Why Conservatives Have Learned Nothing From Kansas’ Disastrous Tax Cuts

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Why Conservatives Have Learned Nothing From Kansas’ Disastrous Tax Cuts
By Jordan Weissmann

136346111-kansas-governor-sam-brownback-gives-a-speech-supporting.jpg.CROP.promo-xlarge2.jpg

Now, I am become Brownback, the destroyer of budgets.

Andrew Burton/Getty Images

In 2012, Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback attempted to turn his state into a showcase for hardcore conservative policy thinking by passing a package of tax cuts so berserk that, even at the time, some of his fellow Republicans worried it was a tad ill-advised. And so it was. As many expected, the reductions have been a calamity for the state's fiscal health. Kansas has found itself chronically short of funds, forcing legislators toslash spending on things like education and help for the poor. The state's credit rating has been downgraded, and for all the trouble, its job growth has been absolutely anemic.

JORDAN WEISSMANN
Jordan Weissmann is Slate’s senior business and economics correspondent.

Brownback conveniently blames all this on the harsh winds of the global economy, which have battered local industries like aircraft manufacturing and agriculture. But with yet another budget crisis looming, many of his conservative allies are in open revolt. The vast majority of people not named Sam Brownback seem to agree that this was all a harebrained idea.

Just don't expect Republicans to draw many lessons from the misadventure.

The problem isn't merely that modern conservatism has proved physiologically impervious to data or fact, though that's certainly part of it. Anti-tax avenger Grover Norquist loved Brownback's tax cuts when they passed, and his ardor for them doesn't appear to have abated with time. As befits a man of faith, supply-side mullah Art Laffer, who advised Brownback, is still convinced that the cuts will one day bring new prosperity to Kansas.

But even the conservative movement's more critical minds have found reasons to dismiss Kansas' troubles as a freak error rather than to accept them as a fundamental indictment of an economic ideology that insists that lowering tax rates is the one true route to growth. This is because, even by the standards of steroidal tax-slashing plans, Brownback's was really poorly designed. In particular, it contained an unprecedented break that exempted profits from pass-through businesses from income taxes, a basically unjustifiable measure that has significantly contributed to the gutting of Kansas’ budget.

A brief explanation: Companies organized as pass-through entities, such as partnerships, LLCs, or S-corporations, don't pay corporate taxes. Instead, their profits get handed over to their owners, who then pay personal income taxes on the earnings. Brownback exempted those profits from state taxes under the theory that it would help spur more small-business growth.

The problem is that many large and successful businesses are also organized as pass-through entities. And, as the right-leaning Tax Foundation gently warned in 2012, there was nothing to stop other big companies from restructuring themselves to avoid taxes. That seems to have happened in a big way: About 70 percent more businesses have taken advantage of the loophole than expected, which has helped cripple the state's budget projections.

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It's really quite simple. Beliefs that aren't based on evidence won't be changed by evidence. 877 CommentsJoin In

In the years since 2012, the Tax Foundation has become more savage in its assessment of the pass-through carve-out, as they call it, referring to it as a failed gimmick. During recent testimony before Kansas state legislators, one of the think tank's economists argued that the whole debacle was “doing damage to the state tax reform conversation nationally”—which is to say, the Sunflower State's problems were scaring people off from tax cuts.

So, if you ask a conservative what's the matter with Kansas, you'll get one of two answers. Some, of course, will say nothing's the matter. More sophisticated Republicans will tell you Brownback simply picked the wrong tax to slash. Don’t expect much soul-searching.

Why Conservatives Have Learned Nothing From Kansas’ Disastrous Tax Cuts


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Tate

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Austerity is a feature here not a bug brehs
 

88m3

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Kansas' Never-Ending Budget Mess
The state is short of money yet again, thanks in part to a tax cut its governor won’t touch.

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Kansas Governor Sam Brownback delivers his State of the State address to a joint session of the legislature in Topeka, Kansas in January.Orlin Wagner / AP

Kansas is short on cash—again.

The state’s fiscal woes have been a recurring theme during the two-term tenure of Governor Sam Brownback, who ushered in a series of deep tax cuts after taking office and has been watching them blow a hole in the budget ever since. The latest bad news came on Wednesday, when the Kansas budget office reported that because of missed tax revenue projections, the state now faces a shortfall of more than $290 million over the next 15 months. Brownback, a conservative Republican, responded in the same way he did when confronted with a similar budget gap last year: by refusing to revisit the generous tax breaks he won five years ago, even in the face of a Republican revolt.


Kansas's Failed Experiment


“I do not believe it would be useful to have a debate about raising taxes on small businesses or anyone else,” Brownback said. “Instead, we will focus our support and attention on controlling government spending more efficiently.”

The statement was aimed at blunting momentum in the GOP-controlled legislature for reversing an exemption for 330,000 small-business owners who file their taxes as individuals. Instead, Brownback’s budget director laid out three options, all focused on the spending side of the ledger. The first, and the one preferred by the administration, would involve the transfer of $185 million over two years from the state’s highway fund and the sale of the state’s right to a future tobacco settlement for a one-time payment of $158 million. Under the second option, the state would transfer money from the highway fund, delay payments to the state pension fund, and make $25 million in other cuts. And the final option would simply be to slash spending across all state agencies by 3 to 5 percent.


None of the choices are fiscally responsible, said Annie McKay, the executive director of the Kansas Center for Economic Growth, who noted the “irony” in Brownback’s proposals during a month he proclaimed as Financial Literacy Month. “We’re refusing to address the problem,” McKay said. “They’re all short, one-time fixes.”

record-long, 113-day budget session. Ultimately, lawmakers approved increases in sales and cigarette taxes, but left income taxes alone. The budget that lawmakers passed goes through the current year, and it’s an open question whether they will act this year at all. Technically, they don’t have to: The legislature has already given the governor authority to make cuts when the state’s coffers dip below $100 million. “They’ve passed a budget. So they could walk out and let the governor fix this,” McKay said.

The state transportation department has already announced plans to delay 25 major highway projects scheduled to begin this year, and the governor’s office said state universities would also face funding cuts. “There’s a prevailing mood among Republicans that he’s got to own this,” said state Senator Anthony Hensley, the Democratic minority leader. He called the options laid out by the budget director “Robin Hood in reverse.”

Yet while plenty of Republicans in Kansas have already broken with Brownback, there are doubts that they would actually join with Democrats to raise taxes over his likely veto. Right-leaning groups, like the state Chamber of Commerce and the Kansas affiliate of the Koch-backed Americans for Prosperity, staunchly oppose any move to reverse the tax cuts of 2011 and 2012. Dave Trabert, the president of the conservative Kansas Policy Institute, acknowledged that public opinion had moved strongly against Brownback’s economic policy, but he said the real problem was that the tax cuts were never pared with structural spending reforms. “Most people don’t understand that spending set another new record last year,” Trabert told me. “You can’t have a conservative tax policy and a liberal spending policy.”

according to The Topeka Capital-Journal.

For Kansas Republicans, that has been the story of the last few years—a budget mess that continues to grow, and a political culture unable to reckon with it.

Kansas' Never-Ending Budget Mess
 

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Dave Trabert, the president of the conservative Kansas Policy Institute, acknowledged that public opinion had moved strongly against Brownback’s economic policy, but he said the real problem was that the tax cuts were never pared with structural spending reforms. “Most people don’t understand that spending set another new record last year,” Trabert told me. “You can’t have a conservative tax policy and a liberal spending policy.”


Yes you can... if the money spent goes to your buddies and businesses who gladly pocket it year after year after year.
 

Lucky_Lefty

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The way my CAC professor was big upping this tax cut proposal was jaw dropping my last year at KU.
 
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