Coronavirus Thread: Worldwide Pandemic

[TheDarceKnight]

Honestly, looking back I was sick as shyt for the first time in years in January

It’s possible you had it if you had any lung/coughing issues. My mom had 54 sick kids in Jan/Feb that had some coughing and she wonders if it could’ve been covid19

 

[Dave24]

Here’s the gist. Imperial College, one of the best universities in the world, plugged infection and death rates from China, South Korea, and Italy into epidemic modeling software to predict what would happen in the U.S.

The results:
- If we went on business as usual, 80% of Americans would get the disease. 4 million Americans would die in 3 months.
- They ran it again assuming a mitigation strategy...all symptomatic cases in quarantine and their families in quarantine, all people over 70 social distancing. In this scenario, 2 million American deaths.
- They ran it again assuming a suppression strategy...basically where we’re at now, shutting businesses down, working from home, entire population social distancing, etc. In this case, the death rate in the US peaks in 3 weeks with a few thousand deaths.
- Now the catch. If we EVER relax the suppression strategy before a vaccine is widely available, we go right back to the first scenario. They just just started testing a vaccine, which will take 14 months to monitor if it’s safe. Then another few months to mass produce. So basically we could be looking at 18 months of living this suppression lifestyle.

 

[TheDarceKnight]

Here’s the gist. Imperial College, one of the best universities in the world, plugged infection and death rates from China, South Korea, and Italy into epidemic modeling software to predict what would happen in the U.S.

The results:
- If we went on business as usual, 80% of Americans would get the disease. 4 million Americans would die in 3 months.
- They ran it again assuming a mitigation strategy...all symptomatic cases in quarantine and their families in quarantine, all people over 70 social distancing. In this scenario, 2 million American deaths.
- They ran it again assuming a suppression strategy...basically where we’re at now, shutting businesses down, working from home, entire population social distancing, etc. In this case, the death rate in the US peaks in 3 weeks with a few thousand deaths.
- Now the catch. If we EVER relax the suppression strategy before a vaccine is widely available, we go right back to the first scenario. They just just started testing a vaccine, which will take 14 months to monitor if it’s safe. Then another few months to mass produce. So basically we could be looking at 18 months of living this suppression lifestyle.

Thx for the summary

 

[Dave24]

It’s possible you had it if you had any lung/coughing issues. My mom had 54 sick kids in Jan/Feb that had some coughing and she wonders if it could’ve been covid19

What are your thoughts on the imperial college report?

 

[Dave24]

This thread

Damn

 

[ZoeGod]

Crazy thing is we are implementing the mitigation process very slowly. I cannot see American society be in complete lockdown for 3 months let alone 18 months.

 

[StatUS]

It’s possible you had it if you had any lung/coughing issues. My mom had 54 sick kids in Jan/Feb that had some coughing and she wonders if it could’ve been covid19

Yeah, it was about 3 days. It felt like a standard cold but since I rarely get sick I wasn't sure. I work from home so I just let it pass and didn't really go out

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

Crazy thing is we are implementing the mitigation process very slowly. I cannot see American society be in complete lockdown for 3 months let alone 18 months.

Yeah, that is hard to imagine. I think people will just say fukk it and not listen anymore.

 

[Hood Critic]

 

[blotter]

Crazy thing is we are implementing the mitigation process very slowly. I cannot see American society be in complete lockdown for 3 months let alone 18 months.

People will adapt as they start hearing and seeing the horror stories from hospitals

Been telling my mom america is like an abuse victim who cant see the writing on the wall until the "unthinkable" happens

 

[CSquare43]

Me and my wife were just talking about last night how our 12 year old daughter had COVID19 like symptoms back in early Feb and it didn't even dawn on us until now. We have pretty good insurance so it was straight to the ER after her second day of complaining of shortness of breath etc. She plays basketball, so we thought it was related. The diagnosis was essentially an inflated airway.

That could have been the case but in retrospect, her symptoms were almost identical long before the virus was supposed to have hit the US. The only contact she would have had with anyone who may have traveled abroad would have been at her and my son's martial arts class.

This sh*t may have been here much longer than we anticipated.

My wife caught something early on in the year (jan/feb?) and I'm thinking along the same lines you are. She had a fever, body aches and a cough that lasted over 2 months. It seemed worse than the normal flu because the cough wouldn't go away...

 

[blotter]

Kansas governor apparently has been great so far.. pretty thankful Brownback isnt there anymore

 

[Poetical Poltergeist]

My wife caught something early on in the year (jan/feb?) and I'm thinking along the same lines you are. She had a fever, body aches and a cough that lasted over 2 months. It seemed worse than the normal flu because the cough wouldn't go away...

Two years ago my wife had a horrible cold. Cough was one of the worst I've ever heard. Test came back negative for the flu. She finally got better after a week but doctors had no idea what it was and just said they are seeing a lot of those same symptoms but was not considered the flu that season.

 

[blotter]

I think some researchers were saying Seattle necessarily has to have been been in community spread phase since Jan. 15 based on what we know



hate how many asians are going to take abuse over this, but damn china fukked up

 

[Hood Critic]