I'm in supply chain dealing with the fukkery AMA; Update: Chip shortage until at least 2022

DrBanneker

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Any of y’all in transportation? Chassis shortages in my city and in places like Chicago got us all like:sadcam:

Add in the i-40 bridge being down and the backlog of containers on the west coast, shyt sucks

Yeah this chassis shyt is a problem at the Port of NY/NJ out here too. Complete nightmare.
 

The M.I.C.

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Why? I know why they wanted Huawei out but what is so urgently needing 5G?

There’s quite a few next generation tech in the military/government’s back pocket that’s only operable and efficient on 5G frequency..it can’t be fully deployed at the civilian level until network reliability can be assured.
 

Professor Emeritus

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Yes and in a bunch of ways:

1. Some things like lumber and housing began soaring during COVID as people began a lot of migration in the country due to WFH and also a lot of free time to do home improvement.

2. Everyone shed workers in COVID so labor forces and capacity were way down. Shippers began laying up containers and ships due to trade slowing

3. Nobody, I mean NOBODY predicted how fast demand would come back in January. The story is the same everywhere

4. Because of #2, no one had workers and capacity to ramp up quickly. Also because of #2 inventories were down since people stopped producing so you have an instant shortage of materials and labor capacity

5. It is hard to hire anyone. Maybe it is wages in the service sector but even in manufacturing we have trouble getting people to come in for $15-20/hr and half that do fail the drug test

6. All this cascades down and screws up everything so there is a universal shortage

7. Unexpected events like the winter storm in TX made things worse since a lost of industries like petrochem and plastics are concentrated there.

8. China started ramping earlier due to handling COVID (allegedly) and their demand is sucking up a lot of the market

Fantastic explanation.
 

Pete Wrigley

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@DrBanneker

I was going to reach out to a manufacturer regarding a product I'm trying to create. A good chunk of this product is made out of a polycarbonate sheet.

Not sure if you would have insight and I can't think of how to phrase this question......but are materials like polycarbonate hard to get right now? Are there ways to find the cost for materials?
 

Asicz

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There are degrees in supply chain management but I wouldn't say it is necessary and is rarely required on job apps. If you are in college or looking to do a masters, go for it (I did my MBA concentrating in SCM). A good way is to start studying for one of the certifications that doesn't require work experience. The CPIM Certification doesn't require industry work experience and the even better CSCP certification only requires three years of general business experience or a CPIM.



Man I wish it would come though there have been people advocating that he was gay (no evidence one way or another; just he wasn't married)
Thanks for the reply breh.

On the Bannaker tangenr have you seen this narrarive (questionable) about his Grand Mother being a white woman named Mary Welsh who was a indentured servant in Maryland and purchased a slave and had child with him?

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&sou...FjANegQIGhAC&usg=AOvVaw1j8Ic15swCfvLzcnPiJzv1
 

Blessings

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Supply Chain cuts across all of business so a typical day is working with vendors based on company goals to manage supply including creating contracts, monitoring quality/on-time performance, or negotiating prices and new products. Some of the best experiences are developing new vendors, especially abroad, and dealing with how to set up a supply chain along with logistics to meet the needs of production, inventory, new product launches, etc.

It can be stressful and fast paced but you learn a lot and have to know a bit about finance, inventory management, logistics, international trade, legal contracts, and commodity markets.

Loving the supply chain talk.
Been apart of r/supplychain and a few supply chain Clubhouse groups
 

Blessings

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Oh, it's free:mjgrin:.

I was going to get that, my CLA, CSCP, PMP, and CPSM. The Sigma Six Black Belt was #1 on my list though.


Ah. That's one job that I'm looking at.


Just bachelor's...0 certs and earning over $150k
But work over 50 hours/week minimum + client facing when not working from home + high pressure
 

DrBanneker

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@DrBanneker

I was going to reach out to a manufacturer regarding a product I'm trying to create. A good chunk of this product is made out of a polycarbonate sheet.

Not sure if you would have insight and I can't think of how to phrase this question......but are materials like polycarbonate hard to get right now? Are there ways to find the cost for materials?

If you know the exact grade and thickness I can recommend some places you can ask. I don't buy much polycarbonate.
 

Vandelay

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Good thread, I should've expected more supply chain professionals on here as big as this site is.

@DrBanneker basically hit the nail on the head.

Supply chain is interesting because you see economic impacts before they trickle down to the common person.

I'm a logistics manager, but my role overlaps with a lot that is being said I here. I manage warehouses specifically, but I have direct relationships with our internal manufacturing plants, 3PMs, procurement, CSC, real estate, and planning groups.

I actually manage the pallet relationships for our NA supply chain. We use everything from white wood, to CHEP, to PECO, to IGPS plastic pallets. My company is actually one of the biggest purchasers of plastic pallets in the world.

Depending on the region we had contracted rates of 4.75 to 6.00 a pallet. We're paying double that on many shipments because our providers can't support the volumes that we are requesting. In some cases we are purchasing grade A heat treated pallets for domestic shipments, which is fukking absurd, but we have to do it because grade B refurbished are not available in the quantities we wanted.

For labor, most of our warehouse jobs pay $15-17 an hour. We're finding that not only is $20 not enough, but we have to pay sign-on bonuses of anywhere from $500-2000 dollars. In some cases, we have even had to pay to get people to interview.

For drivers/carriers, we have had to pay premiums for loads to be hauled, because carriers don't have enough drivers, and if you're a trucking company; like I said in the other thread; you're not going to turn down more money. So with your limited driver and equipment resources, not only can you charge a premium BUT you are being OFFERED a premium because we the customer have to get these loads out. Look at the DAT ratio. This is the amount of loads to available trucks. If the ratio gets too imbalanced, you will see significant price swings for shipments.

Don't even me started on warehouse space. I'm paying an extra $58k a month in Georgia for a building and most of it is sitting empty, because if we didn't get it, it was going to be gone and that would've affected upstream finished goods production because we have no where to put it.

Production capacity at our plants is 130% of their capacity and we still can't hit our forecasts, therefore we've pretty much blown all of our internal budgets and really at a position where we are shipping everything we can at all costs.

It's going to be wild for the remainder of the year at least. And all of it is going to trickle down to higher consumer prices unfortunately.
 
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