the guy

Hell maybe that will be trumps announcement

He might say nationally if Walker wins then he runs for sure [but might run even if he doesnt]

That floods Walker coffers with maga money nationwide

I know trump is popular in florida but the Republicans that matter there dont want him to run. They appreciate him for what he did but know hes toxic. Theres also a segment there that are loyal to Jeb that still resent him
 

Dameon Farrow

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Who is going to show up that didn't? They had record early voting numbers this ain't happening. Democrats simply need to message better and spend money for the runoff they need to find something and stick with it with discipline.
Thry should be fine. The variable to look at is how Walker underperformed compared to Kemp. That's a bad signal for Walker. Clearly downballot GOP voting gave him the edge he got on Tuesday. It's man to man now. The failed Red Wave is gonna discourage some GOP folks from voting again off principal. Some but not all by any margin but strategically it's worth noting.

It's time to stop underestimating Democrat strategy. :leon:
 

Elim Garak

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Thry should be fine. The variable to look at is how Walker underperformed compared to Kemp. That's a bad signal for Walker. Clearly downballot GOP voting gave him the edge he got on Tuesday. It's man to man now. The failed Red Wave is gonna discourage some GOP folks from voting again off principal. Some but not all by any margin but strategically it's worth noting.

It's time to stop underestimating Democrat strategy. :leon:
I've already said this lol Abrams won't be on the ballot will likely help him but my point is still correct it won't be greater turnout.
 

Dameon Farrow

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Well look

If the Republicans are dead set on DeSantis they're going to make this a referendum on Trump

If trump hadnt made that announcement for next week I'd say that he and the party would agree to make this the bellwether for him. He campaigns with Walker and Walker wins and he runs. If he campaigns with Walker and Walker loses then DeSantis is the guy

Hell maybe that will be trumps announcement

He might say nationally if Walker wins then he runs for sure [but might run even if he doesnt]

That floods Walker coffers with maga money nationwide

I know trump is popular in florida but the Republicans that matter there dont want him to run. They appreciate him for what he did but know hes toxic. Theres also a segment there that are loyal to Jeb that still resent him
If Trump aligns himself further with Walker expect GOP folks to vote for Warnock in retaliation. The Cold Civil War against Trump and anyone he backs is picking up steam in GOP ranks.

We most definitely still need everybody who just voted for Warnock to come back out. But there is an advantage to the budding push back against Trump.
 

Dameon Farrow

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I've already said this lol Abrams won't be on the ballot will likely help him but my point is still correct it won't be greater turnout.
No I can't argue that point. Hopefully it's not a huge difference. If it's a 'come down to the wire' situation regarding Dems controlling the Senate it'll light fires under asses.
 
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