Coronavirus Thread: Worldwide Pandemic

Professor Emeritus

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I still think meaningful projections are impossible. A week after the shutdown daily cases in Italy have stopped increasing (they have about 3,500 new cases a day for four straight days now) and daily deaths have stopped increasing (they've had 350 deaths/day for three straight days). That ain't "good", the new cases and new deaths aren't going down yet, but at least they've stopped increasing exponentially. Hopefully that's good evidence that social distancing that flatten the curve, which will substantially reduce casualties.

I still have some hope that, if the social distancing works and the coronavirus follows the "flu season" and starts dying out soon, we can keep it to around 20,000-100,000 global casualties for this season. No way to predict right now what will happen next year though.

For those who are saying, "But only 8,000 people have died!", these are the scary graphs:

Coronavirus Update (Live): 198,602 Cases and 7,988 Deaths from COVID-19 Virus Outbreak - Worldometer

iV3YKG2.jpg



When do y'all think those lines are gonna turn back?
 
jj23

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Looks like the CDC dropped the ball either way


WHO and CDC never discussed providing international test kits to the US, global health agency says

No discussions occurred between WHO and the CDC about providing tests to the United States, WHO spokesperson Tarik Jasarevic told CNN on Tuesday, and WHO did not offer coronavirus tests to the CDC.
The United States, Jasarevic confirmed, doesn't ordinarily rely on WHO for tests because the US typically has the capacity to manufacture its own diagnostics.
On January 17, WHO published a protocol from German researchers with the instructions necessary for any country to manufacture coronavirus tests.
That same day, a top US health official said that the CDC had developed an early version of its own test -- not relying on any protocols published by the WHO.

"We actually do have laboratory diagnostics here at CDC that are stood up," said Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases.

Testing began at the CDC, and on February 5, the agency announced it would begin shipping test kits to public health labs around the country. Just a day later, the World Health Organization said it had already shipped 250,000 tests to more than 70 laboratories around the world.

As WHO shipped hundreds of thousands of tests, broader US testing struggled to begin. Days after CDC's tests shipped, some labs reported that the test kits were not working as expected, which eventually required tests be re-manufactured.
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BigMoneyGrip

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GzUp

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jj23 said:
Bottom line, pray you dont have to be hospitalised.

Also the suppression phase will be rolling. We may be looking at months of this until we have a vaccine.
Click to expand...
I’m 37, what are the odds I’m not hospitalized according to that study?
 
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