Official Biden vs. Trump 2020 General Election Thread (Biden WINS 306 Electoral College Votes)

[Pressure]

thank god. fukk the debate

whose mind is changing at this point biden has nothing to gain and trump has nothing to lose. i dont like those circumstances

I thought pelosi accepting the deal and McConnell turning it down would change the minds of voters.

 

[GzUp]

PA is getting close, whoever wins that state wins the election

 

[MoneyTron]

Everywhere is a tossup. Embrace the uncertainty.

 

[DrDealgood]

Everywhere is a tossup. Embrace the uncertainty.

For Rasmussen to dare show that result....

unless they just trying to activate the MAGAts.

Not all tossups created equal.

 

[BK The Great]

"Bursty Alley" more like

 

[acri1]

Florida gonna Florida I guess it's whatever as long as the Midwest holds

 

[Reality Check]

i know some of you dont trust these project lincoln dudes, but this right here is what their selfish motivation is



trump has destroyed their party in 4 years hes taken it and absolutely annihilated it. all they're working towards is eradicating him so it can try to be a nationally viable party again

At this rate, the best way to accomplish that would be to use the money they've grifted and create a new political party because Repubs have gone past the point of no return as far as being able to be salvaged.

 

[King Static X]

Florida gonna Florida I guess it's whatever as long as the Midwest holds

Even if Biden wins Florida, he's not going to win it by 6% (which is what the previous poll showed)



This just a reversion to the mean. Also, remember pay attention to the polling average not just one poll

 

[King Static X]

https://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-tracking-poll-2020/

3.2 MoE

Trump did better with Democrats than Biden did with Republicans.

Independents were close to even

Junk poll even with their "A/B" rating. Independents in this election aren't anywhere near "even".

Trump is also not going to be doing better among Democrats than Biden is going to do among Republicans. Just straight

 

[MoneyTron]

I gotta go but I'll leave yall with this re: IBD.

 

[theworldismine13]

A lot if the sentiments you shared since back in the sohh days have been adopted by TLR years later, so I guess we can give you some credit for being a trailblazer in wrongheaded shytposting.

ok I'll take that

 

[DrDealgood]

I gotta go but I'll leave yall with this re: IBD.

Not sure dude got this right. They use a far LARGER sample size, but the smaller sample area is who they mostly get on the phone or live online, was how I read it and posted up thread.

 

[Hood Critic]

Not sure dude got this right. They use a far LARGER sample size, but the smaller sample area is just who they get on the phone, was how I read it and posted up thread.

That's his point, how they are shifting the spread based on adding small sample sizes to the previous larger sample size.

It creates inconsistencies, that's why total polling averages are a better indicator versus single polls.

 

[Frump]

Remember that wheter it’s television or for clicks people want drama for ratings and Biden up big isn’t good for business

there’s no possibly way Trump moved up 8 points this week.

Unless you think people are extremely stupid and the Hunter thing has really moved the needle which I can’t see

 

[DrDealgood]

That's his point, how they are shifting the spread based on adding small sample sizes to the previous larger sample size.

It creates inconsistencies, that's why total polling averages are a better indicator versus single polls.

Got you. The wording is confusing in their method description (maybe intentional) but looking at it for about the 3rd time, if they're using that small a rolling sample each day, gonna be major fluctuations.

Don't know what Nate and crew are thinking giving them that high a rating if this has been their practice for years.