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Big Developments in Yemen’s Civil War (SALEH KILLED BY HOUTHIS)
- Thread starter thatrapsfan
- Start date
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88m3
Fast Money & Foreign Objects
He couldn't find Yemen on a map. Who knows with the admin...
Last week Saudi and the UN were still able to get food in and they had lifted the blockade on several ports.
ZoeGod
I’m from Brooklyn a place where stars are born.
Ali Abdullah Saleh's assassination and Yemen's tribes
@thatknickfan is this article accurate? The reason why Saleh's calls to rise again the Houthis went unanswered was because he alienated his tribal allies and the patronage system ran out of cash. It's crazy it's been a month since these events occurred and yet the Houthis are on top. Saleh's allies are divided or joined the Houthis. The war is still back at a stalemate. Any news from Yemen?
@thatknickfan is this article accurate? The reason why Saleh's calls to rise again the Houthis went unanswered was because he alienated his tribal allies and the patronage system ran out of cash. It's crazy it's been a month since these events occurred and yet the Houthis are on top. Saleh's allies are divided or joined the Houthis. The war is still back at a stalemate. Any news from Yemen?
thatrapsfan
Superstar
Just saw this. You're right for the most part the stalemate remains and the Houthis have consolidated power in Sana'a. Theyve put the clamps on Saleh's party and affiliates in the city too, jailing many of them and restricting their movements.
A significant development did happen last week though. Saleh's nephew Tareq Saleh who was a military commander and the guy leading the fight against the Houthis last month showed up in Shabwa. It was reported that he was killed in the final battle with Saleh, but turns out he is still alive. Some suggest he may have enough sway to lead a fight against the Houthis in the North, hes popular among Saleh's supporters.
The Southern/UAE/Saudi campaign to Hodediah has been slowly gaining territory. If/when they do reach Hodeidah that would be a very significant battle, but so far they seem to have dug in again. hat being said there seem to be way too many internal divisions between all the factions outside the Houthis to set up a coherent front.
The analysis in the article seems on point, its a good piece.
ZoeGod
I’m from Brooklyn a place where stars are born.
Clashes Erupt Between Yemen Forces, Southern Secessionists
@thatknickfan looks like infighting is reaching the anti Houthi forces. The UAE back seperatist are fighting the Saudi back Hadi forces. Last month we had infighting between the Houthi and Saleh forces. Now it is infecting the other side. Jesus Christ Yemen is a mess. I don't see how the Saudis are going to get out of this mess. So much internal fighting. I am not surprised though. The UAE has given up fighting the Houthis. They see fighting in North Yemen as pointless. They would rather back a South Yemen with ports that could become a UAE vassal state. Iran is probably laughing at all this.
@thatknickfan looks like infighting is reaching the anti Houthi forces. The UAE back seperatist are fighting the Saudi back Hadi forces. Last month we had infighting between the Houthi and Saleh forces. Now it is infecting the other side. Jesus Christ Yemen is a mess. I don't see how the Saudis are going to get out of this mess. So much internal fighting. I am not surprised though. The UAE has given up fighting the Houthis. They see fighting in North Yemen as pointless. They would rather back a South Yemen with ports that could become a UAE vassal state. Iran is probably laughing at all this.
thatrapsfan
Superstar
Yep latest reports suggest the secessionists are winning the fight as well. I think this has less to do with UAE-Saudi than it does with long existing fault lines, Hirak was rallying against the Goverment before the Houthis ever went South, it’s just they have an international backer now. If they do have an outright victory, they will set up a parallel goverment and say the fighting at Taiz etc is not their problem lol. Definitely a mess that won’t be put back together with so many competing incentives
ZoeGod
I’m from Brooklyn a place where stars are born.
The question I have is if the South Yemen secessionist win with the backing of the UAE,how will that affect relations between the UAE and Saudi Arabia? And if they say
to the Taiz front the Saudis are screwed and literally stuck in a quagmire they cannot escape.
thatrapsfan
Superstar
I think they will continue to trudge along, despite the contradictions. They have too many common interests beyond Yemen, to split in any broader level over it. But yes as far as Saudi seeing an exit to their Yemen mission, these developments are very bad. Bad for the people too, yet more fighting and further disintegration.The question I have is if the South Yemen secessionist win with the backing of the UAE,how will that affect relations between the UAE and Saudi Arabia? And if they say
As you said, its a cluster which looks like secessionist dreams in the south are growing and a return to pre-1990 arrangement. But way too early to say.