1 BTC = $8.2k, it’s up 735% this yr UPDATE 5/19: BTC @ $42k :damn:

Tres Leches

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Bitcoin cycle highs and lows (notice the diminishing returns in both directions)
  • 94% retracement from 2011 peak of $31
  • 86% retracement from 2013 peak of $1,100
  • 84% retracement from 2017 peak of $19,700
  • 78% retracement from 2021 peak of $68,900
  • ??% retracement from 2025 peak of $125,800 and counting
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next one probably somewhere between 60-70%
 

Koichos

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i'll take the under 5.5T but i hope im wrong :lolbron::manny:
May well be. I have my last order sitting at $150k but the possibility of that psychological barrier being too strong to crack is certainly looming.

next one probably somewhere between 60-70%
I’m looking at a conservative 70-ish percent by Q4 2026 with institutions front running a deeper retracement, but there’s also the historical phenomenon of BTC respecting its previous election day price (i.e., not dipping below it). So unless BTC can reach $225k, one of these will not remain true. Even at a mere 60%, $69k bottom means $175k top.

na i think BTC runs a little longer at least 2-3 more weeks maybe more
Agreed. I expect BTC to peak no later than November, if not by month’s end (which is also dominance’s most bullish month at a +5.65% average), giving ETH the greenlight.
 

Gloxina

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Of course DYOR and spend your money wisely. I have no connection to this gentleman but I’m sharing him because a lot of the digging I did in relation to XRP started with him sharing the names of various professors, research, etc in the finance space and I also learned about a good meme coin from him.

Seems like they compiled a list of good meme coins and teach ppl the entire process of buying, swapping, which platforms, etc.

Anyone who is new to this stuff should still be able to make some money off meme coins at this stage.
I say it’s worth checking out only cuz I’ve been watching him for a minute.
Actually seems like a decent pastor trying to get ppl into the crypto space:

 

Gloxina

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May well be. I have my last order sitting at $150k but the possibility of that psychological barrier being too strong to crack is certainly looming.


I’m looking at a conservative 70-ish percent by Q4 2026 with institutions front running a deeper retracement, but there’s also the historical phenomenon of BTC respecting its previous election day price (i.e., not dipping below it). So unless BTC can reach $225k, one of these will not remain true. Even at a mere 60%, $69k bottom means $175k top.


Agreed. I expect BTC to peak no later than November, if not by month’s end (which is also dominance’s most bullish month at a +5.65% average), giving ETH the greenlight.
This is so exciting…
 
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