MLB playoffs are a crap shoot IMO. Brewers have a great team, just ran into a buzz saw at the wrong time.
I've experienced plenty of Dodgers playoff disappointments to know that the baseball gods are unforgiving.
Yeah baseball is somewhat fickle like that
Baseball is too random. In a sport where even the greatest hitters only make it 35% of the time and only get 5 or so at-bats in a game, there's just too much random variation (there's a reason why great football teams win 90% of their games and great basketball teams win 80% of their games but great baseball teams only win 60%. And Great hockey teams win 55-65% of their games, hockey is similar to baseball, winning games in these two sports is based on a higher luck to skill ratio ) So who will advance in the playoffs often comes down to whose pitchers/hitters are hot at any given time .Luck is often involved. In baseball, It’s better to be lucky than good sometimes.
Teams get fortunate bounces go their way, get hot at the right time in the playoffs, then make a deep run and even win the WS
Healthy Teams with fortune/luck on their side, clutch factor, favorable playoff matchups, hard work, great Chemistry and execution but above average talent at best can win series in baseball. Unlike the nba for example where the best teams with superior talent advantage eventually always triumph at the end. You can’t overcome it.
Styles make fights. Sometimes a team is built to exploit the weakness of their playoff opponents. Teams get favorable playoff matchups along the way and take advantage of that.
MLB playoffs are probably the least predictable postseason behind the NHL playoffs.
NBA is the most predictable (the best teams almost always win in the nba playoffs -logic is always respected ) talent/skill is much more a factor in the nba than lucky bounces, momentum or timing. Much more possessions in basketball so the elite players on elite teams always get the ball and have plenty of opportunities to make plays and score.
NFL and soccer is in the middle.
A statistical look at luck and skill in sports.
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Posts about luck written by John Cangialosi
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Why is talent better reflected in the NBA than the NHL or NFL? In his book, The Success Equation, Michael Mauboussin places sports on the luck versus skill continuum by using a statistical technique earlier demonstrated by sports data analysts.
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