Niger Thread: Junta ends military agreement with USA; Buying Russian weapons now

Liu Kang

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I don't see a thread in HL yet. It seems that after Mali and Burkina Faso, this thrid coup in a couple of years is is the one too much :
- France losing another area of influence ;
- military junta with potential Wagner/Russia ties next door to Nigeria, a US ally ;
- France and the US having military bases there to fight against jihadists ;
- Sahel terrorists wreaking havoc ;
- African leaders seemingly pressed to not make coups acceptable so they are not next...

Seems like a major situation is happening right now there.

LINK : West African leaders activate standby force to put pressure on junta in Niger

West African leaders activate standby force to put pressure on junta in Niger

Ecowas says force is a last resort and would prefer diplomatic means of reinstating

Leaders of a powerful west African regional bloc have ordered the activation of its standby force, increasing the pressure on the senior army officers who deposed Niger’s democratically elected leader last month but leaving the door open for a diplomatic solution.

Speaking after an emergency Ecowas summit in Abuja, President Bola Tinubu of Nigeria warned that “no option is taken off the tables including the use of force as the last resort”. “If we don’t do it, no one else will do it for us. We remain steadfast in our commitment to supporting Niger towards peaceful and democratic stability in the country,” Tinubu said.

After Tinubu spoke, an official communique was read out, which included a resolution asking the bloc’s defence chiefs to “activate the ECOWAS Standby Force with all its elements immediately”. Another resolution spoke of ordering “the deployment of the ECOWAS Standby Force to restore constitutional order in the Republic of Niger”, immediately followed by another that spoke of restoring such order “through peaceful means”.

Earlier in the day Tinubu had appeared to step away from the imminent use of force despite a deadline expiring last weekend, which analysts said strongly suggested that the regional grouping was reluctant to go to war.

In his opening speech Tinubu said “diplomatic negotiations and dialogue” should be “the bedrock” of the Ecowas reponse to the crisis and barely mentioned the earlier threat to send thousands of troops into Niger following a coup d’état there by disgruntled army officers on 26 July.

“We must engage all parties involved, including the coup leaders, in earnest discussions to convince them to relinquish power and reinstate President Bazoum. It is our duty to exhaust all avenues of engagement to ensure a swift return to constitutional governance in Niger,” Tinubu had said.

The mixed messages from Ecowas will do little reassure analysts, observers and international powers worried by the prospect of a chaotic conflict in the heart of the deeply troubled and strategical important Sahel.

Niger is key to western development and counter-terrorist efforts across the Sahel. These have already been seriously undermined by two successive coups by Mali, currently ruled by a military regime, while a recent coup in Burkina Faso has brought a 35-year-old army captain to power.

Tinubu had initially made a pledge to use military means to send a strong signal to other potential plotters of coups in the region. But the practical difficulties and expense of such an intervention, support from Mali and Burkina Faso for the new regime in Niamey, as well as concern among other Ecowas members, appear to have combined to inspire a new approach.

In his first speech on Thursday, Tinubu stressed diplomatic efforts to placate countries to the north of Niger known to be apprehensive about military intervention, and emphasised a need for a “cohesive and united stance regarding the ongoing circumstances in Niger thus showing a collaborative and concerted approach among African nations”.

Analysts said the credibility of Ecowas had been damaged. “Tinubu got quite a lot of backlash in his own country and in the region. They don’t want to increase any differences between ECOWAS members … and also want to distance themselves from the fact that they put down a deadline that was not very realistic and hasn’t been followed up,” said Nina Wilén, director of the Africa programme at the Egmont Royal Institute for International Relations in Brussels.

The rebellious soldiers in Niger initially claimed that they seized power because they could do a better job of protecting the nation from surging jihadi violence before pivoting to a more populist narrative focused on alleged exploitation of the country’s resources by France, the former colonial power. On Wednesday, they again accused France of trying to destabilise the country, violate its closed airspace and discredit the new regime. France has dismissed the allegations as unfounded.

Most analysts and diplomats have said the takeover resulted from a power struggle between the president and the head of the presidential guard, Gen Abdourahmane Tchiani.

Bazoum, elected in 2021 with a 55% share of votes, moved to marginalise a series of senior officers this year and is thought to have been planning to fire Tchiani. The president has been held at the presidential palace in Niamey with his wife and son since the coup.

The US has expressed deep concern for Bazoum after his party said he and his family were running out of food and living under increasingly dire conditions.

He has not been seen in public since the coup, although sources close to him say that has refused to resign. The family is living without electricity and has only rice and canned goods left to eat, according to a close adviser, who said Bazoum remains in good health for now.

Bazoum’s political party issued a statement confirming the president’s living conditions and said the family also was without running water.

The US secretary of state, Antony Blinken, spoke with Bazoum on Tuesday about recent diplomatic efforts, the state department said, and Blinken “emphasised that the safety and security of President Bazoum and his family are paramount”. Niger’s new military rulers have taken steps to entrench their power and rejected international efforts to mediate.

The junta has refused to admit mediation teams from the United Nations, the African Union and the Ecowas, citing “evident reasons of security in this atmosphere of menace”.

On Monday, a new prime minister, civilian economist Ali Mahaman Lamine Zeine, was appointed. He is a former economy and finance minister who left office after a previous coup in 2010 toppled the government at the time.

“The establishment of a government is significant and signals, at least to the population, that they have a plan in place, with support from across the government,” said Aneliese Bernard, a former state department official who specialised in African affairs and is now director of Strategic Stabilization Advisors, a risk advisory group.
 

Scientific Playa

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They are in chill mode. Cooler heads and common sense has prevailed.

Tinubu’s full speech at 2nd ECOWAS extraordinary summit on Niger crisis​


Your Excellencies, Heads of State and Government;

Your Excellency, the President of the ECOWAS Commission;

Your Excellency, President of the African Union Commission;

Your Excellency, President of the UEMOA Commission;

The Special Representative of the Secretary General of the United Nations in West Africa and the Sahel; and

Distinguished Ladies and Gentlemen.

Let me commence by welcoming you all to the Second (2nd) Extraordinary Summit on the Socio-Political Situation in the Republic of Niger, within the space of ten days. Your presence here, despite the short notice, demonstrates the unwavering dedication of our esteemed community to finding a lasting solution to the political situation in the Republic of Niger.

Today, we gather with a profound sense of urgency and firm determination, building upon the commitments made during our first Extraordinary Summit, on the grave political crisis befalling our sister nation. During that initial meeting, we voiced our solidarity with the people of Niger and their democratically elected President, H.E Mohamed Bazoum, by condemning the military take over and the unjust detention of their democratically elected President.

Your Excellencies, Distinguished Ladies and Gentlemen,

As you may recall, we called on the junta to rescind its decision of toppling a legitimate government. We proceeded to impose sanctions with the hope that this resolute measure would serve as a catalyst for the restoration of the constitutional order in Niger.

Regrettably, the seven-day ultimatum we issued during the first Summit has not yielded the desired outcome. We have also made diligent efforts through the deployment of various ECOWAS mediation teams, to engage the military junta for a peaceful resolution of the political situation. One of the facilitators, former Head of State of Nigeria, General Abdulsalami Abubakar, would update us on the outcome of his mission to Niamey.

Similarly, as part of a coherent diplomatic initiatives, Special Envoys were dispatched to non-ECOWAS nations, particularly Libya and Algeria. During these engagements, the Envoy designated for Libya had the privilege of an audience with the President of Libya. This discourse resulted in an unequivocal expression of support for the resolutions adopted by ECOWAS aimed at restoring constitutional governance in Niger. In Algeria, the Envoy was received by the Minister of Foreign Affairs on behalf of the President of the country. These initiatives are aimed at presenting a cohesive and united stance regarding the ongoing circumstances in Niger, thus showing a collaborative and concerted approach among African nations.
Your Excellencies, Distinguished Ladies and Gentlemen,

Following the resolution of our previous Extraordinary Summit to initiate a meeting of the ECOWAS Chiefs of Defense Staff, the meeting of the Chiefs of Staff Committee was duly held from 2nd to 4thAugust, 2023. The outcome of that meeting, as well as a Memorandum by the President of the ECOWAS Commission on current socio-political developments in Niger, will be presented during this Summit. These will offer critical insights that will inform our collective decision-making process at this meeting.

Today’s Summit provides a significant opportunity to meticulously review and assess the progress made since our last gathering. It is essential to evaluate the effectiveness of our interventions and identify any gaps or challenges that may have hindered progress. Only through this comprehensive assessment can we collectively chart a sustainable path towards lasting peace, stability, and prosperity in Niger.

Moreso, in reaffirming our relentless commitment to democracy, human rights, and the well-being of the people of Niger, it is crucial that we prioritize diplomatic negotiations and dialogue as the bedrock of our approach. We must engage all parties involved, including the coup leaders, in earnest discussions to convince them to relinquish power and reinstate President Bazoum. It is our duty to exhaust all avenues of engagement to ensure a swift return to constitutional governance in Niger.

More specifically, as leaders of our respective nations, we must recognize that the political crisis in Niger not only poses a threat to the stability of the nation but also has far-reaching implications for the entire West African region. By remaining steadfast in our adherence to the principles of democracy, good governance, and the rule of law, we can restore peace, stability, and prosperity in the Republic of Niger, thereby fostering an environment conducive to growth and development for all.
Esteemed Excellencies, Distinguished Ladies and Gentlemen,

I am confident that this 2nd ECOWAS Extraordinary Summit on the Socio-Political Situation in the Republic of Niger will be a defining moment in our journey towards a stronger, more resilient, and integrated West Africa. Let us seize this opportunity to make a lasting impact on the lives of our fellow Africans as we strive to build a future defined by peace, progress, and prosperity.

In conclusion, I extend my gratitude to each of you for your attention to this critical issue. I trust that our deliberations will be productive and fruitful, leading us to find an amicable solution to the political crisis in Niger. As we continue to work together in solidarity and harmony, we can ensure a prosperous future for the entire West African region.
With these remarks, I hereby declare this Extraordinary Summit open.

Thank you all, for your attention.

 

88m3

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I think Nigeria might actually push the button


Also never noticed Niger shared a border with so many countries before


:mjlol:
 

2Quik4UHoes

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Is ECOWAS a strictly economic group ?

Its supposed to be, but they were talking tough after this coup.

I think after they pulled up on Yahya Jammeh they got the idea that they are a formidable enough military force to flex that same muscle in this situation. Not sure if it’s a good idea though….:ld:
 

mastermind

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I think after they pulled up on Yahya Jammeh they got the idea that they are a formidable enough military force to flex that same muscle in this situation. Not sure if it’s a good idea though….:ld:
Yeah
My statement was more out of hope. The last thing west Africa needs is a multination war.
 

88m3

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Yeah, Africa's hat game has gotten kinda weak lately

I see what you're arguing for
 

merklman

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Interesting to know that the US backing/funding Al Qaeda to hold Wagner in Niger :mjpls:
 

MischievousMonkey

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- African leaders seemingly pressed to not make coups acceptable so they are not next...
Yep, revolutions bring solidarity out of heads of states like nothing else. They see themselves in Bazoum.

I'm not sure if the war has started already, it seems like Niger is claiming it has, but the ECOWAS' forces haven't apparently made a move yet?

With the terrorist cells still running amok in Niger and its allies' countries, this could get horrendous for the region :snoop:
 

mastermind

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Yep, revolutions bring solidarity out of heads of states like nothing else. They see themselves in Bazoum.

I'm not sure if the war has started already, it seems like Niger is claiming it has, but the ECOWAS' forces haven't apparently made a move yet?

With the terrorist cells still running amok in Niger and its allies' countries, this could get horrendous for the region :snoop:
Lets be real, this is not out of revolution.

A military coup is a military coup. They took out an elected leader to install themselves in power. Abdourahamane Tchiani was apparently was about to get sacked.

That isn't me saying defending President Bazoum, but more so saying use your words carefully.
 
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