March 26th Democratic Caucuses - Bernie better bring his broom

StatUS

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Not really for either, although I'm sure he has PA if he has Wisconsin. California would likely force a "vote with your state" type situation with the super delegates or "will of the people". I don't think they're dumb enough to block his way, if they didn't think about doing it with Obama. I do think he needs, at least, 50+ more delegates and convincing wins in the typical Democratic states left to keep it legit.
I'm just trying to get in the mind of this bs process. Of course if he wins Cali big then that changes everything but the establishment rolling over to Bernie isn't just gonna happen like Obama. But if he can get Cali and claim most of the big liberal havens then he can get switches.
 

3rdLetter

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hilliary getting creamed rightnow :dame:
you could even say she's getting, "schlonged"
dame2.png
 

The_Sheff

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It definitely doesn't after today. I would even argue she could get wiped from this point, and the super delegates could be all that's holding her together. The media needs frontrunner syndrome, and Bernie has to take Wisconsin with some authority before the Battle for New York.

He has to win something like 75% of the remaining pledged delegates from now on to overtake her. How can you look at a number like that and think the math doesn't favor her? If Bernie wins NY and NJ by a 60 40 margin he would still be underperforming what he needs to do in order to win. And as you know him even winning those states by one vote would be a massive upset.
 

MrSinnister

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I'm just trying to get in the mind of this bs process. Of course if he wins Cali big then that changes everything but the establishment rolling over to Bernie isn't just gonna happen like Obama. But if he can get Cali and claim most of the big liberal havens then he can get switches.
Only the GOP is stupid enough to go against the "will of the people". Bernie doesn't look like a pick that just riding some trite movement. I'm very sure a lot of these counties are counting how many voters have switched over, from the GOP, to vote for Bernie. I'm certain that will be a huge consideration when the convention comes along, if Bernie has show he could win the delegate count from having ZERO name recognition in the style he did.

At that point, the media would be screaming for them to go against the will of the people, while hopefully Bernie's crew has his poll numbers ready, as well as new voter tallies that uses to be Republican. The superdelagates will start flipping WAYYYYY before the convention as the race starts heating up again, just as they're were starting to after Iowa.
 

MrSinnister

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It is the truth. :yeshrug:

And before you accuse me of being a Hillary stan, I voted for Bernie.
Nah, I don't do that shyt. I'm just going to ask you what about the rest of the primary schedule seems to favor Hillary's math and demographics that have won to this point? Yeah, she's up, right now, but that's not what they're saying. The math doesn't favor her unless something major has changed.
 

MrSinnister

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He has to win something like 75% of the remaining pledged delegates from now on to overtake her. How can you look at a number like that and think the math doesn't favor her? If Bernie wins NY and NJ by a 60 40 margin he would still be underperforming what he needs to do in order to win. And as you know him even winning those states by one vote would be a massive upset.
He doesn't have to win 75% of anything :russ:. I'll get to the math later. He can win 55-45 all the way out, and still win delegate count. It was just shyt depressed Bernie stans and the outsider media was saying.
 

tru_m.a.c

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Real fukking late. Bernie should pop into Wyoming Monday, and make a media appearence, then spend 3 days in Wisconsin, then LIVE in NYC until the 19th.

Opened that BK office this morning with a block party at 11:30am

If could've been in NY, I would've been lit and made that my brunch stop for the day
 

CASHAPP

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He doesn't have to win 75% of anything :russ:. I'll get to the math later. He can win 55-45 all the way out, and still win delegate count. It was just shyt depressed Bernie stans and the outsider media was saying.


Nikkaa are hardheaded. They parrot the shyt media says far too often. If we look at actual delagate counts Sanders and HRC are in a close race. Its the superdelegate that made shyt look lopsided but there is a chance alot of the superdelegates switch over to Bernie.
 

The_Sheff

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Nikkaa are hardheaded. They parrot the shyt media says far too often. If we look at actual delagate counts Sanders and HRC are in a close race. Its the superdelegate that made shyt look lopsided but there is a chance alot of the superdelegates switch over to Bernie.

A 300 delegate lead in a system where delegates are rewarded proportionally is not close.
 
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