Sam Hecht, Kansas State
What he is
A
technician with a “solid all-around” profile. NFL.com’s eval vibe is “not ideal mass/length, but technique gives him a chance,” and PFF content has him as a real draftable center who can climb boards with a strong process (Senior Bowl, pro day, etc.). (
NFL.com)
NFLDraftBuzz lists him with a
3rd-round projection and strong pass/run block percentiles in their profile view. (
NFL Draft Buzz)
Expected draft position (range)
- Most likely: late 2nd to 3rd round
- PFF 3-round mock slots him pick 55 (late 2nd) (PFF)
- NFLDraftBuzz: 3rd-round projection (NFL Draft Buzz)
- Floor: 4th if teams decide he’s more “safe depth” than “starter bet” (center value plus measurables can do that).
- Ceiling: mid 2nd if he tests well and interviews like a coach on the board.
Rookie year starter odds
- Week 1 starter: ~25 to 45%
- Starts by end of rookie year: ~45 to 65%
He reads like the guy teams are comfortable starting once they trust the strength and the calls.
NFL outcomes
- Ceiling: dependable multi-contract starter, occasional Pro Bowl alternate type if he lands on a high-functioning OL.
- Median: “starts 8 years, nobody outside OL nerds knows his name,” which is an extremely compliment-coded outcome for a center.
- Floor: valuable backup center, spot starter, interior swing.
“Valuable metrics” to watch
- Functional strength gains (mass + anchor).
- Mental processing and communication in preseason, especially against blitz looks.
- Recovery quickness after initial contact because that’s where length disadvantages show up. (NFL.com)
Logan Jones, Iowa
What he is
A high-accomplishment college center with real debate in the projection community.
Confirmed resume signal: He was named the
2025 Rimington Trophy winner (best center in college football), with Iowa and the Rimington Trophy site both detailing his season and leadership, plus a “no holding penalty” note in the official writeups. (
rimingtontrophy.com)
Projection tension: PFF’s big board writeup likes his feet and zone athleticism, but calls his arm length “outlier short,” which can shrink his margin for error in the NFL. (
PFF)
Brandon Thorn’s scouting blurb similarly frames him as a zone-oriented competitor with short-arms and play-strength limitations vs NFL DTs. (
Bleacher Report)
Expected draft position (range)
Jones is the widest range of the four because sources disagree on how the traits translate.
- Most likely: late 2nd to 4th
- Some mocks: 2nd round (around pick 51) (NFL Mock Draft Database)
- Others: 4th (around pick 118) (NFL Mock Draft Database)
- PFF big board placement is much lower (their written eval is still respectful, but the rank implies “Day 3-ish value”). (PFF)
- Ceiling: late 1st if a team buys the Iowa center pipeline and wants a culture setter, there are mocks doing exactly that. (Bolts From The Blue)
Rookie year starter odds
- Week 1 starter: ~30 to 50%
- Starts by end of rookie year: ~50 to 70%
The award and experience make him “ready,” but the physical matchups determine whether he sticks early.
NFL outcomes
- Ceiling: long-term starter in a zone-heavy run game, with Pro Bowl upside if he’s protected by scheme and surrounding OL talent.
- Median: solid starter or “strong side of a platoon,” especially if coaches can help him survive the length disadvantages.
- Floor: backup who is valuable for calls and IQ, but gets schemed at by long, explosive DTs.
“Valuable metrics” to watch
- Measured arm length and wingspan (this is the fulcrum of the debate). (PFF)
- Bench and lower-body power indicators (can he hold point vs NFL nose tackles).
- Pass-pro reps vs elite power in Senior Bowl style settings, and how often he loses first contact.
If you want a single “quick take” ranking for who is most likely to be an NFL starter
- Slaughter (scheme-friendly, fewer red flags) (PFF)
- Lew (highest ceiling, medical timing risk) (A to Z Sports)
- Hecht (starter path exists, depends on strength/anchor) (NFL.com)
- Jones (elite college resume, NFL trait translation is the argument) (rimingtontrophy.com)
ChatGPT analysis of the consensus top 4 Centers