Wall Street Staffing Falls Again

Scientific Playa

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It won't be too long before the machines totally take over.

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Markets
Wall Street Staffing Falls Again
Report finds head count of bankers and traders down 4% last year

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The study on jobs at the biggest banks drew on data from Goldman Sachs and others. Above, Goldman’s headquarters in New York. Photo: Bloomberg News


By Justin Baer And Daniel Huang
Updated Feb. 19, 2015 7:25 p.m. ET
3 COMMENTS
Squeezed by new rules and tough markets, Wall Street is taking the ax to its workforce.

The number of investment bankers, traders, salespeople and research analysts at the world’s largest banks has fallen 20% globally since its recent peak in 2010, a report by Coalition Ltd., a London research firm, shows.

The latest data come after the firms, 10 of the world’s largest, trimmed 4%, or 2,100 employees, in 2014 from a year earlier amid a challenging trading environment on fixed-income desks.

The declines show that a trend on Wall Street is gaining momentum. The biggest banks are making do with fewer numbers on the front lines—or those who deal directly with clients and bring in revenue. New rules on capital and risk taking have crimped profit, forcing banks into tough decisions about businesses to exit from and veteran moneymakers to turn loose.

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Still, some areas of the financial-services sector are growing. Hiring remains brisk among so-called back-office functions that don’t generate revenue, from technology and cybersecurity to legal and compliance divisions that are dealing with new postcrisis rules and enforcement cases.

J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. has hired 13,000 employees from 2012 through 2014 to beef up controls in areas ranging from compliance to legal to risk. Citigroup Inc. has hired about 10,000 people in regulatory and compliance-related roles, even though its overall employment number has fallen about 20,000 over the past two years, according to recent remarks by Chief Executive Michael Corbat .

Among bankers and traders, however, staffing has been falling for four consecutive years, Coalition said. The big banks face a crossroads on their staffing. Cutting more jobs may begin to limit their ability to generate revenue, said George Kuznetsov, head of research and analytics at Coalition. “There’s a certain amount of head count you can cut further, but if you start doing that, you start impacting what you can do,” he said.

The research firm noted that there were some 51,600 “front-office producers” working for the 10 banks at the end of 2014, down 12,800 from the 64,400 in 2010 after many big banks such as Morgan Stanley and others staffed up following a busy period in bond trading.

“Postcrisis, banks started to realize that keeping up with Joneses just for the sake of it wasn’t necessarily the smartest thing to do,” said Joseph Leung, managing partner at Aubreck Leung LP, a London-based Wall Street recruiting firm. “We saw banks pulling out of businesses altogether, retreating from regions or having watered down versions of what they previously had.”

Many of last year’s cuts came as banks decided to retreat from some businesses, many of them in fixed-income, currencies and commodities, or FICC, divisions, where head count dropped 9%. This past year’s data drew from head count estimates at Bank of America Corp. , Barclays PLC, BNP Paribas , Citigroup, Credit Suisse Group AG , Deutsche Bank AG , Goldman Sachs Group Inc., J.P. Morgan, Morgan Stanley and UBS AG.

Wall Street is notorious for overhiring in good times and reversing course when business weakens. “There’s a boom-and-bust cycle, and they have always operated that way,” said Charles Geisst, a finance professor at Manhattan College who has written on Wall Street history.

But some say these declines are different, coming as bank executives deal with a long slump in some of their biggest businesses, including FICC trading. The Coalition report shows the banks’ FICC trading revenue fell for a second-straight year, dropping 7% in 2014 to $69.4 billion. That market totaled $141.6 billion in 2009.

At one point, most of the big banks sought to compete in each and every market and in every corner of the world. The new rules have forced many banks into picking their spots.

“The vast majority [of the head count reductions] are quite permanent,” Mr. Kuznetsov said. “The ambitions are very different now. Most banks don’t have the ambition to compete across every product and every region. As a result, you see head count significantly lower.”

The cuts represent banks’ effort to eke out profits in an environment where that has become more difficult because of regulatory crackdowns on risky assets and heavy borrowing. The pay of investment bankers and traders is a key lever for banks’ cost controls, since such employees often make $1 million a year or more, far in excess of the amount an average bank employee makes.

The report didn’t factor in employees who work in back-office or support functions. It also doesn’t include wealth-management businesses, which have thrived amid the stock-market rebound and baby boomers’ need for financial advice.

Firms also are keeping a close eye on the compensation of people who remain at the firm. At Goldman, for example, the average employee received compensation of about $373,000, down from $430,000 in 2010.

Moves made by Wall Street’s giants tend to ripple through New York’s employment landscape. Data compiled by the New York Department of Labor show that employment in New York City’s “investment banking and securities dealing” sector has fallen significantly since before the financial crisis, recording a 20% drop between 2007 and 2014. This has muted the growth of the broader financial-services sector in the last few years, while total private employment in the city has increased more than 8% since 2007, buoyed by hiring in sectors like consulting and food and drinks.

Even if trading markets heat up, experts see subdued hiring. “The Street is beginning to look at its costs and run itself much more like an industrial company,” said Brad Hintz, an ex-Wall Street analyst who is now an adjunct finance professor at New York University. “Will these firms be run as tightly as General Electric? Of course not. It is Wall Street,” he said. “But I don’t see these management teams losing control of their cost base.”

Write to Justin Baer at justin.baer@wsj.com and Daniel Huang at daniel.huang3@wsj.com
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There are 3 comments.

jeff wagner
19 minutes ago
Wasn't there just an article on the rush to hire new undergrads at up to $300,000. doesn't seem like much rush to save.


RODGER POTOCKI
1 hour ago
Private enterprise makes real cuts. Government squeals when it is asked to cut the rate of growth as it increases spending by 8% in the face of an $18 trillion deficit. Oh, well it's only taxpayer money.


Dr Kenneth Noisewater
11 hours ago
Who needs to pay a Wall Street trader 120,000 a year when you can just pipe into the HFT system and make billions.


http://www.wsj.com/articles/wall-street-staffing-falls-for-fourth-consecutive-year-1424366858


 

Scientific Playa

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High-frequency trading is the new invisible hand

Diane Coyle | Feb 17 05:30

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What’s the difference between you and a very powerful computer? This is the question posed by artificial intelligence research, by Tom Stoppard’s new play The Hard Problem, and by Friedrich Hayek in a classic 1945 paper in The American Economic Review, The Use of Knowledge in Society. To many people, including Stoppard’s heroine, the differences are obvious: emotion, the capacity for moral reasoning, free will perhaps. These features make us human, and it is our human needs that markets and market information in principle serve.


In his paper, Hayek asks whether a central planner could organise the use of resources in society better than the disorganised, decentralised market system, which can be overwhelmed by emotion and irrationality. He argued that no planner could ever be intelligent and fast enough to use the vast array of changing and often contradictory pieces of information about society. “We must look at the price system as such a mechanism for communicating information,” he wrote. The economic (never mind political and moral) disaster of centrally planned economies vindicated his argument. As many people have since pointed out (like Paul Seabright in his wonderful book The Company of Strangers) there is something rather magical about how well markets co-ordinate the demand and supply of so many goods between so many millions of people, using the signals sent by prices.


Today’s information and communication technologies offer huge potential for making markets more efficient at this matchmaking process by quickly disseminating price signals. One now-classic study was Robert Jensen’s investigation of fish prices in Kerala, India before and after the introduction of mobile phones along the coast. The ability to access and convey information led to a dramatic convergence of fish prices between different markets. Fishermen’s incomes rose. Consumers gained (a little) too: not only did the fish go to the markets where it was most highly valued, but there was also less wastage. Other studies of mobiles and agricultural prices confirm that, where producers can act on the improved price information, the new technology improves economic efficiency.


So is it possible to imagine that a modern central planner, a sufficiently powerful computer with vast access to information at its disposal and rapid processing capacity, could achieve the same efficiency as the decentralised markets? High-frequency trading (HFT) in modern financial markets might be close to this information-rich, super-efficient state, trading on tiny titbits of information at nearly the speed of light. But it is hard to feel confident that this is improving efficiency in the same way as getting better crop price information to low-income farmers in India or Niger.


Roughly half of equity trades in the US and UK financial markets are now carried out by these ultra-fast thinking machines. HFT involves computers trading securities according to algorithms, with no additional human input, raising the tantalising thought that a network of computers transacting so fast could act as a virtual central planner. There is evidence though that the trading is characterised by many ‘flash crashes’, like that of May 2010, although most of them are over so quickly that nobody notices. A commonly shared suspicion of HFT was examined in Michael Lewis’s book Flash Boys: if it’s worth many hundreds of millions of dollars to invest in ever-faster communications networks for a few milliseconds’ worth of advantage, is that a measure of how well they are fleecing the everyday investor?


It is hard to resist the thought that high-frequency trading is the culmination of the ‘performativity’ some social scientists believe characterises finance. The linguistic philosopher J.L. Austin coined this word to refer to phrases such as “I name this ship the QEII”: to say the words is to perform the act. Donald Mackenzie has argued that the options pricing model of financial economics is performative because it brought into existence modern options markets. Before the model, nobody really knew how to price options, and the market was minuscule. With HFT, has economic theory – specifically the Efficient Markets Hypothesis – brought into existence the rational, calculating, well-informed agents it assumes? If so, why is it not obviously more efficient to have markets composed of algorithms rather than people?


Hayek would not have been surprised by the general suspicion. He wrote, ”To gain an advantage from better knowledge of facilities of communication or transport is sometimes regarded as almost dishonest, although it is quite as important that society make use of the best opportunities in this respect as in using the latest scientific discoveries.” In other words, arbitrage is a socially useful function even though people tend to believe it is a bit dodgy. So perhaps the algorithms are worhwhile despite our suspicion of HFT?


I’m not so sure. The greater and faster information accessible via mobile phones in agricultural production differs qualitatively as well as quantitatively from the greater and faster information the HFT algorithms are providing via computerised prices. Information is about something, a signal; in the case of food markets, it is about what foodstuffs people want to buy and what is available for sale. If anything, better information in these markets reduces the need for arbitrage and liquidity; the matching of supplies and demands is improved without intermediation.


It isn’t clear that there are human wants behind the nearly-light-speed financial trading of HFT. The defence of HFT is that computerised trading increases liquidity, but liquidity is only necessary when it is hard to match demand and supply. If the matching process works well, more liquidity might not be useful. And in any case, many humans are troubled by HFT’s disconnect from the human desires that financial markets should ultimately serve.

http://blogs.ft.com/the-exchange/2015/02/17/high-frequency-trading-is-the-new-invisible-hand/
 
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Who cares. The rich will gauge each others eyes out when the shyt seriously hits the fan.

I won't help none of them out. fukk all of them. They'll get what's comin to them. :ufdup:
 

Scientific Playa

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Who cares. The rich will gauge each others eyes out when the shyt seriously hits the fan.

I won't help none of them out. fukk all of them. They'll get what's comin to them. :ufdup:

i've been reading another story line. Singapore and New Zealand are plan b.

What Do They Know? Why Are So Many Of The Super Wealthy Preparing Bug Out Locations?

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/31/2015 21:15 -0400


Submitted by Michael Snyder via The End of The American Dream blog,

A lot of ultra-rich people are quietly preparing to “bug out” when the time comes. They are buying survival properties, they are buying farms in far away countries and they are buying deep underground bunkers. In fact, a prominent insider at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland says that “very powerful people are telling us they’re scared” and he shocked his audience when he revealed that he knows “hedge fund managers all over the world who are buying airstrips and farms in places like New Zealand”.

So what do they know? Why are so many of the super wealthy suddenly preparing bug out locations? When the elite of the world start preparing for doomsday, that is a very troubling sign. And right now the elite appear to be quietly preparing for disaster like never before.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-...any-super-wealthy-preparing-bug-out-locations

Rich Americans Are Fleeing the Country
http://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/immigration/item/2172-rich-americans-are-fleeing-the-country

Surge in rich gaining NZ residency
http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/9223975/Surge-in-rich-gaining-NZ-residency

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LAND OF PLENTY: An aerial view of Hollywood director James Cameron's property in the Wairarapa.


Wealth Over the Edge: Singapore
$26,000 cocktails. Traffic jams freckled with Ferraris. The world's sternest city is now the richest. Why?
http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424127887324662404578334330162556670

 
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speaking of high frequency trading the DAX (German stock market) experienced a "flash dash" or the opposite of a flash crash this morning.



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Doesn't really have much to do with the headcount cuts banks have gone through. That's been driven by regulatory forces. Hft operate on the buy side generally.
 

Domingo Halliburton

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Yea I know. Wasn't negating what you said, just continuing the discussion with someone who knows what they're talking about.

Oh word, my bad. Yeah that line in the article about banks not trying to be in every corner of finance like they were is definitely true. Days of open pit trading are definitely all but over as well. Speaking of regs I wish the commercial credit markets would loosen up a little.
 
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