Only reason they want Joe to drop out is because they know he’s going to win the nomination.
my friend, this is not the same logic.
The dem primaries are not the same as the full on general election vs trump. The reasoning being is math.
There's this thing called the electoral college which is the only reason trump beat hillary to begin with. its not about who will get the most votes in america. its who will get the most Electoral college points.
How did HIl lose? she didnt win enough swing/purple states. she won all of the obvious blue dem states, lost the obvious red ones. and lost too many swing states. this means, trump turned some purple states red and that was enough to beat her via the EC points.
Do you understand this ATL? Do All of you responding understand this math? I'm asking because if you do not understand this. we can't even have the Op's discussion.
So lets assume you understand the above. then you have to ask a simple question. With the given already known. any Dem that wins the primaries, will automatically get every single obvious blue state. Do we Agree? If any of you dont agree, prove me wrong with some recent historic information to back it up. otherwise we will roll with this point.
ANY DEM THAT WINS their Primary will win ALL DEM states in the General vs trump.
Trump will win all Red states.
So now we're back in 2016 again. who's going to win ENOUGH Swing states/Purple states?
creepy bad ideas centrist known loser Joe Biden?
so called socialst Bernie?
Liz the native american?
They created me with a 3d printer Mayor Pete?
UBI will cure cancer too, Yang?
steyer dont count, bloomberg does not count.
Which one of those people will win enough purple states?
Go look at the polls in 2016, who polled the best in purple states hillary or Bernie? Bernie (that should've told you all you need to know.) for a guy that is hated by most main stream press. for the people to still know enough about him back then to say they would vote for him over hil and over trump. should tell you something. it means his message has broken thru against ALL odds. that means his message is stronger than trumps and hils because both of them were getting major media play.
The same is true today.
the only reason people are rolling with joe is due to obama. no other reason aside from that. which means he will not bring any new people out to vote. why would i talk about new people? because you need to bring out people who stayed home in those purple states, and/or new voters who never vote(usually the young, or just turned 18 types).
yall do realize hilary barely lost in those swing states. which means a few 1000 votes here and there and bam that lady woudl've been the first lady pres. dont make the same mistake twice america.
Bernie is THEE only candidate right now, that has non voters excited and new young voters excited.
You will say but but but the old guard doesnt like him. doesnt matter. They will vote blue regardless of who the nominee is, once the general hits. so we have them in the bag. this is not a case of getting the people who you dont have to campaign to get. its about getting people off their butts that didnt vote last time and new voters that may be on the fence about voting this time.
Bernie is thee only candidate thats doing that. as much as young people like yang. its not young non voters. its young well off educated voters that already vote. sure he will have some young asian 18 yr olds. as he should. but that may not be enough. bernie is bringing ev..ery body out. all races, all ages..and most of those people who dont vote. people that are seeing their money come up short no matter what trump's economy numbers say.
this is america, it's how people think
