Because last season is IRRELEVANT. MVP typically goes to the best player on the best team [best record] - if the Warriors win less games than last season yet still finish as the #1 seed, Durant will probably be in the best position to win MVP.
You do realize that what is "typical" doesn't apply anymore when your team already got the #1 last year
without you even being on it.
You think so much of those Vegas odds, why weren't Durant/Curry the heavy favorites for MVP then, when those same odds show that everyone expected the Warriors to finish as the top seed?
i) He doesn't have better stats than other top candidates, which is why he'll need the #1 seed
ii) Stop referring to players from past seasons - he isn't competing against them. He's competing against the candidates this season.
You literally just referenced what typically happens in past seasons earlier in this comment, now are trying to claim that what happens in past seasons is irrelevant.
The Bulls only got one win more than the Spurs in 2011, yet Rose still won MVP with inferior stats to the other contenders. And the way the season narrative had been going it's likely he would have still had that MVP even if the Spurs had finished with one more win than the Bulls, because the Spurs didn't have a single dominant candidate like the Bulls did.
Lakers had nearly 10 fewer wins than the Celtics in 2008, Kobe still won MVP with inferior stats to Lebron and other candidates.
Suns weren't close to the 1-seed in 2006, Nash still won MVP with stats inferior to the other candidates.
You can't claim that the MVP is always going to rely on the #1 seed and the stats alone. The season narrative mattered. In part, Nash and Kobe and Rose won their MVPs due to things that had happened in previous seasons (Nash had won the last year and looked even better in 2006, Kobe was due) or in the offseason (Celtics were loaded by the creation of the superteam and everyone expected them on top, no one wanted to vote for Lebron due to the Decision).
Narratives matter to voters. That's been proven over and over. You're claiming that Curry being last year's MVP, the Warriors blowing it in the Finals, and Durant being added to a team that already won 73 games without him are all going to be irrelevant to MVP voting. That's ridiculous.
How about a ban bet. If Durant/Curry finish with the top seed and neither wins MVP, you'll disappear from this forum just as long as you did last year when the Warriors lost.
If the scenario as I stated happens (Cavs win the East, Durant/Curry both stay healthy, Spurs don't get the #1 seed behind a dominant Kawhi and Rockets/Thunder remain outside the top 2/3 spots), and Lebron doesn't win MVP, I'll disappear for that same length of time.