the cac mamba
Veteran
he sounds like shyt
Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)
- Thread starter FAH1223
- Start date
he sounds like shyt
DrDealgood
Superstar
One poll and they need to explain how they got their likely voter screen going. Big outlier. Tightening not being seen in many state or other polls - yet.
he needs the ratings 
John Mexico
All Star
Maybe I'm a complete idiot who needs to be negged but Joe Buck sounded completely sarcastic.
Troy Aikmans dikk might have been hard however
DrDealgood
Superstar
They went from +10 to +2 within like a week. Trying to create clicks.
They are rated A/B by 538. Their cross tabs need to be examined closely because this is a big outlier.
BK The Great
Veteran
These days It’s really hard to tell whether people are sarcastic or not. We’re gonna see people’s true intentions very soon. You can probably google his political views.
OfTheCross
Veteran
https://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-tracking-poll-2020/
3.2 MoE
Trump did better with Democrats than Biden did with Republicans.
Independents were close to even
To me it sounded like they were mocking it as ridiculous as it is.
DrDealgood
Superstar
Many more details here. They're possibly out on a limb with who they sampled for likely voters. Their numbers are much tighter in certain subgroups than just about everybody else.
https://www.investors.com/news/trum...ns-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/
But remember, the Biden campaign DID say the race was tighter than believed and I said I didn't think they were just running game.
https://www.investors.com/news/trum...ns-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/
But remember, the Biden campaign DID say the race was tighter than believed and I said I didn't think they were just running game.
DrDealgood
Superstar
Like I said - they're out on a limb. Hopefully a very shaky one.
Smoking With Cigarettes
Superstar
Maybe I just don't know enough but the race tightening this fast after record early voting is sus to meMany more details here. They're possibly out on a limb with who they sampled for likely voters. Their numbers are much tighter in certain subgroups than just about everybody else.
https://www.investors.com/news/trum...ns-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/
But remember, the Biden campaign DID say the race was tighter than believed and I said I didn't think they were just running game.
null
...
Kirstie Alley is a washed up lunatic. Nobody cares about who she's voting for
"Bursty Alley" more like
Bruh this shyt is bunk. No poll is moving 8 points in one week. I'm not going to take it seriously.
DrDealgood
Superstar
I'm not an expert but their sampling looks a lot more volatile to me. They have had outlier results all over the place this election cycle.
"The daily update of the IBD/TIPP 2020 election poll reflects a survey of 1,197 registered and 1,046 likely voters, from Oct. 15 through Oct. 19. The weighted party split of likely voters includes 385 Democrats, 339 Republicans and 308 independents.
The Biden vs. Trump poll likely voter sample has a credibility interval of +/- 3.2 percentage points. IBD's polling partner TechnoMetrica applies a multimodal approach using "traditional" telephone methodology, with live interviewers supplemented by online surveys. Each day approximately 200 interviews with registered voters are conducted, of which 125 are from telephone and 75 from online. In the telephone sample, roughly 65% of interviews come from a cellphone sample and 35% from a landline sample."
My qs would be: who are they reaching, how do they determine who's a likely voter? If they're modeling after 2016, I'd say yeah, give me a lot of salt as I consider this.
The Fukin Prophecy
RIP Champ
Exactly...
8 point swing in a week when Trump had another disasters town hall is comical to me...
I do believe this is closer than 10 though...
