Making our Pockets Fat again AGAIN PT 2 - Official Gambling Thread

seymour cake

seymour cake

All Star
Joined
May 7, 2012
Messages
3,206
Reputation
155
Daps
8,335
mannyrs13 said:
does NBA have moneylines? unless they get added later since its some days away.


Speaking of moneylines, I don't see one posted on betonline for the TNF game. they figure it's gonna suck so bad that they won't even put one. o/u at 38 and I wouldn't be surprised if it doesn't even reach half of that. of course watch it shock us all and be the highest scoring game of the season. :russ:
Click to expand...
Yea I put that ticket in it was a 5pick money line all Underdogs.. if it hit $10 will win me $1100
 
P

profound

technique
Joined
May 2, 2012
Messages
5,034
Reputation
980
Daps
5,491
broller said:
Why are you on the under?
Click to expand...

It’s the formula I follow for cfb when looking at the cash wagered on games.

I look for large isolated bets placed well before game time (and only then), or I like for a percentage of something like 30% of bettors accounting for 50% of the cash (and some guiding factors within these). In either case, that’s the play I want. In this case, it’s the former.

This works for college football better than any other sport, second to none.

But i played not as big as usual because I have nothing else in cfb to cover it in the event of a loss, when I know on Saturday I’ll have 10 plays of equal strength and I can expect to hit 75% or better.
 
Last edited:
B

broller

Veteran
Joined
Jan 25, 2016
Messages
27,455
Reputation
3,061
Daps
78,410
profound said:
It’s the formula I follow for cfb when looking at the cash wagered on games.

I look for large isolated bets placed well before game time (and only then), or I like for a percentage of something like 30% of bettors accounting for 50% of the cash (and some guiding factors within these). In either case, that’s the play I want. In this case, it’s the former.

This works for college football better than any other sport, second to none.

But i played not as big as usual because I have nothinlse in cfb to cover it in the event of a loss, when I know on Saturday I’ll have 10 plays of equal strength and I can expect to hit 75% or better.
Click to expand...

Oooh okay dope. Respect . I might tail.
 
P

profound

technique
Joined
May 2, 2012
Messages
5,034
Reputation
980
Daps
5,491
broller said:
Oooh okay dope. Respect . I might tail.
Click to expand...

at this point, 67% of bets...not what i wanna see.

means it's the ''no brainer'' play, and i never want to be on those.

the no-brainer turns to the ''it was the right side, despite the L'' on a daily basis :russ:

but :manny:
 
B

broller

Veteran
Joined
Jan 25, 2016
Messages
27,455
Reputation
3,061
Daps
78,410
profound said:
at this point, 67% of bets...not what i wanna see.

means it's the ''no brainer'' play, and i never want to be on those.

the no-brainer turns to the ''it was the right side, despite the L'' on a daily basis :russ:

but :manny:
Click to expand...

I ended up going with the under first half because the line came down to 45.5 by the time I got to pulling the trigger. First half total was 23.5
 
SwizzLake

SwizzLake

Superstar
Bushed
Joined
Aug 11, 2012
Messages
6,716
Reputation
-1,076
Daps
12,514
broller said:
What are y'all's early leans for:

Washington at Chicago -1
Buffalo-2.5 at Kansas City
Dallas at Philadelphia-4.5

?
Click to expand...

The Washington vs Chicago game is just too unpredictable, two bad teams at the moment, Is not worth putting money on either side, unless you see something you like during live-play.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top