Predictions of the Mueller Investigation's Outcome

FAH1223

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Mueller’s Digging Exposes Culture of Foreign Lobbying and Its Big Paydays
By Mark Mazzetti and Katie Benner
Aug. 1, 2018

WASHINGTON — The mandate given to Robert S. Mueller III and his team was broad: to investigate not just Russian election interference but also any related crimes they might unearth. So when this group of seasoned prosecutors began rooting around Washington, they pounced on a ripe target — lobbyists taking millions of dollars from foreign governments.

At the trial of Paul Manafort, an unflattering picture has emerged of lawyers, lobbyists and consultants from both political parties winning big paydays for work on behalf of a Kremlin-aligned former Ukrainian strongman. Some spent the money on cars and homes, prosecutors said, and a jacket made of ostrich for Mr. Manafort.

The vigor with which Mr. Mueller has investigated the flows of foreign money from Ukraine, Turkey and other countries into Washington could be as much a part of his legacy as special counsel as whatever he discovers about possible collusion between Russia and the Trump campaign or presidential obstruction of justice.

The Manafort case is part of a broader inquiry into the lucrative work done on behalf of the former president of Ukraine, Viktor F. Yanukovych, and Mr. Mueller has handed some elements of the investigation to prosecutors in Manhattan. Beyond the special counsel’s office, the Justice Department has also recently been pursuing foreign influence cases with greater urgency.

In addition to Mr. Manafort, the recent cases include the special counsel’s indictments against Russians who disseminated stolen information and used disinformation to influence how Americans perceived the candidates in the 2016 presidential election. Also among them is the complaint against Maria Butina, the Russian accused of acting as a foreign agent and plotting to gain Republican support for pro-Russia policies.

Even the case against Michael T. Flynn, Mr. Trump’s former national security adviser, included allegations that he had lied to investigators about lobbying work he did on behalf of the Turkish government.

merlin_141685830_51fd73a9-e621-44ea-a020-271f58c379f6-articleLarge.jpg

Over the past year, Robert S. Mueller III and the Justice Department have pursued cases both under the Foreign Agents Registration Act and related to foreign influence operations more broadly.
Credit J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press

Taken together, the cases shine a light on foreign influence operations that have become deeply embedded in Washington, and the culture of lobbyists who get rich helping their foreign clients affect how laws and policies are made in the capital.

To be sure, federal law enforcement officials took a more aggressive stance on foreign influence before the appointment of Mr. Mueller. They increased enforcement of FARA as part of a move to do “everything we could to meet the counterintelligence mission of the Justice Department,” said David Laufman, the former chief of the department’s counterintelligence and export control section who oversaw the enforcement surge.

The department began to write more aggressively worded letters to lobbyists seeking information about their work. After receiving letters of inquiry from the Justice Department last year, four Russian news media companies, including RIA Global and RTTV America, have registered as agents of a foreign principal under FARA. In retaliation, Russia passed a law to designate international news media companies as foreign agents.

But because of the intense attention it has drawn, Mr. Mueller’s investigation shined a spotlight on the waves of foreign money washing through American politics in a way that the other Justice Department efforts never could.

The number of new primary FARA registrations grew to 102 in 2017 from 69 in 2016, and was on pace to rise again in 2018, according to figures from the Justice Department published by the law firm Holland & Knight.

The first days of Mr. Manafort’s trial offered exhibit after exhibit of this lavish world, beginning with his extravagant purchases, including cars, Persian rugs and expensive clothes.

It also revealed bipartisan largess. One 2014 email presented in court on Tuesday showed the Democratic consultant Thomas A. Devine proposing a “day rate” of $10,000 to do work in Ukraine on behalf of Mr. Yanukovych, the Russia-aligned former president who was a longtime client of Mr. Manafort.

“You would need to make the travel arrangements, and transfer the $50G before the trip,” he wrote to Rick Gates, Mr. Manafort’s partner for the Ukraine work. “If you want me to come on Monday and leave Thursday it would be $40G.”

Mr. Devine, who is known as Tad, went on to become the chief strategist for the presidential campaign of Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, a self-proclaimed democratic socialist.


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At Paul Manafort’s trial, an unflattering picture has emerged of lawyers, lobbyists and consultants winning big paydays for work on behalf of a Kremlin-aligned former Ukrainian strongman.
Credit Reuters

In addition to the investigations of Mr. Manafort and Mr. Gates, who pleaded guilty in February to numerous financial crimes and became a cooperating witness in the special counsel investigation, Mr. Mueller’s team pursued three other investigations into lawyers and lobbyists who did work in Ukraine.

The cases involve Gregory B. Craig, who served as the White House counsel under President Barack Obama before leaving to work for the law firm Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom; Tony Podesta, an influential Washington lobbyist whose brother, John D. Podesta, was chairman of Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign; and former Representative Vin Weber, Republican of Minnesota, who joined the lobbying firm Mercury Public Affairs after leaving Congress.

None have been charged with any crimes. Mr. Mueller’s referral of those cases several months ago to federal prosecutors in New York was revealed in news reports on Tuesday.

Whereas the public once thought of the Justice Department’s counterintelligence mission as primarily trying to catch foreign spies seeking to obtain government secrets, the department has made clear in a recent cybercrimes report and congressional testimony that influence has become as great a threat.

The government’s case against Ms. Butina, which was not brought under FARA, could be a template for future prosecutions, said a former Justice Department official, who predicted they could spread to influence peddling from Eastern Europe and China as well as Russia.

Ms. Butina was charged with acting as a Russian agent, a more serious crime than a typical FARA violation. The charge allowed prosecutors to impanel a grand jury and issue subpoenas to subjects of investigations — tools not available in most FARA inquiries. Bills to give the Justice Department the power to compel records in FARA cases are sitting in Congress but have gained little traction.

The lobbying industry last faced intense scrutiny after the Republican lobbyist Jack Abramoff was caught up in a sprawling corruption and bribery investigation. He went to jail in 2006 for fraud. That case put a temporary chill on the industry, and some Washington lobbyists made up for lost business with foreign clients trying to exert influence on American politicians.

The Justice Department will continue to pursue foreign influence operations inside the United States, the deputy attorney general, Rod J. Rosenstein, vowed last month.

Russian schemes to influence the presidential election, he said, are “just one tree in a growing forest.”
 

Formerly Black Trash

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This shyt will be over before Mueller completes the case. I have a strong feeling that something will drop from now and probably fall that will get Trump the fukk outta here with the RNC. I think our intelligence agencies are sitting on treasure troves and is just waiting the right time

It will have to be somethin huge...because trump can just say fake news
 

Formerly Black Trash

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My thoughts is Muellar is going to take out all the repubulicans that were in collusion with Russia which is half the party. It's going to be so bad that there will be hardly no republican party.

As for trump dude will is diagnosed to be bat shyt crazy and the army and fbi will hold him at a special facility. Because they won't be able to trust that he won't leak information about the US to other people or countries.

Once trump is gone both bush and Obama will come back as ambassadors to run the government until the 2020 elections. shyt will get real because there will be protests all over the country of people not believing in the government and there will be snipers on the roofs killing protestors. shyt is going to be chaos in the next year or so.

I do believe Putin will leak information on trump since he will see that he won't be able to do what he was intended to do. Which was lift the Sanctions so Russia can eat.

This is nice fanfic
And I mean it...would be a good ass movie
But no way that’s happening
Obama and Bush ain’t come coming back
Trump probably is half insane and needs to be under lockdown whether he gets arrested or not once he’s out out
 

Wargames

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They gonna put people in jail and dare Trump to pardon them. He'll do it too cause he's a fukking idiot. Then they gonna wait to see if the Dems get the house (maybe even the senate) and put that fire under Trump for collusion and obstruction.

This time next year Trump gonna be under intense scrutiny maybe even in impeachment procedures
 

the cac mamba

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i cant wait til they get ahold of this fools tax returns next year :banderas: the embarrassment

i was reading twitter today, and someone said he looks like a cremesicle that got thrown into a haystack :mjlol:
 

mc_brew

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the black cat is my crown...
honestly i don't think anything will happen.... i don't think trump will be impeached or charged, nor will any of his inner circle.... the worst case scenario for trump is he runs in 2020 and loses..... :yeshrug:
i'm more convinced now than ever that nothing's going to happen...
 

Starman

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I predict the report will use politically damaging language to describe the behavior of Trump and members of his campaign, but nobody is going down for collusion/conspiracy with Russia. A significant amount of Dems will be dissappointed, and claim that because Muellers a Republican, the fix was in. The report will serve as opposition research for Dems in 2020.
 
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I predict the report will use politically damaging language to describe the behavior of Trump and members of his campaign, but nobody is going down for collusion/conspiracy with Russia. A significant amount of Dems will be dissappointed, and claim that because Muellers a Republican, the fix was in. The report will serve as opposition research for Dems in 2020.
People have already gone down for "collusion/conspiracy" including a Russian agent :mindblown:
 

Orbital-Fetus

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i'm more convinced now than ever that nothing's going to happen...

nah, fam...nah.

there are something like 17 federal and state criminal investigations into his foundation, campaign, trump org. and the administration.
that's not even taking into account the House investigations that are about to kick off.
 

Starman

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People have already gone down for "collusion/conspiracy" including a Russian agent :mindblown:

Who are these "people"? I suspect the agent you're referring to is Maria Butina, but I don't think she's been alleged to have been working with Trump's campaign- collusion.
 
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