It’s about time to call it.
Historically every major power shift between a dominant World power and the next came down to war. It took the Seven Years War, the French Revolution and the Napoleonic Wars for the baton to be passed from France to the UK. It took World War I and World War 2 for the US to take the baton of power from the UK. Now we’re in the midst of seeing the baton being passed from the United States to China.
The big problem is that it’s never the rising power that tries to hold onto its position via war. France went into a revolution, not Britain. Germany waged WW1 and WW2 because it didn’t want to lose its position as a great power and had completely missed the window to become a colonial power. It’s not the Chinese that are feeling the pressure right now, it’s the United States. We’d all love to think that the US can’t afford a major war but the real problem right now here is that almost everyone is so gaslit under constant propaganda that “things aren’t that bad” and if they are then that it’s someone else’s fault. It’s not so different from what Hitler fed the Germans in WW2, where everything wrong was because of the Jews and Communists. Today, Trump is basically blaming China, Europe and the World At Large for the United States’ downfall. There’s danger lurking within such actions when you start to get cornered by your lies and then have to go to war to try to salvage your position.
It never, ever works. Napoleon didn’t defeat Britain, the Kaiser couldn’t overcome the Entente and Hitler lost to Stalin.
With regard to Trump and how things will play out..we’re in some deep shyt. We’re entering some very bad times right now. This isn’t really an economic analysis but I’m betting on things becoming less and less economical and more and more political, more warlike. Trump may be hated by Washington but if he starts losing his power base with his continued idiocy, he will undoubtedly give the one faction in Washington that wants war EXACTLY what they want. Bush did this with 9/11 and the wars when Republicans had lost ALL credibility in the 90’s. Trump will have to turn to someone else in D.C. and that dumbfukk will say that warring with China will be the right choice.