China Stocks Plunge Into Bear Market | Latest (8/24): "Black Monday"

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China Stocks Plunge Into Bear Market
China’s interest-rate cut fails to boost Chinese stocks; Greek crisis gives lift to safer assets like the Japanese yen

http://www.wsj.com/articles/asian-shares-fall-as-greece-unravels-1435540973

By
Gregor Stuart Hunter and
Shen Hong
Updated June 29, 2015 12:33 a.m. ET

Asian markets were roiled Monday, as China’s stocks fell into bear-market territory, and uncertainty about Greece shook sentiment across the region.

A move by China’s central bank over the weekend to cut interest rates failed to give a sustained lift to China’s main stock market, which has fallen 21.9% from a high on June 12, crossing the 20% threshold that defines a bear market. Stocks have been under pressure over the past two weeks after a yearlong debt-fueled rally.

The Shanghai Composite Index is down 3.8%, after rising over 2% at the open, in a volatile early-morning session, while the smaller Shenzhen market sank 6%. The ChiNext board, which consists of small-cap companies and is sometimes known as China’s Nasdaq, plunged 8.1%.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index was on track for its worst day for more than a year, falling 2.7%, while listings of Chinese companies, known as H-shares, fell 3.6%.

“I prefer staying on the sidelines for now because the market still looks very volatile,” said Frank Zhuang, a 43-year-old retail investor in Nanjing. “It’s still too early to say any rally would be sustainable because our economy is really weak,” he added.

Other Asian markets fell after Greece shut its banking system. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index and Japan’s Nikkei 225 Stock Average both are down 2.1% on the news from Greece.

The euro fell 2.2% against the yen in morning trade in Asia, as investors piled into the Japanese currency, which is considered a safe-haven in times of financial stress.

Gold prices are up 0.7%, after paring earlier gains, at $1,181.90 per troy ounce, while Brent crude futures slid 1.2% to $62.49 a barrel.

Malaysia’s ringgit led losses for currencies in Asia against the U.S. dollar. The ringgit fell to its weakest in almost a decade against the U.S. dollar, in early Monday trade, while South Korea’s won touched its weakest in over two months.

“Knee-jerk frustration over Greece is roiling markets globally. That may continue for a few days—for investors long the market, it makes sense to ride out the storm,” said CLSA equity strategist Nicholas Smith.

Some analysts warned that selling in China could continue Monday as investors who have borrowed heavily to fund stock purchases—through taking on margin debt—are forced to sell to repay brokers.

“Things don’t look settled at all and some institutional investors are still paring their positions. The monetary easing measures aren’t enough to more than offset the panic in the past two weeks,” said Zhang Gang, senior analyst at Central China Securities.

In an apparent effort to calm the market, the China Securities Journal, a state-run publication, published an editorial earlier Monday with the headline “China’s Stock Market Is Facing a Thirty Year Golden Age.”

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China’s central bank cut interest rates after a massive stock selloff Friday. .Here, a Chinese investor checks share prices in a stock firm in Fuyang. Photo: Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
The Shanghai Composite Index, which fell 7.4% on Friday, is down 19% from a recent high on fears the market has risen too rapidly on the back of heavy borrowing. The smaller Shenzhen market and the ChiNext board have already fallen more than 20% to enter a bear market.

“Friday’s dramatic selloff can still trigger waves of margin calls on Monday,” said Hao Hong, a market strategist at Bank of Communications. “Whether the market can get a lift from the PBOC’s weekend move to stem further forced closure of margin accounts remains to be seen. Traders will likely seize the fleeting technical reprieve to exit their positions, and continue to induce short-term volatility.”

On Saturday, China’s central bank cut its benchmark lending rate by 25 basis points to 4.85% and its one-year deposit rate by the same amount to 2%. China’s central bank also lowered the amount of capital that banks must hold in reserve for some lenders in a bid to free up money for new loans.

“The sharp selloff last week on the equity markets no doubt influenced the timing of this move,” economists from Société Générale wrote in a research note. “The direct spillover from the equity market to the real economy is fairly modest, but the indirect ‘confidence factor’ is hard to measure and Beijing appears to have little appetite to experiment with an equity crash.”
 

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Sunday, June 28, 2015

The Chinese Market Detonation You’re Ignoring


By Mac Slavo

With the eyes of the world on Greece and a possible collapse of the of the Eurozone as a likely end result, many are ignoring a potentially much more massive elephant in the room.

It’s been the hottest market in the world, so flush with cash that they have actually built entire ghost-cities lacking populations and mega shopping centers without tenants – a clear sign of bubble waiting to be pricked. But the inevitable seems to now be taking hold as once unstoppable Chinese stock markets are now reversing the unprecedented gains seen over the last several years.

Forget Greece. We’ve seen that story before. This could be the first domino:
The Chinese market is in an all-on crash.

Last night the Shanghai index was down 8%, and while there have been some wild recovery rallies during the last couple of weeks as well the cumulative loss is close to 20% at this point, the formal “declaration” of a bear market.

That market had been in a parabolic blow-off since roughly December, a classic (to a chartist) three-stage parabolic move with two retracements. The most-recent move down, however, threatens to violate the uptrend support originated back in November and has already erased the gains since May.

Yes, a 2-month round-trip of about 20%. <---- 21.9%

“Liquidity” is usually given as the reason for the “reasonableness” of stock valuations these days. I have only one question: What happens when said “liquidity” is really nothing more than a loan (which it always is) and the borrowed funds are lost instead or producing “gains”?

Source: Karl Denninger / The Market Ticker

What happens is exactly what’s happening in Greece and China, and what will undoubtedly soon come to pass in the United States.

The actions of the world’s wealthy should be followed closely and, as we’ve note previously, they are being told to make sure they have physical assets like cash, gold and silver on hand in anticipation of a serious destabilizing event. The reset is coming, and as was recently noted by Brandon Smith of Alt Market, the next stage of the elites’ plan for total global economic centralization is about to be in full effect.

With China’s stock markets now imploding on a scale that can only be described as a crash, it is only a matter of time before the chain reaction of derivative-based defaults leads to similar detonations across the entire world.

What comes next is anyone’s guess, but it won’t be pretty. One possible outcome, as suggested by analyst Greg Mannarino, is pretty much the worst imaginable scenario and one we have urged our readers to prepare for:
It’s created a population boom… a population boom has risen in tandem with the debt. It’s incredible.

So, when the debt bubble bursts we’re going to get a correction in population. It’s a mathematical certainty.

Millions upon millions of people are going to die on a world-wide scale when the debt bubble bursts. And I’m saying when not if…

[…]

When resources become more and more scarce we’re going to see countries at war with each other. People will be scrambling… in a worst case scenario… doing everything that they can to survive… to provide for their family and for themselves.
Source: Full Interview with Greg MannarinoIt’s a scary proposition and one from which escape for the general population of the world seems impossible. As Mannarino notes, “there’s no way out.”

It will be, for all intents and purposes, every man for himself. The elite know this and that is likely why they are buying aircraft landing strips, rural hideaways and divesting themselves of paper assets.

If we are, in fact, on the cusp of this next great paradigm shift, it will be littered with panic, widespread civil unrest and shortages of essential good necessary for survival. It is a scenario for which the government has prepared for over a decade, but as former DHS head Janet Napolitano has warned, such an emergency will leave the government overwhelmed and unable to assist those in need.

That means you’re on your own and your only saving grace will be that you take steps to prepare for disaster ahead of time.

As collapse survivor Selco has warned, once this goes down there will be little room for error: Either you’ll learn fast or you’ll end up dead.

At the very least we strong recommend stockpiling the basics, including food, potable water, self defense tools, and physical barter goods.

Of course, we could be overreacting. The Chinese stock market crash is happening so far across the ocean that we probably don’t need to be paying attention. And as for Greece, Americans will never have to line up in front of empty ATMs hoping to get enough money out to put dinner on the table.


92b44157-a287-49f6-8d6b-eda8c4a81aa6.img

Greek customers queue to use an ATM in Thessaloniki on Sunday

The government would never let that happen, right?

You can read more from Mac Slavo at his site SHTFplan.com, where this article first appeared.

This article may be re-posted in full with attribution.

http://www.activistpost.com/2015/06/the-chinese-market-detonation-youre.html
 

Scientific Playa

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China Stocks Plunge as Market Rout Deepens

HONG KONG — Jul 2, 2015, 11:34 PM ET

By KELVIN CHAN AP Business Writer



AP_logo_update_20130709.gif




China's main stock benchmark plunged more than 5 percent Friday as government stabilizing measures failed to reassure panicky investors while other Asian indexes fell ahead of Greece's weekend austerity referendum.


KEEPING SCORE: The Shanghai Composite Index in mainland China tumbled 6.1 percent to 3,676.12 and is down nearly 18 percent for the week. Hong Kong's Hang Send lost 0.4 percent to 26,189.62 while Japan's Nikkei 225 was off 0.4 percent to 20,449.43. South Korea's Kospi fell 0.5 percent to 2,096.57 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 retreated 1.6 pecent to 5,511.10.


CHINA SELLOFF: The market rout deepened as investors dumped shares in spite of government measures this week aimed at restoring confidence, such as cutting fees and easing rules on borrowing money for trading. The China Securities Regulatory Commission, the market watchdog, said late Thursday that it's launching an investigation into suspected stock market manipulation, state media reported, in an indication of Beijing's increasingly frantic efforts to halt the market slide.


ANALYST VIEWPOINT: "Policies take time to work their way through the system before sentiments can be more permanently altered," Bernard Aw of IG Markets in Singapore wrote in a commentary. "For now, the mood is verging on panic. It is extremely hard to calm a bear who is in a rage - not impossible, but tough."


GREECE: Investors are awaiting the outcome of a weekend vote in Greece on whether or not to accept tough conditions in exchange for a bailout deal for the Mediterranean country's troubled economy. Markets in Asia will get the first chance to react to the result of the vote on Sunday.


WALL STREET: U.S. markets ended the week quietly as investors sought safety ahead of the Independence Day holiday weekend. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 0.2 percent to close at 17,730.11 and the S&P 500 slipped less than 0.1 percent to 2,076.78. The Nasdaq composite fell less than 0.1 percent to 5,009.21.


ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude fell 24 cents to $56.69 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 3 cents to close at $56.93 a barrel on Thursday. Brent crude, a benchmark for international oils used by many U.S. refineries, rose fell 13 cents to $61.94 a barrel in London.


CURRENCIES: The dollar slipped to 123.06 yen from 123.09 in late trading Thursday. The euro rose to $1.1093 from $1.1087.


http://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/us-stocks-rise-day-mixed-job-report-32180699

 

Domingo Halliburton

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PBOC has to be the biggest buyer of Chinese stocks for awhile. They have restrictive rules on buying their stock to begin with. they took a big stand the other day. they're going to defend this position. they want to be capitalists but they still can't lose control of this market and let it float freely. A lot like their currency.
 
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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ensifies-steps-to-end-3-2-trillion-stock-rout

China suspended initial public offerings, while brokerages pledged to buy shares and state media urged investors not to panic as officials intensified efforts to stop the steepest plunge in equities since 1992.

Twenty-eight companies halted their IPOs, according to filings to the nation’s two exchanges Saturday. A group of 21 brokerages led by Citic Securities Co. will invest at least 120 billion yuan ($19.3 billion) in a stock-market fund, the Securities Association of China said the same day. Executives from 25 mutual funds vowed to buy shares and hold them for at least a year, according to an industry group association.

“Declines of such a magnitude are enough to trigger a financial crisis and the issue is now elevated to state level,” said Li Jingyuan, general manager of the securities investment department at Shanghai Zhaoyi Asset Management. “It’s about restoring confidence now.”


The weekend announcements come as the government battles to restore faith among the nation’s 90 million individual investors after a slew of measures by regulators, including a pledge to investigate market manipulation, failed to stem declines. The Shanghai Composite Index has tumbled 29 percent in the previous three weeks, helping to erase $3.2 trillion of value, on concern leveraged traders are liquidating bets after equity valuations exceeded levels during the country’s stock-market bubble of 2007.

Central Huijin Investment Ltd., a unit of China’s sovereign wealth fund, said Sunday it bought exchange-traded funds on the secondary market recently. The People’s Bank of China will offer China Securities Finance Corp., which manages the nation’s short selling and margin trading, liquidity support, according to a statement on the China Securities Regulatory Commission website Sunday.

Rate Cut
Moves to stabilize the market take time to transmit, the People’s Daily, the official newspaper of the Communist Party, said on Weibo, the Chinese microblogging site.

“During this process, investors should have confidence and patience, instead of losing their minds and not knowing what to do amid anxiety and panic,” the newspaper said.

Officials have made late-night announcements almost every day during the last week, including an easing of margin-trading rules and lower trading fees, after an interest-rate cut failed to stop the benchmark index entering a bear market on June 29. The Finance Ministry said the same day it will allow the national pension fund to invest in shares.

Loans Slide
The outstanding balance of margin loans on the Shanghai Stock Exchange dropped for a ninth day on Thursday, sliding to 1.29 trillion yuan in the longest stretch of declines since the city’s bourse began compiling the data. A fivefold surge in borrowing had helped propel the benchmark stock index to a 150 percent advance in the 12 months through June 12.

The authorities are determined to shore up the $6.9 trillion stock market even if it means reversing reforms, according to Partners Capital International Ltd. The Communist Party’s Central Committee pledged in 2013 to make markets “decisive” in allocating resources and to limit the government’s role to maintaining stability.

“They have the whatever-it-takes mentality,” said Ronald Wan, chief executive officer of Partners Capital International in Hong Kong. “Early on Monday, the market may show a knee-jerk reaction to the measures but I am not sure how sustainable it will be. Whether it’s a rally or a decline, it’s policy driven, not market-oriented.”

IPO Halt
The IPO suspension was ordered at a meeting of the State Council, China’s cabinet, and will be enforced by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the financial magazine Caijing reported on its website on Saturday, without saying how it obtained the information or how long the planned freeze would last.

Funds will be returned to investors on Monday for the new offerings that had already started the subscription process, the companies said in filings to the exchanges.

Calls by Bloomberg News to the press office of the State Council went unanswered outside regular business hours.

Brokerage Fund
There won’t be any new IPOs in the near future and the number and value of share sales will be significantly reduced once they resume, the CSRC said in a statement on its website Sunday.

The 21 brokers pledged not to reduce any proprietary investments in the equity market as long as the Shanghai Composite Index stays below 4,500, the association said. The measure closed at 3,686.92 on Friday. Listed brokers will actively buy back outstanding shares, while encouraging their parent companies to increase holdings, according to the statement.

The plan by trading firms to boost shares may have only “a fleeting effect” given daily turnover is nearing 2 trillion yuan, said Hao Hong, China equity strategist at Bocom International Holdings Co. in Hong Kong.

“This 120 billion yuan won’t last for an hour in this market,” Hong said by phone from Beijing Saturday. “It might benefit blue-chip stocks, as investors may see them as value, but the bursting of the bubble in small-cap/tech stocks is likely to continue.”

PetroChina Surges
The ChiNext index of smaller companies in Shenzhen traded at a record 131 times reported earnings last month, five times the level of the Shanghai Composite Index, after tripling over the past year. The gauge has lost more than 30 percent from its June 3 peak through Friday.

China’s largest companies rallied last week on suspected buying by state-linked funds, according to IG Asia Pte. PetroChina Co. surged 12 percent, the most since December, while Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., jumped 6.6 percent. The Shanghai index sank 12 percent.

The measures should succeed in stopping declines in stocks and if they don’t, officials will roll out more, said Chen Ruiming, a Shanghai-based strategist at Haitong Securities Co.

“The government can still impose some restrictions on trading, such as the short selling of index futures, should the market continue to drop,” Chen said. “If the situation remains unchecked, it may cause dysfunction in the financial market.”

China broke, that's a scary sight :damn: I wonder how much yuan was printed over the weekend to prevent the market from total collapse. Just so y'all know, Chinese savings is one of the main components for the financial engine of the world right now. They lend everybody money, even Venezuela :mindblown: If China were to crash, it would be Great Depression all over again :wow:
 

Domingo Halliburton

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Its correcting itself from the outrageous and artificial growth they've created in the past few years. Great buying opportunity coming soon.

I don't know about that although I do believe the central bank will intervene.

see in the US if you announced a rate cut the S&P would be up 30 points tomorrow. In china it reeks of desperation.
 

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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ensifies-steps-to-end-3-2-trillion-stock-rout



China broke, that's a scary sight :damn: I wonder how much yuan was printed over the weekend to prevent the market from total collapse. Just so y'all know, Chinese savings is one of the main components for the financial engine of the world right now. They lend everybody money, even Venezuela :mindblown: If China were to crash, it would be Great Depression all over again :wow:


they purposefully peg the yuan to the dollar to keep exports cheap. I have heard that theory about their savings and that interest rates are so low nowadays because of it.
 
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Colilluminati

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http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ensifies-steps-to-end-3-2-trillion-stock-rout



China broke, that's a scary sight :damn: I wonder how much yuan was printed over the weekend to prevent the market from total collapse. Just so y'all know, Chinese savings is one of the main components for the financial engine of the world right now. They lend everybody money, even Venezuela :mindblown: If China were to crash, it would be Great Depression all over again :wow:


America ain't worried about them nikkas. We don't need they money nikka, we just wanna spend they money.
 

blackzeus

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they purposefully peg the yuan to the dollar to keep exports cheap. I have heard the theory that interest rates are so low nowadays because of Chinese savings.

Interest rates are so low to boost investment in our infrastructure, but instead all the elites are pouring it into the stock market pumping and dumping, as soon as the interest rates go up spending 1 million to make 1000 won't make sense anymore :lupe:
 
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