But what is your point though? You have to have a positive result to have a positive result right? If your argument is that many cases weren’t being counted early on because of the failure with testing, I don’t dispute that. Does that mean 90,000-100,000 cases a day is good? What is your ultimate point on that? Do you think there were more than 100,000 cases a day at the height in April and May even though the diagnosed cases topped out at 50,000 or so? And even if they did, so what? How does speculation about that somehow make 100,000 infections a day now a good thing?
source for the death rate has now halted to “non-existent” claim?
we have had roughly 1,000 cases a day the past week. If that pace continues (and measures certainly aren’t being put in place to slow it down outside of San Fran, that I’m aware of) then we will hit 365,000 deaths in a years time as there are 365 days in a year. Like you said earlier, it’s simple math.
The 500,000 deaths is based on the 100,000 daily cases we are now seeing, if that pace continues, and the deaths continue to hold to the 1.8% percent of daily cases from two weeks prior (people don’t immediately drop dead), then two weeks from now we will see roughly 1,800 daily deaths. If that pace holds, 1,800 multiplied by 365 days in a year is 657,000 American deaths. I didn’t want to do the math earlier and just went with 500,000, but there you have it.