Mariota is overrated!

Champ_KW

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Both come with nuance, but Mariota has statistically outperformed Jameis this season in several different categories. That's not up for debate

So if it's both nuanced, why are you discounting the stats vs opponents aspect? You're really championing 98 more yards against the likes of the Colts twice (ranked #30th and both L's), the Browns (#31st and only a 2 point win)? When they've played common opponents, MM is 214, 0 tds, 2 ints against the Raiders while Jameis is 180, 2tds, 0 ints. Against the Bears MM is 226, 2tds, 0 ints while Jameis is 312, 2 td's, 1 int. That's a total of 440, 2tds, 2 ints for MM and 492, 4tds, 1 ints. So unless you're ready to speak on these stats with nuance, you're argument sounds weak.
 

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Both franchises won. :yeshrug: That Hawaiian breh's run game is top 5 in the league right? And fukking Bucs had an undrafted rookie starting at one point. Doug came back, settled things down.
 

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So if it's both nuanced, why are you discounting the stats vs opponents aspect? You're really championing 98 more yards against the likes of the Colts twice (ranked #30th and both L's), the Browns (#31st and only a 2 point win)? When they've played common opponents, MM is 214, 0 tds, 2 ints against the Raiders while Jameis is 180, 2tds, 0 ints. Against the Bears MM is 226, 2tds, 0 ints while Jameis is 312, 2 td's, 1 int. That's a total of 440, 2tds, 2 ints for MM and 492, 4tds, 1 ints. So unless you're ready to speak on these stats with nuance, you're argument sounds weak.

Why are you only talking about passing yards?

I specifically mentioned completion percentage, QB rating, Mariota having less INTs. It just kills y'all to look at the black and white numbers...y'all want to take it into a contextual argument that only benefits Jameis. We can go around and around doing that but if you look at the hard numbers (which I have posted) Mariota has statistically outperformed Jameis this season. There's no getting around that

And if those stats don't matter just say you value your interpretation of their play more than stats and being statistically superior won't ever mean anything to you. Stop acting like you care about the stats one minute then dismissing the rest that don't fit into your argument
 

Dr. Narcisse

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Mariota #8 in yards passing (2,998), #16 in completion percentage (64.3%), #5 in rating (101.9), #4 in TD passes (25), #16 in INTs thrown (8 INTs)
Jameis: #24 in yards passing (2,900), #24 in completion percentage (61%), #20 in rating (89.7), #7 in TD passes (22), #5 in INTs thrown (11 INTs)

Mariota is also ahead of him in Raw QBR (69.3 to 67.9) and total QBR (69 to 67)

He's literally better than him in every statistical category and has played one less game. Like I told y'all from the start, Mariota is a better QB than Jameis right now

@Supa @Dr. Narcisse y'all can go 'head and call @Big Boss brehs :mjgrin:
Jameis played Seahawks/Chiefs recently. Also had games where he played the Rams, Broncos and Cardinals (healthy and in Arizona) which hurt his rating early in the year.

Even after struggling so bad he's still right there. 5 games left before we can decide this play boy.

Too bad Jameis didn't get to play the Green Bay's, Clevelands, Jaguars and Colts twice. Kaep put 300/100 vs. the Dolphins.

I have no problem with people saying Mariota is better. He's balling. They are still very close as indicated by the QBR :ehh:
 
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Dr. Narcisse

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Why are you only talking about passing yards?

I specifically mentioned completion percentage, QB rating, Mariota having less INTs. It just kills y'all to look at the black and white numbers...y'all want to take it into a contextual argument that only benefits Jameis. We can go around and around doing that but if you look at the hard numbers (which I have posted) Mariota has statistically outperformed Jameis this season. There's no getting around that

And if those stats don't matter just say you value your interpretation of their play more than stats and being statistically superior won't ever mean anything to you. Stop acting like you care about the stats one minute then dismissing the rest that don't fit into your argument
Under pressure

In his career, Winston has been pressured on 32.8 percent of his dropbacks, the sixth-highest rate in the league during that span. The league average is 27 percent. Mariota checks in just below that at 25.6 percent, which ranks him 24th out of 38 qualified quarterbacks.

Despite being pressured at a much higher rate, Winston has been sacked at a far lower rate than Mariota, 4.9 percent to 6.9 percent. When under pressure, Winston completes a higher percentage of passes than Mariota, and he has thrown an interception on 1.6 percent of his attempts, compared with 3.7 percent for Mariota. Winston's Total QBR when under pressure is 64.6 for his career, the highest among qualified quarterbacks in that span. Mariota is at 16.5, which ranks 28th.

Accuracy

One factor into completion percentage is that Winston's intended receivers have dropped 3.6 percent of his passes, while Mariota's have dropped just 2.6 percent, which is the second-lowest rate among qualified quarterbacks.

That's not to say Winston's lower completion percentage is all his receivers' fault. Winston has been judged to be off target (over or underthrown passes) on 23.2 percent of his attempts, the second-highest rate in the league. Mariota is at 17.5 percent, which is also the league average.

Their accuracy when throwing the ball downfield is similar. On passes traveling 15 or more yards beyond the line of scrimmage, Mariota has a completion percentage of 44 percent compared with Winston's 43 percent, though Winston attempts two more such passes per game.

Rushing

One area where Mariota has shown a distinct advantage over Winston is with his legs. Mariota has averaged 6.5 yards per carry in his career, the highest among QBs since the start of last season (minimum 25 carries). Winston has averaged 3.6 yards per carry.

Both QBs have averaged similar yards per carry on scrambles, but it's Mariota's designed rushes that set him apart. On designed rushing plays Mariota has averaged 5.35 yards per carry, the highest among QBs since the start of last season (minimum 10 designed rushes), while Winston has averaged 0.2 yards per carry on those plays.

It is worth noting that Winston has seven career rushing touchdowns (six last season), tied for third among QBs, while Mariota has four in his career.

Red zone

As mentioned by John Clayton when he polled executives about the two QBs, Mariota has excelled in the red zone throughout his career.

This can best be exemplified by the fact that Mariota has 31 passing touchdowns and no interceptions in the red zone in his career. He's completed 64.7 percent of his passes in the red zone and taken just two sacks on 90 red zone dropbacks. Mariota's red zone Total QBR is 88.5 for his career, including a league-leading 98.2 this season.


Winston has shown improvement in the red zone, completing 52.3 percent of his passes this season after completing 41.7 percent last year, which ranked second-worst in the league. Despite the lower completion percentage, Winston has still thrown 29 red zone touchdown passes compared with just one interception. And not surprisingly, all seven of his rushing touchdowns have come from inside the red zone.

Consistency

While it may seem obvious that both quarterbacks have performed better in wins than in losses, Mariota takes it to the extreme. In Mariota's eight wins as a starting QB, his Total QBR is 87.2, the highest among qualified QBs in that span. In his 15 losses, it's 40.1, which ranks fifth-worst. That is the highest variance in QBR over the past two seasons among QBs with at least 10 starts.

Winston's variance is not quite as extreme, posting a 72.5 Total QBR in wins and a 52.6 in losses.
:ehh:
Tale of the tape: Jameis Winston vs. Marcus Mariota
 

Dr. Narcisse

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I think passer rating is cool, but I like advanced stats more. Right now Mariota is ahead. Good for him.

Thing about passer rating is that some guys get placed higher than they've actually played. It doesn't always equate to the eye test and where/when the plays are happening. The Brian Hoyer's, Ryan Tannheill, Sam Bradford, Andy Dalton, Cody Kessler etc.

Haven't played better than Jameis imo :yeshrug:
 

Dr. Narcisse

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Jameis Winston or Marcus Mariota? NFL executives make their pick


Jameis Winston seemed to have a slight edge on fellow Heisman Trophy winner Marcus Mariota in Year 1 in the NFL.


In the 2015 draft, Winston was picked first and Mariota was picked second. Winston had the better rookie season. Mariota struggled through injuries and growing pains in Year 1, while Winston had a 4,000-yard passing season. Mariota's one claim over Winston was a 42-14 Tennessee Titans win against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their NFL debuts in which the Titans QB had four touchdown passes and no interceptions.

Plenty has happened to them over the past year and a half. Both have a new head coach in Year 2, and both have a better team around them in Year 2. So which young quarterback has the brightest future?

We asked five NFL front-office executives about which QB they'd want on their team right now -- and for the next 10 years. The results were close, but one has the edge.

Here's what the executives, who were granted anonymity, said about the debate between Winston and Mariota:


What gives Mariota the edge in Year 2
"I take Mariota over Winston by a mile," NFL executive No. 1 told me. "He takes care of the ball better than Jameis. He has a great command of the passing offense. Sometimes, Jameis will make that horrendous throw that will cost you. And then you watch Marcus run. He has a great sense of when to do it."
This season, Mariota has thrown eight interceptions to Winston's 10, but he also has been involved in five turnovers that have resulted in touchdowns, two on pick-sixes and three in which his fumble was returned for a touchdown. Winston has one pick-six and one fumble returned for a score.

Mariota's biggest jump has been his play in the red zone. He's third in the league with 16 red zone touchdowns, completing 29 of 45 passes (64.4 percent). Winston is tied for fifth with 14 touchdown passes and a 52.3 completion percentage.

The closer Mariota gets to the goal line, the better he has been. He hasn't been sacked and hasn't thrown an interception in the red zone. Winston hasn't thrown a pick, but he has been sacked four times in the red zone.


"This is where [Mariota's] feet help him out," NFL executive No. 2 said. "You have to worry about him running, and that's where he can burn you with a touchdown pass."

The interesting part of this debate is that each ranks among the best quarterbacks in the game inside the 20. They know how to take advantage of opportunities.

Different styles of play
"I just think you get a better whole package with Mariota," NFL executive No. 3 said. "Don't get me wrong -- Winston is a good athlete, but he is a pocket passer. He's not going to beat you with his feet. Marcus reminds me so much of Steve Young. He's not a running quarterback. He's a smart quarterback who can run."
Mariota doesn't force the run. In 11 starts this season, he has 45 carries for 264 yards. Last season, he had 252 yards on 34 carries in 12 starts. Surprisingly, Winston has rushed more times than Mariota, but he hasn't always been effective. Winston has averaged 3.6 yards with his 86 career carries, while Mariota averages 6.5 yards per rush.

"What's helped Mariota this year is, his running ability is cutting down the number of negative plays," NFL executive No. 4 said.

Former Titans coach Ken Whisenhunt lost his job because ownership felt he wasn't doing enough to protect Mariota, who was sacked 38 times last season, from injury. Mariota has been sacked only 18 times this season.

Winston's ability to get rid of the ball quickly has allowed him to stay reasonably low in the sack numbers. He has been sacked 50 times in 26 starts, less than two per game.

"I'll be for Jameis in this debate," NFL executive No. 5 said. "I think Marcus has more around him. He has a better offensive line. They have built a great running game around him. I can argue the Titans are slightly better than the Bucs for weapons. With Vincent Jackson out of the season, what do the Bucs have other than Mike Evans?"

Preconceived opinions of the two QBs
"I can't change my original scouting report on Mariota," NFL executive No. 1 said. "I had him as the best quarterback to come into the league in a decade. I just think he had everything. He's accurate. He's a great runner. He's smart. He works hard, and he's always trying to get better. He's the complete deal."
"Both are great young quarterbacks, but I liked Winston the best coming out of college," NFL executive No. 4 added. "What you liked first about him was he was coming out of a pro-style offense. He didn't have to change his game too much because he ran an NFL offense in college. You like the fact he's a pocket passer who is smart."

There is always going to an argument about quarterbacks entering the league from spread or air raid offenses. Those quarterbacks need time to develop because most have never run a huddle. They come into the league without the experience of doing three-, five- and seven-step drops. Many haven't been asked to go through progressions.


"I didn't think it would take Marcus long to make the transition from college," a pro-Mariota NFL executive No. 5 said. "He picked up the ability to call the pass protections to his linemen in the first couple weeks of training camp. He has no troubles learning how to retreat from center. I also think it helped him with Mike Mularkey's offense, because he made Marcus work a lot from the line of scrimmage."

Those in favor of Winston were right about how natural it was for him to fit into an NFL offense and play from under center. Winston is completing almost 65 percent of his passes in nonshotgun situations this season. Mariota is about 10 percent worse.

Different personalities
While the quarterbacking styles of Winston and Mariota are different, so are their personalities. Mariota is quiet and reserved. Winston is more outgoing. Both styles work. They are totally respected by their teammates.
"Marcus is never going to be the one speaking too much," NFL executive No. 4 said. "He prefers working behind the scenes. You see him trying to minimize his time in front of the cameras and doing the interviews. He would rather concentrate on working with his teammates and getting the job done."

"Jameis is very respectful, but he is more outgoing than Marcus," NFL executive No. 5 added. "You have to remember how smart he is. The guy has a photographic memory. Sometimes he doesn't get credit for how smart he is. What you can see immediately was how the team embraced him last year. He was the leader from the start of last year. Players had his back. They all loved him."

What has been fun to watch is how both offenses have quietly grown under the direction of both quarterbacks. The Titans have averaged 25.5 points per game this season, a four-point increase over Mariota's starts as a rookie. Winston has taken the Bucs' offense from 21.4 to 23.5 points per game. Anything around 24 points a game is considered playoff-worthy.

The final verdict
Of the five executives polled about Winston vs. Mariota, three chose Mariota and two chose Winston. All stressed, however, that the margin between the two is slim and that both are quality signal-callers with bright futures.
In fact, you get the feeling that little has changed the opinions of these executives since the 2015 draft. Those who liked Winston then, prefer him. Those who liked Mariota then, prefer him. Both players have moved their franchises closer to the playoffs faster than anyone thought. In 2014, these were the two worst teams in football. In 2016, they are in the middle of the pack.

According to the executives polled, the Bucs and Titans each hit home runs in the 2015 draft. Now let's see which quarterback can get his team into the playoffs first.
 

Champ_KW

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Why are you only talking about passing yards?

I specifically mentioned completion percentage, QB rating, Mariota having less INTs. It just kills y'all to look at the black and white numbers...y'all want to take it into a contextual argument that only benefits Jameis. We can go around and around doing that but if you look at the hard numbers (which I have posted) Mariota has statistically outperformed Jameis this season. There's no getting around that

And if those stats don't matter just say you value your interpretation of their play more than stats and being statistically superior won't ever mean anything to you. Stop acting like you care about the stats one minute then dismissing the rest that don't fit into your argument

So....just ignore the touchdowns and interceptions along with the yards, huh? You based everything off stats, now you're presented with stats, you wanna run from it. So now that your precious stats have been flushed out against common opponents, you wanna hide behind bullshyt like QBR that you couldn't even tell us how it's calculated. Such a gump....
 

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Jameis played Seahawks/Chiefs recently. Also had games where he played the Rams, Broncos and Cardinals (healthy and in Arizona) which hurt his rating early in the year.

Even after struggling so bad he's still right there. 5 games left before we can decide this play boy.

Too bad Jameis didn't get to play the Green Bay's, Clevelands, Jaguars and Colts twice. Kaep put 300/100 vs. the Dolphins.

I have no problem with people saying Mariota is better. He's balling. They are still very close as indicated by the QBR :ehh:

:salute: on you keeping it real

So....just ignore the touchdowns and interceptions along with the yards, huh? You based everything off stats, now you're presented with stats, you wanna run from it. So now that your precious stats have been flushed out against common opponents, you wanna hide behind bullshyt like QBR that you couldn't even tell us how it's calculated. Such a gump....

:dwillhuh:

How did I ignore the INTs? Especially when Jameis has more of them and Mariota has more TDs. Are you insane?

:mjlol: at me hiding behind QBR. Mariota is better than Jameis with QB Rating too, did you kno that breh breh? :mjgrin:

:mjlol: at using common opponents of two games against the same teams to try and tell the story of who has had a better season. How does that make sense?
 

Champ_KW

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:salute: on you keeping it real



:dwillhuh:

How did I ignore the INTs? Especially when Jameis has more of them and Mariota has more TDs. Are you insane?

:mjlol: at me hiding behind QBR. Mariota is better than Jameis with QB Rating too, did you kno that breh breh? :mjgrin:

:mjlol: at using common opponents of two games against the same teams to try and tell the story of who has had a better season. How does that make sense?

So dense....
 

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Why do people still have to compare Mariota and Jameis as if that's the ultimate measure of how good they are? :why:


Their playing styles are nothing alike, their offensive weapons are nothing alike, their competition has been nothing alike.

Jameis haters should accept that Jameis is growing into being as good as he was advertized. Mariota haters should accept that Mariota is showing he was every bit deserving of a top-2 pick. Stop comparing them to each other and start comparing them to everyone else.
 
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