The Horn of Africa Current Events Thread

Yung Pharaoh

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I was planning on making a Somalia affairs megathread on here but I think it would be a much better idea to make one on the Horn of Africa in general with the recent string of diplomatic visits and increase of positive relations between all the nations in the region. With a huge population and blessed with resources, the Horn of Africa has a lot of potential to become one of the leading regions in Africa. Here’s some of the recent developments in the region :obama:

Ethiopian and Eritrean presidents visit each other and restore relations:
Ethiopia and Eritrea agree to restore relations



Djibouti opens Africa’s largest free trade zone:

Somalia joins COMESA:

Somalia president visits Eritrea:



Things have been looking good this year. Let’s hope for more of the same... :blessed:

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Moody

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Eritrea and Somalia agree to restore diplomatic relations

The presidents of Eritrea and Somalia have signed an agreement to restore their countries' relations after years of animosity.

Yemane Meskel, Eritrea's information minister, shared a joint statement on Twitter as Somalia's President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed concluded an historic three-day visit to Eritrea. The countries have not had diplomatic ties for nearly 15 years.

"The two countries will establish diplomatic relations and exchange ambassadors," read a "joint declaration on brotherly relations" signed in the capital, Asmara, by Eritrean President Isaias Afwerki and Mohamed.

After signing the agreement, Somali president called for the lifting of sanctions on Eritrea, imposed over the country's alleged support for the al-Shabab armed group in Somalia.

"We urge all economic sanctions and embargo imposed on the people of Eritrea must be lifted so that the economic integration of the Horn of Africa region can be realised," Mohamed said.

Matt Bryden, chairman of Sahan, a think-tank covering the Horn of Africa, described Monday's development as good news.


"Eritrea and Ethiopia have had poor relations because of Eritrea's support for groups like al-Shabab and other opposition groups in Somalia," Bryden told Al Jazeera.

"That support has diminished in recent years, and there really hasn't been a confrontation between the two governments," he said.

"It's a thawing of relationships, but it's not as direct or as important as the Ethiopian-Eritrean truce."

That peace deal was signed earlier this month, when Ethiopia and Eritrea declared their "state of war" over, ending a decades-long frozen conflict over border disputes that hurt both countries.

"The region has been destroyed by ethnic and clan cleavage and external pillage and internal thievery," Isaias said on Monday, referring to the deals.

"But this epoch of crises, conflict and instability is not inherently sustainable," he added. "As such, it is nearing its end. We are indeed entering a new, transitional, phase."

However, Bryden said it still remains to be seen what will actually change in the wake of Monday's agreement.

"Eritrea has been in a state of virtual isolation for two decades and Somalia is rebuilding after two and a half decades of horrific civil war and still faces a widespread insurgency by al-Shabab," he said.

"Neither country is in a position to help the other."

"Some of this is public diplomacy to show the region, one another and international partners, that the Horn of Africa is more stable, that its leaders are less polarised and becoming more pragmatic and open," he said.

Bryden also raised the issue of the political relationship Eritrea, Ethiopia and Somalia have with Gulf countries.

"Eritrea and Ethiopia both have fairly close ties with the United Arab Emirates and Eritrea hosts a UAE military base which is actively involved in the conflict in Yemen."

Somalia, on the other hand, has a very poor relationship with the UAE, according to Bryden.


"Mogadishu is more closely aligned with Qatar, so it's not clear how Somalia is going to walk this tightrope between these two camps and where it's going to take Somalia next."

Ethiopia, which is undergoing lightning reforms under new Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, has also requested that sanctions be lifted against Eritrea.

After Ethiopia's peace agreement with Eritrea, its other neighbour and rival Djiboutiasked the UN Security Council for help mediating a long-standing border dispute that has soured relations with Asmara.

Think we can all agree Eritrea is thoroughly exhausted with the fukkshyt. A brilliant thing would be these countries slowly removing themselves slightly from the grasps of the UAE.
 

Moody

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Eritrea and Somalia restore ties, want UN sanctions lifted

This is incredibly important. Eritrea had sanctions placed on them in 2009 for supporting Al-Shabaab. Technically never fully corroborated by anyone and not really well documented either. If both countries agree on a removal of sanctions it essentially means they're saying the UN is a load of bullshyt.

Not a good look for the UN overall.

Subs

I’m between Addis, Nairobi and Kigali if any of y’all outchea, holla

How many Horners we got out there in Rwanda?
 

thatrapsfan

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Eritrea and Somalia agree to restore diplomatic relations



Think we can all agree Eritrea is thoroughly exhausted with the fukkshyt. A brilliant thing would be these countries slowly removing themselves slightly from the grasps of the UAE.
The UAE is the key external driver behind recent Eth-Eri-Somalia diplomacy, the opposite is happening and I don’t think it’s unquestionably a bad thing if leveraged well.


I also think they help engineer Farmaajos visit to Eritrea. His Informations Minister said Eritrea will mediate between Somalia and the UAE. I suspect Somalia will restore relations with them sooner than later ( I was calling this in earlier posts)
 

Moody

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The UAE is the key external driver behind recent Eth-Eri-Somalia diplomacy, the opposite is happening and I don’t think it’s unquestionably a bad thing if leveraged well.


I also think they help engineer Farmaajos visit to Eritrea. His Informations Minister said Eritrea will mediate between Somalia and the UAE. I suspect Somalia will restore relations with them sooner than later ( I was calling this in earlier posts)

I disagree. I am more inclined to believe the pressing reconciliation between Ethiopia and Eritrea spearheaded this more than anything (although the UAE had its hands on that one). It's very difficult to leverage something from the UAE. Sovereignty, land disputes, and trade agreements only exist for their benefit in their eyes.

They currently have stakes in a stupid amount of ports, and Djibouti lost its DP World renegotiation case. We're talking a 33 percent stake for the UAE iirc. They need to go, fam.
 
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