Didn't want to lay the points with GS tonight but I bet the ML and laid the juice at -220 (68% chance of winning).......Felt good about it with it closing -280 and -300.
My model had GS at around a 71% chance of winning. So getting a 3 percent edge was cool even if I'm laying a bit of juice. My model had the game at 7 with the opening line being like 5.5-6 so I really didn't want to lay points as I felt like the Jazz could keep it close and make it a game with this being their first home playoff game in like 5 years or so.
I've said this before but I honestly think both Cleveland and GS are sweeping their conferences so if you can get any reduced lines for road games or laying 2 to 1 or a little more on Cleveland and GS I think you probably have an edge. I bet Cleveland -2 HUGE at all my accounts before the line moved to 4.5 and some sharps bought it back down to 3 the other night against Toronto.
I think the line tomorrow for Cavs/Raptors is heavily inflated and probably not worth betting even if the Cavs will win. It's -7 on the road and you have to lay 3 to 1 on the ML