I will be shocked it Trump is able to turn NH. It was close last time but I think independents in my state want nothing to do with him at this point.He isn't going to win PA, MI, and WI again. Whoever the nominee is won't be as complacent as Hillary was and will hit those areas like she should have done in 2016. other than NH, I really don't see other states that Hillary won that Trump could possibly win whereas there's several more states that Trump won which a Dem could easily pick up.

voters that'll turn out for Trump. If black voters turn out at or near Obama levels then Trump loses, but I'm not confident that'll happen.
2020 is about getting all the muthafukas that sat out in 2016 to come out and vote.