The past month, and especially the past few days as been the worst run of closest plays I've had in years.
Went 5/6 on two plays the other day for a +3800 and +4000 play. Ended up losing the final leg, and I couldn't really hedge due to the line changing.
Tonight might have been even worse. Had a +3700 and a +3900 tonight. Hit 5/6 on both plays. I took Klay for 13 points in one play........he ended up with 12. I was going to do what I usually do and take him for over 3 1/2 three point FG's, but I decided to take him for 13 points instead. Then my second play, I took Metcalf for over 58 1/2 receiving yards and he ended up with 55 receiving yards.
Don't worry, that's not all the pain. I took Flagg, Durant, and Kawhi for 10+ points scored in the first quarter. Flagg and Durant hit. Kawhi had seven points in the first three minutes and finished the quarter with seven points. That was a +12355 play.