I definitely think this one comes down to how the Congressional elections break. While I agree that Public Option and Labor Reform both have good momentum, I think the more bold the next Presidential Platform is the more we can accumulate additional momentum and political capital to press bigger shifts. That's a big reason why I think Warren is still a huge dub for the country, even on M4A she's still the second best option but I think she's pushing her advantages with bigger and bolder approaches elsewhere in her policies. That Public Option hedge from Warren hurts the ability to call a winning election a mandate for M4A and without doing much if anything to bolster the potential Public Option fight comparatively.
Two Caveats:
- I'm still looking at the numbers in polling and approval, etc. and believing that the only way a Democratic candidate loses is to absolutely drop the ball in a huge way or with a ton of successful voter suppression. So I'm not concerned with bold approaches costing votes and I think the margin of victory is likely to be pretty pronounced.
- And I'm still looking at using M4A as the initial goal as the best way to leverage bigger compromises out of centrist dems and potentially republicans too but for the Republicans it's more of an, "if everything falls exactly right" scenario than something I count on.