Gasquet -160 - loss, surprisingly one-sided but hey.
Ferrer -220 - three set win but never in doubt
Dimitrov/Tsonga -231 - routine wins
Benneteau +245 - blown out, extremely disappointing. french players have been a massive letdown except for la monf and pouille.
Sock +205 - lost in the third set tiebreak by ONE minibreak
Lopez +120 - knew it'd happen, beat Querrey pretty safely. I've been burned betting Querrey enough times.
3-3 , minor loss (40 bucks) but considering how decent I've been doing, it's awesome tbh
best day of the tournament!!! 16 players left, 8 matches in one day.
- federer/pouille, too one-sided.
- djokovic/monfils, djokovic will win but monfils is always tough, though sometimes he does his best then tanks if he can't do it.. impossible to bet this way
Servebots vs slow surface
- this indoor hard IS SO fukkING SLOW.
this is just hilarious to me, one of the funniest things i've seen this year. big servers are at a disadvantage here.
- Raonic has been servebotting his way through, his tennis has been lacking. RBA is the opposite... weak serve, but great rally skills. Demolished Gasquet with no problems. Get enough in play, this will be no problem for him. Bautista-Agut +140
- Another big power guy.. Kevin Anderson. Wawrinka has lost to Anderson twice this year.. but on faster surfaces, and while Anderson was playing well. If Wawa has been ice cold, Kevin has been at least refrigerator cold.. I believe Stan has his mojo back a bit and it should be close but decisive. Wawrinka -175
- Berdych's WTF spot is up for grabs here, and he's facing Lopez who has caused problems. But Berdych has always done well here, has extra motivation, and did wipe the floor with Feli last month. Ferrer's WTF spot is also up for grabs, and he's beaten Verdasco 6 straight times. An upset in either match wouldn't SHOCK me, but I think that's unlikely. Berdych -300/Ferrer -360 parlayed at -143
- Tsonga/Nishikori is one of those "masters" matchups that you probably wouldn't see at a slam for some reason. This is Tsonga's home tournament, and I don't quite believe in Nishikori in this spot, not enough to get him at -160. Take last year: Tsonga beat him in Shanghai, and Kei edged past in Paris. Will be close. Tsonga +140
- Last but not least Dimitrov/Murray, Murray has been playing fine but he hasn't raelly faced a talented shotmaker like Dimitrov yet. He's faced Robredo and Ferrer, grinders he can outgrind with some trouble, but what happens when Dimitrov comes by and ends points early? Will Murray be able to hold up? I don't think so, not with his potential fatigue, the fact that he has already qualified to WTF and Dimitrov is fighting for it, and his serving problems might be ignored against lesser opponents but not here. Dimitrov +160
going bigger here cause it's only of the last opportunities to bet on tennis this season, hope it works out. and after examining things further i've put another 200 on dimitrov, would be my best play i guess.