Tiny vs Oscar: Rockets @ Thunder official game thread

Joined
Apr 30, 2012
Messages
89,679
Reputation
10,321
Daps
241,485
The fact that Harden gets more assists from better shooters only tells us that his passing ability was underrated before because he was on a team with poorer shooters..
In some respects I completely agree, which is why I said I don't see his play (assists/playmaking) as being anymore impressive this season simply because he's averaging more assists. He just simply has the ball in his hands more often (6.4 mins time of possession last season compared to 9.5 mins this season - which is a WHOLE minute more than the 2nd ranked player) with better offensive personnel.
You said the only thing we can go by is "how effective each player's style and skillset is at generating points for their team while they're on court". I haven't checked today but before last night Harden led the league in that category by quite a bit. Harden is part of the new school of efficient basketball. Westbrook is less efficient but at his peak equally potent and arguably more spectacular to watch. It is what it is breh.
I don't necessary mean a stat/category, but how effective a player's style is at getting points whether scoring or setting teammates up. I probably should have framed it as "how effective each player's style and skillset is at generating points for themselves and looks for their team while they're on court", because if you're comparing players who generate points for their team through assists/FGM it isn't always going to be accurate when offensive personnel isn't the same.
 

Professor Emeritus

Veteran
Poster of the Year
Supporter
Joined
Jan 5, 2015
Messages
51,331
Reputation
19,940
Daps
204,118
Reppin
the ether
If you consider the number of actual points produced and detract from that the average number of turnovers of the team multiplied by the average turnovers by the player, you'll have your answer. The detrimental effect of two or three extra turnovers to a player's value is usually overstated.

Assists/turnover ratio is bullshyt anyway. Turnovers should be compared with steals. Assists should be compared with the number of passes a player makes in a game.

Turnovers are lost possessions. Their effect can be exaggerated, but they're still a significantly meaningful part of looking at what a player is doing.

The reason that assist/turnover ratio matters is because both of them are a side effect of having the ball in your hands a lot. Even the poorest passing PG's in the league, if they dominate the ball, will have a lot of assists by default...and a lot of turnovers by default. Looking at an assist/turnover ratio is one way of seeing whether a player with distribution responsibilities is maximizing possessions when he does have the ball in his hands.

Or course, there may be a deeper stat that would reach that better....something like "usage/assist ratio and usage/turnover ratio" and then evaluate that in comparison with points created on one's own. I wouldn't say that you can directly add in points to created points, because there's other things about team chemistry and such going on there as well that makes those created points a different thing.




What Westbrook and Harden are doing is definitely more impressive than what Chris Paul is doing. The extra points the first two score are significant and more impressive than having two or three less turnovers.

I wasn't talking about points (or rebounds, or defense) at all. I was merely talking about assists. I believe that CP3 is a better passer, and more effective at maximizing his team's play via passes, than Harden's or Westbrook's is. And while assist/turnover ratio is a quite simplistic way of seeing that, it's less simplistic than mere assist numbers, which is what Harden/Westbrook fans are often using.

It also bears remembering that CP3 is getting his 18 and 8 in 30 minutes a game. His stats look smaller than they actually are because the Clippers have been blowing out teams so regularly that he's barely playing. If he was playing normal minutes, he'd be at 22 and 10....but still only 2 turnovers a game. And his scoring is insanely efficient - Westbrook hasn't shown he ability to score with that kind of efficiency even when he's been on a team with some really good players, while CP3 (and Harden) have continued their scoring efficiency regardless of who their teammates were. I will say that Westbrook has somehow remarkably improved this year - I thought his 3pt-shooting would crater this year, but he's somehow having a career year there. It remains to be seen if that will hold.

CP3 at 63% true shooting, Harden at 63% true shooting, and Westbrook at 56% true shooting are all insanely impressive for what they're doing though. I have to imagine that all three of those numbers are going to regress over the season, but they're crazy right now.



Who is "more impressive" is a matter of subjectivity. But if I'm trying to build a championship team with all the pieces in place, I'm taking CP3 as my point guard piece before I take Westbrook or Harden. Taking everything into account.
 

inndaskKy

Superstar
Joined
May 6, 2012
Messages
12,752
Reputation
3,192
Daps
45,664
Reppin
NULL
Turnovers are lost possessions. Their effect can be exaggerated, but they're still a significantly meaningful part of looking at what a player is doing.

The reason that assist/turnover ratio matters is because both of them are a side effect of having the ball in your hands a lot. Even the poorest passing PG's in the league, if they dominate the ball, will have a lot of assists by default...and a lot of turnovers by default. Looking at an assist/turnover ratio is one way of seeing whether a player with distribution responsibilities is maximizing possessions when he does have the ball in his hands.

Or course, there may be a deeper stat that would reach that better....something like "usage/assist ratio and usage/turnover ratio" and then evaluate that in comparison with points created on one's own. I wouldn't say that you can directly add in points to created points, because there's other things about team chemistry and such going on there as well that makes those created points a different thing.






I wasn't talking about points (or rebounds, or defense) at all. I was merely talking about assists. I believe that CP3 is a better passer, and more effective at maximizing his team's play via passes, than Harden's or Westbrook's is. And while assist/turnover ratio is a quite simplistic way of seeing that, it's less simplistic than mere assist numbers, which is what Harden/Westbrook fans are often using.

It also bears remembering that CP3 is getting his 18 and 8 in 30 minutes a game. His stats look smaller than they actually are because the Clippers have been blowing out teams so regularly that he's barely playing. If he was playing normal minutes, he'd be at 22 and 10....but still only 2 turnovers a game. And his scoring is insanely efficient - Westbrook hasn't shown he ability to score with that kind of efficiency even when he's been on a team with some really good players, while CP3 (and Harden) have continued their scoring efficiency regardless of who their teammates were. I will say that Westbrook has somehow remarkably improved this year - I thought his 3pt-shooting would crater this year, but he's somehow having a career year there. It remains to be seen if that will hold.

CP3 at 63% true shooting, Harden at 63% true shooting, and Westbrook at 56% true shooting are all insanely impressive for what they're doing though. I have to imagine that all three of those numbers are going to regress over the season, but they're crazy right now.



Who is "more impressive" is a matter of subjectivity. But if I'm trying to build a championship team with all the pieces in place, I'm taking CP3 as my point guard piece before I take Westbrook or Harden. Taking everything into account.

Some fair points about Chris Paul but there's other assisting stats speaking in Harden's favor than just totals. I think last week he was leading the league in assisting on shots from within 3 feet from the basket or something like that. Shows you it's not just him relying on great shooters. Mind you, Chris Paul is playing with DJ and Blake (lob city) so he has the personnel to lead in that category. Chris Paul definitely controls the ball more but that's also due to him overdribbling a lot which will keep down his turnovers but doesn't necessarily mean it's the best basketball. Westbrook and Harden play high risk/high reward more.

We'll see what the advanced stats look like halfway through the season.
 

KOBE

Superstar
Joined
Apr 30, 2014
Messages
7,719
Reputation
1,100
Daps
34,380
Some fair points about Chris Paul but there's other assisting stats speaking in Harden's favor than just totals. I think last week he was leading the league in assisting on shots from within 3 feet from the basket or something like that. Shows you it's not just him relying on great shooters. Mind you, Chris Paul is playing with DJ and Blake (lob city) so he has the personnel to lead in that category. Chris Paul definitely controls the ball more but that's also due to him overdribbling a lot which will keep down his turnovers but doesn't necessarily mean it's the best basketball. Westbrook and Harden play high risk/high reward more.

We'll see what the advanced stats look like halfway through the season.

Uh, I don't think you quite understand how spacing works. The reason he gets so many assists inside 3 feet is because the floor is spaced by the shooters allowing more freedom to throw lobs to capela and others off pick and rolls because the defense can't collapse the paint, which is exactly what every team has done against westbrook/adams pick and roll(which was beyond deadly last year with ibaka/durant keeping defenders honest and preventing them from collapsing) this year.
 

inndaskKy

Superstar
Joined
May 6, 2012
Messages
12,752
Reputation
3,192
Daps
45,664
Reppin
NULL
Uh, I don't think you quite understand how spacing works. The reason he gets so many assists inside 3 feet is because the floor is spaced by the shooters allowing more freedom to throw lobs to capela and others off pick and rolls because the defense can't collapse the paint, which is exactly what every team has done against westbrook/adams pick and roll(which was beyond deadly last year with ibaka/durant keeping defenders honest and preventing them from collapsing) this year.

Clippers have shooters too and better finishers at the rim. Houston might have more shooters but that alone doesn't account for Harden finding guys at the rim more. As a matter of fact, the Rockets' spacing works exactly because of Harden's ability to shoot from three, to go to the rim AND to pass either for the lob or a kick out 3. You can't act like he only gets those numbers because of the system when he IS the reason the system works. There's no way Chris Paul would average Harden's numbers if he were on the Rockets instead of him.
 

Professor Emeritus

Veteran
Poster of the Year
Supporter
Joined
Jan 5, 2015
Messages
51,331
Reputation
19,940
Daps
204,118
Reppin
the ether
Some fair points about Chris Paul but there's other assisting stats speaking in Harden's favor than just totals. I think last week he was leading the league in assisting on shots from within 3 feet from the basket or something like that. Shows you it's not just him relying on great shooters. Mind you, Chris Paul is playing with DJ and Blake (lob city) so he has the personnel to lead in that category. Chris Paul definitely controls the ball more but that's also due to him overdribbling a lot which will keep down his turnovers but doesn't necessarily mean it's the best basketball. Westbrook and Harden play high risk/high reward more.

We'll see what the advanced stats look like halfway through the season.

Do you know where the "assisting on shots within three feet" stat is? Again, that could simply be because Harden is playing 20% more minutes than CP3. Right now Harden has 50% more total assists than CP3, but that drops to only 25% more when their minutes/possessions are equalized. It's quite possible that CP3 would be equal to or ahead of him on "assisting on shots within three feet" if minutes/possessions were equalized there too.

And I'm not sure that overdribbling keeps turnovers down - I would think just the opposite. No matter how much you dribble, you have to get rid of the ball eventually. And the more you dribble, the more time you have to lose it. In that disastrous GS game I remember Harden losing the ball off the dribble repeatedly.
 

DonKnock

KPJ Gonna Save Us
Joined
Mar 31, 2015
Messages
27,156
Reputation
7,860
Daps
88,738
Reppin
Houston
After throttling Portland last night I'm even more disappointed in this loss:francis:
 
Top