538 has Cavs as a 10% shot to win the Finals.
Even Trump's chances were three times higher than that.
Curry and Durant have the last three MVPs, but if they play well then Lebron and Kyrie can offset them.
Think about that for a second - you have to START by having your best two players offset the last couple MVPs combined.
The question is, how the hell does the rest of the lineup outscore the Warriors? Love always gets dominated by Green, JR ain't nowhere near Klay's league, Iggy is a better two-way player than anyone on the Cavs' bench, and Livingston is a bigger matchup problem than anyone the Cavs got. Any offensively focused lineup the Cavs go with has to include some combination of Deron, Korver, Frye, or Love, all guys who SUCK at defense, while almost everyone on the Warriors plays both ways.
For the Cavs to win, you have to have the offense firing on all cylinders (meaning Lebron and Kyrie combining for 60+ AND multiple other guys stepping up), and then you have to shut down at least two of Golden State's big four without someone off the bench making up for the gap.
How many times ya'all really think that's going to happen?
Someone predicting a Cavs win give me the scoring averages for the series. Tell me how many points you think each player is going to average that somehow ends up with Cleveland outscoring Golden State.
