Nike lost nearly $10 Billion in marketcap in under an hour bc Trump slapped a 46% tariff on Vietnam, where Nike has 450,000+ workers and 130 factories

2Quik4UHoes

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Norfeast groovin…
At this point I don't want to hear shyt from Trump supporters or bothsiders, their opinions about anything or any topic are absolutely worthless.

One of the most retarded groups in history, we're legit about to have a depression because of their stupidity. :snoop:

I’m kinda at a point where if one of these Trump rallies got sprayed the fukk up or bombed by one of their disillusioned cultists I wouldn’t feel the least bit bad about it. :ehh:

American stupidity at a mass scale like this is a legit danger for the planet. Desperation brings out the worst in people so I don’t want to dehumanize these people, but leaning that much into desperation and fear will also bring you bad results.
 

bnew

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Trump’s new tariff math looks a lot like ChatGPT’s​


When President Donald Trump began yesterday’s announcement of the White House’s latest trade policy brandishing a novelty-sized cardboard sign labeled “Reciprocal Tariffs,” the immediate and nearly unanimous response was bafflement. Trump slapped a 10 percent baseline tariff on all imports into the US, including from uninhabited islands , plus absurdly high rates on specific countries, supposedly based on “tariffs charged to the USA” — which didn’t match up to other, non-cardboard-sign-based estimates. Stock markets have plummeted and consumers are facing down sharp price hikes on potentially almost everything they buy.

Where did these numbers come from? Apparently, an oversimplified calculation that several major AI chatbots happen to recommend.

Economist James Surowiecki quickly reverse-engineered a possible explanation for the tariff pricing. He found you could recreate each of the White House’s numbers by simply taking a given country’s trade deficit with the US and dividing it by their total exports to the US. Halve that number, and you get a ready-to-use “discounted reciprocal tariff.” The White House objected to this claim and published the formula it says that it used, but as Politico points out , the formula looks like a dressed-up version of Surowiecki’s method.

In case you weren’t sure, Surowiecki calls this approach “extraordinary nonsense.” So why did Trump’s team use it? Well, like plenty of people who’ve realized their homework is due in three hours’ time , it seems like they may have been tempted by AI.

Screenshot-2025-04-03-at-14.37.07.png

Caption: Here’s how ChatGPT suggests handling a trade deficit.
Source: OpenAI

Screenshot-2025-04-03-at-9.51.16%E2%80%AFAM.png

Caption: And here’s Gemini’s advice.
Source: Screenshot

Screenshot-2025-04-03-at-9.52.47%E2%80%AFAM.png

Caption: xAI’s Grok is of the same opinion.
Source: Screenshot

Screenshot-2025-04-03-at-9.53.50%E2%80%AFAM.png

Caption: And even Claude agrees!
Source: Screenshot


Here’s how ChatGPT suggests handling a trade deficit.Screenshot: OpenAI

A number
of X users have realized that if you ask ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude, or Grok for an “easy” way to solve trade deficits and put the US on “an even playing field”, they’ll give you a version of this “deficit divided by exports” formula with remarkable consistency. The Verge tested this with the phrasing used in those posts, as well as a question based more closely on the government’s language, asking chatbots for “an easy way for the US to calculate tariffs that should be imposed on other countries to balance bilateral trade deficits between the US and each of its trading partners, with the goal of driving bilateral trade deficits to zero.” All four platforms gave us the same fundamental suggestion.

There is some variation. Grok and Claude specifically suggested halving the tariff figure to generate what Grok calls a “reasonable” result, much like Trump’s “discount” idea. Ask for a 10 percent baseline tariff and the systems also disagree on whether that should be added to the total tariff rate or not. But answers from across the four chatbots have more similarities than differences.

The bots caution with varying levels of seriousness that there are tradeoffs and complications. Gemini, the most strident of them, will give you a page full of explanations as to why this oversimplified approach could backfire — “while this calculation offers a seemingly straightforward way to target bilateral trade deficits, the real-world economic implications are far more complex and could lead to substantial negative consequences,” it warns, adding that “many economists argue that tariffs are not an effective tool for balancing trade deficits.”

We don’t know that Trump’s team turned to an AI tool to generate global trade policy on the fly. Since chatbots are regurgitating information from training data, it’s also not clear how they arrived at this particular formula. But regardless of how the tariffs were devised, the world will be watching to see if they come into effect starting April 5th — and, if they’re implemented, what the Trump team’s back-of-the-napkin math will do to global trade.

70 Comments / 70 New
 

B86

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i'd suggest buying on the way down

the only thing that matters is, are stocks on sale today, and it's already a fire sale. you're definitely safe to at least start buying
Buy on the confirmed reversal. Not on the way down because you won't have any idea of when it will stop going down. Nothing is guaranteed to stop at the next support. Years ago I lost so much money buying stocks on the way down before it clicked in my head that I had to wait for a reversal and confirmation. Don't do what I did...
 

bnew

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1/35
🇺 karaswisher.bsky.social
Bingo
bafkreiaoh6spf76hijsi7ig42k263zjcvanou7t7o2btsish2gaie7t5bq@jpeg


2/35
🇺 willowfrosts11.bsky.social
This is me, personally inviting you to something fun 😏 bytly.in/ea8882
bafkreigiksaljepz3ubxdfhc3t6ehtksbitdivuuh3jy3myvywp7626ysi@jpeg


3/35
🇺 sqldatabunny.bsky.social
no not bingo, this man is a monster and he helped put us in this mess.

4/35
🇺 radicalrhymes.bsky.social

bafkreidybpxosvkvc62wswbmmvog6n533dbzdgolkf555i7wd45trzor6e@jpeg

bafkreia2sgvqsqyjmxmyrf2pwq625y43tjkyfyoaigdbsobu6m47tqlvmy@jpeg

bafkreicmjj2qumakd4c4s5qycjlzsnegmuhvc72wv2uh2m5rtspulvu4pi@jpeg


5/35
🇺 pulpal.bsky.social
Is it possible they were looking for effective rate of protection then found it too complex for the level intelligence of their leader and settled for a laughable fake formula?

6/35
🇺 redmist27.bsky.social
He mentions the Treasury secretary who in interviews clearly states he has NOT been consulted and many “I don’t know”s
What a train wreck

7/35
🇺 kevinstalder.bsky.social
"The Coming Recession is Self-Inflicted. The looming economic contraction will be unique in post-war America in that it will be the first directly caused by White House policy." - Bloomberg
bafkreicvavjqchzrbo6j6cv42wbegg4pkrn6miqgd4zulwzl5qejcxahaa@jpeg


8/35
🇺 ripplepost.bsky.social
They say that sometimes the most obvious explanation is answer.

It seems like they're intentionally trying to crash the economy because.... They're intentionally trying to crash the economy!

9/35
🇺 adorodrums.bsky.social
What does the playbook say?! Did anybody read project 2025?

10/35
🇺 smbrown.bsky.social
Look at Trump’s comment in 2014. He said the best thing for America would be to crash the economy.

11/35
🇺 bluebunaoi.bsky.social
wow it's almost like we elected a moron who hired all his bestest friends instead of experts and now they're all struggling to run a government in charge of 400 million people.

12/35
🇺 graver0byn.bsky.social
No, you misunderstand. Project 2025 required the government to be trashed first, then rebuilt into a perfect fascist government . They're not struggling, it's going as planned!

13/35
🇺 wackyg.bsky.social
Nah the first part is right they are trying to crash the economy, the rebuilding part however they don't care as they already bought many more stocks. Problem is that intentionally crashing the economy isn't the 'buy low sell high' play they think it is and has massive consequences.

14/35
🇺 chalpin2000.bsky.social
Larry summers is part of the problem. fukk him

15/35
🇺 truet.bsky.social
This is some good 🧵 www.threads.net/@grapeylyle/...
bafkreifgw36qpltdjeug72mz5gkhj5ygi6hi427kfjeuaf7nqh6rhngtxm@jpeg


16/35
🇺 leaferi.bsky.social
Yes, exactly.

17/35
🇺 drlizgeriatrics.bsky.social
The point is to tear our country apart for the benefit of the war criminal and for the uberrich to pick over the assets cheap.

18/35
🇺 foreversideways.bsky.social
The knew the tariff levels they wanted to get to then worked backwards to get to the formulation. But don’t worry the tariffs are going well, probably the best tariffs ever. 😂🫣

19/35
🇺 papez107.bsky.social
I can’t believe it was easier and took less time for Russia to take over the U.S. than Ukraine

20/35
🇺 onionwars.bsky.social
We won the Cold War...then Trump comes along three decades later and surrenders US sovereignty to the dictator in power in Russia, a former KGB colonel, and war criminal.

Almost every country in Europe besides the former USSR has been a US ally for 80 years.

It's the opposite of that now. 😐
bafkreiarxxmlvw57p5erjgjvytmjm4igacfzdrhknc7p2o33bxv7ozzlry@jpeg


21/35
🇺 rationalist44.bsky.social
A lesson for America from SE Asia...

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bafkreigcgasiyoom5rolv5sfzbwic4d3fhar65ls52fnp5456ctkbzkcwa@jpeg


22/35
🇺 diogenes-original.bsky.social
Putting a tariff on penguins says everything about Trump and his teams competency.
I watched astonished hosts on CNBC as they worked it out, hours after the rest of us knew. Mouths were open.

23/35
🇺 sirwinstonsmith48.bsky.social
The policies begin to make sense if you consider that they are being implemented by a foreign agent hellbent on destroying the country while hiding his real motives by legitimately blaming abusive treatment by the US’s largest trading partners. Tricky situation.

24/35
🇺 gonzonorthwest.bsky.social
Trump and his team are the kids who did their homework on the school bus on the way to class first period. Just making sh#$ up and handing it in to the world press.

25/35
🇺 graver0byn.bsky.social
No. No. Read project 2025. This is planned. They destroy the government with fake tariffs then rebuild the country into Russia west.

26/35
🇺 geeber2.bsky.social

bafkreibn2wovlqrweghomtyc4mrxr4epnuoywvxkxfwhce75i3uii445le@jpeg


27/35
🇺 opus3.bsky.social
These a$$holes won’t resign. That takes character.

28/35
🇺 leftywright.bsky.social
They need dragged through the streets.

Labelled the Vichy GOP, every last one of them from
Councillor to judge to president

They are all complicit.

They should be shamed every single day to their dying breath.

29/35
🇺 jegath.bsky.social
😡😡😡

30/35
🇺 myonecent.bsky.social

bafkreigmlo7nokushb5j4zl35iluay3co3g7iu2w5avydgta4ll4wdhjlm@jpeg


31/35
🇺 h3lvidius.bsky.social
I understand the rationale behind resigning. But isn't that what they want you to do?

32/35
🇺 redman1892.bsky.social
This is intentional. President Muck, co-president rTrump, Project 2025 creator, Russia and Israel want America to crash and burn, so they can rebuild the utopia of their dreams. They believe, if they can make the masses so desperate, there will be very little resistance during the rebuild!!

33/35
🇺 mfelps.bsky.social
Yeah and summers is a giant scumbag, so you know it's egregious.

34/35
🇺 blakette729.bsky.social
Are you a trump person? What did he do that you're calling him such names

35/35
🇺 mfelps.bsky.social
No, I'm not a Trump person. As for why Lawrence Summers is a scumbag, this is a guy who said Africa was underpolluted so we should dump our garbage there, he was against greenhouse gas reductions, interfered in S Korea's economy, tried to fukk over California's environmental regulations,

To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
 

bnew

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1/11
@quendergeer
oh my fukking god

[Quoted tweet]
they've just asked chatgpt to spit out a spreadsheet haven't they


GnogjWDXgAAF11W.png


2/11
@JapanDeepValue1
🤦‍♂️



Gno6SEbboAA10qn.jpg


3/11
@0xrooter
they forgot to turn on deep research



4/11
@thisiswenzel
Haha, I'm dead.



5/11
@georgia_genx
And now Musk is leaving... lol



6/11
@Rafi_0x
We’re 100% living in a simulation, there’s no other explanation



7/11
@SantiagoPombo
I thought I was kidding:

[Quoted tweet]
Liberation Day Tariffs, Tech Edition:
Vibe coders seized the global codebase, rewrote the economy in one untested commit with zero coverage and no rollback plan, via "git push --force" to main. Servers are melting.

README: "Trust the vibes"


8/11
@stoitz
So funny, I was wondering why they had separate tariffs on St Pierre and Miquelon



9/11
@ISpotLies
The island populated by penguiks is owned by Australia and to avoid tariffs Australia could just send exports through the island. That's why it was listed actually.



10/11
@RyanPMcGowan
Low info post masquerading as high info.



11/11
@xDreamCoding
Vibe governing




To post tweets in this format, more info here: https://www.thecoli.com/threads/tips-and-tricks-for-posting-the-coli-megathread.984734/post-52211196
 
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