Let's Talk Afro-Geopolitics II: The Future of the Nigerian State

Discussion in 'The Root' started by MansaMusa, Mar 19, 2016.

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Will Nigeria Make it 2060 (Its 100 Anniversary of Independance)?

  1. Yes

    21 vote(s)
    45.7%
  2. No

    25 vote(s)
    54.3%
  1. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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    Hey y'all.

    Decided to start the second Afro-Geopolitics thread. I was really busy with school and work so I only really had time to start the thread on Nigeria (and the wider region of West Africa) now.

    Observations:
    1. It's important to remember that the state has over 160 million people and is the most populous country in Africa.
    [​IMG]
    2. It's also the largest economy in Africa by Gross Domestic Product. 2013 GDP was $521.8 Billion in 2013.
    3. However, Nigeria hasn't been able to reach its potential since the early 1980's oil crash.
    4. 70 per cent of its population lives below the poverty line of $1 a day. That's over 112 million people.
    5. This has occurred in spite of its vast wealth of resources in terms of oil and natural gas.
    6. Nigerian natural gas could not only power its industrialization but also power West Africa which is extremely energy deficient. Nigeria has severe issues with electrification which hamper growth and socio-economic indicators.
    7. Nigeria has large amounts of agricultural potential (it's one of the most arable countries in the world) but this has been underutilized due to Dutch Disease.
    8. It's manufacturing output is only starting to rise after a steep decline in the past three decades. The billionaire industrialist Dangote is getting involved in changing this context but there are risks of monopolistic industrial growth and import bans which harm domestic consumers.
    9. The country is riven apart by ethnic, religious and regional conflicts. The most noticeable currently are the war against Boko Haram, the Niger Delta Conflict and the struggle against Biafran separatists.
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    10. Also, the Nigerian economy is in bad shape due to the decline of oil prices and the economic policies of current President Muhammadu Buhari's. His administration is showing signs of incompetence and willingness to use extra-legal means to get his way (ex. killing of over 700 Shi'ites in December 2015).
    11. Nigeria has entered an Islamic Coalition with Saudi Arabia and is cooperating with its strategic rival, France, more and more as its pulled into the geopolitics of the Sahel because of the Boko Haram War.
    [​IMG]
    West Africa and Africa's future needs Nigeria to pull itself together, curb the growth of extreme poverty and corruption, create infrastructure, educate its populace and get its resources out of the ground and to start industrializing.

    My observations are few because there is so much to talk about. Let's get started.


    @Poitier @KidStranglehold @bdizzle
    Please tag others onto this thread, please.
     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2016
  2. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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  3. Diasporan Royalty

    Diasporan Royalty Wholesome Negro Staff Member Poster of the Year

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    Always thought most of the oil was in the North.
     
  4. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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    Nope. Nearly all of Nigeria's oil is located in its Southern states.

    Buhari is spending billions to investigate if there's oil around the Lake Chad region of Nigeria. Figures.
     
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  5. EastCoastNaga

    EastCoastNaga Superstar

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    What are some of the countries imports and exports? How can we as AA's help strengthen their economy? What goods do you all think we should we focus on?
    :lupe:
     
  6. Diasporan Royalty

    Diasporan Royalty Wholesome Negro Staff Member Poster of the Year

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    Then why the heck does the North control the country?
     
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  7. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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    Exports
    [​IMG]

    Imports
    industry supplies, machinery, appliances, vehicles, aircraft parts, chemicals, base metals
     
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  8. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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    The North controls the country for a variety of reasons.
    A) The Northern elites have succeeded in making Northern Nigeria into one political constituency. The South is divided into the South-West (Yoruba), South-South (Ijaw, Itsekiri and other groups) and the South-East (Igbo). Not even talking about the Middle Belt region.
    B) The North has long dominated the Nigerian military. It started with the British who perceived the Hausa as a 'military-oriented tribe'. The coups of 1966 cemented Northern political domination of the country.
    C) The North has a fairly large population.
    D) Cowardice.
     
    Last edited: Mar 19, 2016
  9. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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    AA's could come to Nigeria as tourists. They can invest in businesses or start businesses in Nigeria. Lobby for more economic liberalization.
     
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  10. Diasporan Royalty

    Diasporan Royalty Wholesome Negro Staff Member Poster of the Year

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    The film industry...
     
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  11. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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    Investing in the film industry helps but it's not a labour intensive industry.
     
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  12. EastCoastNaga

    EastCoastNaga Superstar

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    :pachaha:
    I know amerikkka got us crazy with the media but we got more skills than that breh breh
    :sas1:
     
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  13. The Odum of Ala Igbo

    The Odum of Ala Igbo Hail Biafra!

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    I mean sure, it can generate a lot of revenue but can one compare the amount of employment a thriving film industry protected by copyright laws compared to a viable small-to-medium size manufacturing industry?

    Nigeria has the potential to create one. In cities like Aba in the South-East, there's a lot of potential. Nigeria has a car manufacturing company named Innoson which should be exported throughout West and Central Africa, but, I think the state will subsidize it and not orient the company towards export - thus killing it. Like Peugot Nigeria cars.
     
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  14. Yehuda

    Yehuda Nego Delas

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    What are the odds of the North seceding from the country? And would Nigeria be better off without them?
     
  15. Kitsch

    Kitsch I'm in love Holy Berry

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    1℅, they're the least likely to secede.

    Edit: In the library right now, will expound later.
     
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