1 BTC = $8.2k, it’s up 735% this yr UPDATE 5/19: BTC @ $42k :damn:

Tres Leches

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Bitcoin cycle highs and lows (notice the diminishing returns in both directions)
  • 94% retracement from 2011 peak of $31
  • 86% retracement from 2013 peak of $1,100
  • 84% retracement from 2017 peak of $19,700
  • 78% retracement from 2021 peak of $68,900
  • ??% retracement from 2025 peak of $125,800 and counting
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next one probably somewhere between 60-70%
 

Koichos

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i'll take the under 5.5T but i hope im wrong :lolbron::manny:
May well be. I have my last order sitting at $150k but the possibility of that psychological barrier being too strong to crack is certainly looming.

next one probably somewhere between 60-70%
I’m looking at a conservative 70-ish percent by Q4 2026 with institutions front running a deeper retracement, but there’s also the historical phenomenon of BTC respecting its previous election day price (i.e., not dipping below it). So unless BTC can reach $225k, one of these will not remain true. Even at a mere 60%, $69k bottom means $175k top.

na i think BTC runs a little longer at least 2-3 more weeks maybe more
Agreed. I expect BTC to peak no later than November, if not by month’s end (which is also dominance’s most bullish month at a +5.65% average), giving ETH the greenlight.
 
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