Official Oscar 2014 Nominations: Let the fukkery begin (Updated with Official Nominations)

the next guy

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http://www.theguardian.com/film/2014/jan/16/oscars-2014-12-years-a-slave
Is this year's Oscar race a straight three-way split – with David O Russell's black comedy American Hustle and Alfonso Cuarón's space thriller Gravity getting 10 nominations apiece, and Steve McQueen's slavery-era drama 12 Years a Slave just behind with nine? It might, in fact, have revealed itself to be a two-candidate race, a straight-up competition between Entertainment and Seriousness, with the Entertainment vote liable to be fatally split between Gravity and American Hustle, leaving 12 Years a Slave likely to pick up most of the Oscars on the night?

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Or maybe there will be a cunningly managed last-minute propaganda blitz, or cutely spun news controversy and there will be a landslide for one of the un-Serious films, leaving the Steve McQueen supporters (including myself) utterly outraged. Of course, even thinking in these crude competitive "scoresheet" terms is a very un-Serious thing to be doing, and the admirers of 12 Years a Slave may have a sinking feeling that it will not be properly rewarded in the tinselly, meretricious, un-Serious Oscar world. For Sean Bobbitt not to get a nomination for cinematography is very perplexing and a very bad omen. Notoriously, Brokeback Mountain lost out to the moderate drama Crash in 2005 – although it is Brokeback which is still now hugely admired and Crash largely forgotten, confined to the DVD dumpbin of history.

Can it really be true that 12 Years a Slave – far and away the best film on this year's Academy award nomination list – will fail to get the historic clean-sheet it deserves, and may even get humiliatingly overshadowed by the likes of American Hustle or Dallas Buyers Club? If that is the case, will it reveal the Academy to be guilty of bad or even reactionary taste?

It is very difficult to tell. But perhaps there was a moment during the recent Golden Globes ceremony which was a straw in the wind: Amy Poehler's joke on the subject. She said that after 12 Years she would "never look at slavery in the same way again". The presenters were careful to top this gag off by getting Tina Fey to give a stunned look at Amy, to make sure we realised the joke was about her goofy naivety, not any supposed obviousness or hectoring on the part of the film itself. But what was a joke could be a potential serious problem selling this movie to Academy voters who may not get round to watching 12 Years on their DVD screener copies. The media commentariat may be a lot more young, diverse and liberal than this electorate, which the Los Angeles times last year revealed to be 94% Caucasian and 77% male with a median age of 62.

I say all this to pre-empt ill-fortune: I'm still hopeful that the first eventuality I outlined will prevail, that a combination of inadvertent tactical voting and aesthetic justice will mean triumph for Steve McQueen's remarkable and, I think, historic film.

Otherwise, there are some interesting points: Philomena is in the running for best adapted screenplay and for Dame Judi herself as best actress, although it is disappointing that Paul Greengrass did not get a best director nomination for Captain Phillips. The nominations for Nebraska: Best Director (Alexander Payne), Best Film, Best Actor (Bruce Dern) and Best Supporting Actor (June Squibb) are very heartening, and reflect in what esteem this excellent film is held. In many ways, it would be great to see June Squibb get an Oscar and pastiche her speech in the aggressive style of her gloriously foul-mouthed character.

Vote split?
 

TheGodling

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The Academy always goes for the safe pick so American Hustle will win over TWoWS and 12YaS. Cuaron seems like a shoe-in for best director because the Academy favors foreign directors who are respected in the game (see the love they have for Ang Lee).

Best Actor is tough as hell but I think this might be Leo's year. It's long overdue and they'll skip over McConaughey because he'll be an Oscar regular for the next couple years so he'll get his shot. Chiwetel might lose because I think 12 Years will only see some love in the 'lesser' categories such as screenplay, editing, production design, costume design, etc.

Best actress is also gonna be tough. I figured Amy Adams would be a shoe-in but I forgot how good Blanchett was in Blue Jasmine. Still think it will go to Adams over the momentum of American Hustle.

Jared Leto will take Best Supporting Actor. For the others the nomination is the award.

Similarly Jennifer Lawrence will take Best Supporting Actress. She might play Mystique in X-Men but in Hollywood she's the Juggernaut, her momentum is sky-high and her success is unstoppable.
 

Conz

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Is "American Hustle" that good? I still haven't given it a chance and I like David O Russell but I feel like they are showering him with Nods cause he lost with "The Figther" and "Silver Lining Playbook". I'm happy for Leo for "Wolf". If 12 years doesn't get actor, I want Leo to finally win.
i legitimately HATED that movie. i think people are hyping the acting bc there's nothing else to even consider hyping about it. Lawrence's performance is one of the most miscast, hammiest roles ive ever seen. no hyperbole. im not mad Bale is nominated, but the rest can fukk off. in closing, fukk this movie
 

the next guy

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Damn been on since 8. What did I miss? White Collar is on and I'd rather watch that right now than the CCA
Lupita and Sandra won so far, so did Leo. AH won ensemble cast. It's been low key and the CW look so second class compared to brad cooper and them!
 

Big Blue

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Abdi should win it and I'm not even being biased. I actually think he outshined Hanks.
 

Big Blue

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Come on, we are talking Oscars who have been horrible when it comes to diversity. All white, All Night. There's always only enough room for 1 "Black" film. "Fruitvale" and "The Bulter" was thrown in the bushes. Messed up, I blame Weinstien for putting "Fruitvale" out in the Summer, it was a fall/winter movie for the Oscar Race. Also The Director/Writer this was his 1st big movie. But this isn't a "Boyz in the Hood" situation so the competition was just too hard. "The Bulter" just got outshined by "12 Years" also.
Yeah, and honestly after Three 6 won, it's hard to make a case for a lack of diversity.
 
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