I have read here and elsewhere a lot of jubilation re the Iranian nuclear 'deal'. Some are even suggesting this was a 'victory' for Iran! Come again?! I cannot quite agree with that.
Personally, I'd also caution people to wait and see how this whole thing is gonna play out. It ain't over till it's over.
BTW, Pepe Escobar reports that the conventional arms embargo on Iran will continue for another 5 years(i hear even up to 9 re missiles):
"The conventional arms embargo on Iran essentially stays, for five years. That’s absurd, compared to Israel and the House of Saud arming themselves to their teeth.
Last May the US Congress approved a $1.9 billion arms sale to Israel. That includes 50 BLU-113 bunker-buster bombs — to do what? Bomb Natanz? — and 3,000 Hellfire missiles. As for Saudi Arabia, according to SIPRI, the House of Saud spent a whopping $80 billion on weapons last year; more than nuclear powers France or Britain. The House of Saud is waging an — illegal — war on Yemen."
Although I'm really glad the sanctions will be lifted, if they are, here r some reasons expressed by others and why I do not quite view the deal as a win for Iran.
MoA wrote:
"First Thoughts About The Iran Deal
Some deal was agreed upon between Iran and some security council countries. It will take some time to read and understand the full paper and the annexes, some 160 pages, to judge the outcome. What the media will write about it will be mostly spin from either side and the devil is as always in the details.
The deal itself is a major infringement on Iran's SOVEREIGNTY extorted though a manufactured crisis about an Iranian nuclear weapons program that does not and did not ever exist.
The U.S. has a bad record of sticking to international deals it made. North Korea was promised two civil nuclear electricity plants to be build by the United States for stopping its nuclear activities. None was build and North Korea restarted its weapon program. Libya agreed to give up the tiny preliminary nuclear program it had and the U.S. destroyed the state.
Netanyahoo's puppets in the U.S. congress will do their best to blockade the current deal. Should they not be able to do so attempts will be made to press the next U.S. president into breaking the agreement.
Iran must now be very careful to not get trapped into more concessions or even a war."
Exactly.
Dr.Roberts, a former Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy for the Reagan Administration and former associate editor of the Wall Street Journal, wrote recently:
"[...]The nuclear weapons fabrication has always been a cloak for Washington’s real intention, which is to bring regime change to Iran, whether from outside or inside, and return Iran to its previous status of a vassal state of the West. The Western imperialists never forgive those who escape or throw off their clutches.
[...]
Whether Obama is sincere, entrapped by Russian diplomacy, or relying on a false flag event to discredit Iran and thus nix the deal, I do not know. Israel, of course, wants Washington to remove all obstacles to its expansion in the Middle East. Having stolen Palestine, Israel wants southern Lebanon as its next acquisition.
What I do know is that as the nuclear deal with Iran is not the real issue, whether it succeeds or fails will have no impact, because Washington’s objection to Iran is Iran’s independence. Iran is in Washington’s way. The nuclear threat hoax that Washington created was just a propagandistic way to bring insouciant Americans and Europeans around to an attack on Iran.
Iran remains in danger regardless of the success or failure of the agreement.
I am amazed that governments threatened by Washington always fail to see the real issue and instead accept Washington’s definition of the problem. The contrived nuclear issue serves as a cloak for Washington’s intention to overthrow the independence of Iran; yet the Iranian government and Iranian media have followed the lead of Washington and its presstitutes in accepting this contrived issue as the real issue. If Iran survives, it will be a miracle."
Also, it's important do understand what exactly the Rouhani administration stands for. From some of the things I have read, it seems that he represents the iranian olygarchs/neoliberals.
Here is an example from Iranian economist and US university( Drake University) professor Ismael Hossein-zadeh, re the economic policies of the Rouhani administration:
"Iran could minimize the baleful effects of sanctions by trying to disengage its economic policies from nuclear negotiations and the threat of further sanctions. This would be possible if the Rouhani administration's economic outlook somehow tilted away from outward-looking to inward-looking strategies of economic development; that is, the development of a "resistance economy", as Iran's Supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei has put it.
This requires an economic strategy that would view the sanctions as an opportunity to mobilize national resources and chart an industrialization course toward import-substitution and economic self-reliance - something akin to a war economy, since Iran has effectively been subjected to a brutal economic war by the United States and its allies.
Such a path of development would be similar to the eight years (1980-88) of war with Iraq when, at the instigation and support of regional and global powers, Saddam Hussein launched a surprise military attack against Iran. Not only did the Western powers and their regional allies support the Iraqi dictator militarily but they also subjected Iran to severe economic sanctions.
With its back against the wall, so to speak, Iran embarked on a revolutionary path of a war economy that successfully provided both for war mobilization to defend its territorial integrity and for the development of respectable living conditions for its people.
By taking control of the commanding heights of the national economy, and effectively utilizing the revolutionary energy and dedication of their people, Iranian policy makers further succeeded in bringing about significant economic developments. These included: extensive electrification of the countryside, expansion of transportation networks, construction of tens of thousands of schools and medical clinics all across the country, provision of foodstuffs and other basic needs for the indigent at affordable prices, and more.
Alas, despite its record of success, this option seems to be altogether alien to Rouhani and his economic advisers who follow the neoliberal/neoclassical school of economic thought and maintain that the solution to Iran's economic problems lies in an unrestrained integration into world capitalism, in a wholesale (and often fraudulent) privatization of the economy, and in the kind of economic austerity preached by the International Monetary Fund."
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The situation in Iraq and most of the ME is a direct result of aggressive resistance by Iran and its special forces but y'all just chalk it up to our inept foreign policy.
