Michigan vs. Holy Cross, Friday at 5:30 PM on ESPN2
I would have preferred they have been a #3 playing in the same region as #1 UConn and #2 Vandy. #1 Texas in Fort Worth is a home game (I forgot FW was a region), their size and athleticism were already going to be a problem. The fundamentals don't really change, Michigan gets two home games before facing a Louisville team that matches up well with them. Michigan has better talent but Louisville has better coaching.
The Sweet Sixteen remains the floor and Elite Eight ceiling... but that's a hard ceiling.
That's kind of a key part of any assessment. Getting rolled in 2/34 games, which were road games, is hardly an indicator of quality. They beat KU about as badly as they lost to them. The B12 championship game vs Arizona is a perfect example of their shot making vs a credible defense.
Let's look at Minnesota's (O: 72; D: 57) and Iowa's (O: 30; D: 35) Torvik rankings. Those games were only close because they hit threes and played defense (crowded the paint tbh). If Cade Tyson and Bennett Stirtz can get theirs vs Michigan, then so can Milan Momcilovic.
All it takes is one hot shooting night, something they're more than capable of manufacturing, for the metrics to be irrelevant. That's the danger. It doesn't mean Michigan will lose, but all that Final Four or bust talk should be on the shelf with LJ.