Bernie vs Trump determines the NH primaries on both sides. Trump needs to tread carefully or he loses the Independents in NH that can vote in either primary..and I believe 44% of voters identify as Independent there (need to confirm that #). Trump really needs to have a super strong showing while focusing on Bernie and without insulting him. NH people generally have very strong values of etiquette, not religion. If Trump wyles, he may win within the margins vs Rubio or (gasp, a governor)..but itll be spun as a worse loss than Iowa and a serious decline in Independent support (where all the new voters come from and is his key to victory)