DonKnock Presents: Circumstances Advancing The 2nd Chance For This, Beloved [HOU v. GS] WCSF Thread

[Green Ranger]

Live look in Houston where Morey is already starting on his 200 page essay on how the Rockets weren't treated fairly

Wonder how nick wright is going to cop pleas for his guy Daryl Morey

 

[<<TheStandard>>]

The tragic thing about this Rockets game 6 loss is that it "looks" worse because Kevin Durant isn't playing but the Rockets actually had a better chance of winning this series if Kevin Durant played. The Rockets defense these past 2 years was designed to force KD Isolations which bog down the offense as opposed to the style ball movement which made GS famous but is harder to defend. Here's some numbers:
Via Second Spectrum the Warriors offense per 100 possessions this season (not just a narrative):
KD on court - 14.6 isolation plays, 307 passes
KD off court - 10.7 isolation plays, 356 passes


Golden State is now 30-4 in the last 3 seasons WITHOUT Kevin Durant.

I've spent a significant amount of my time over the past 3-4 trying to determine what a player is worth to the point spread in every situation. I've stressed this for years to people close to me but everything we've seen the past 3 years through the on/off numbers and on court impact has shown us that the betting markets have been wrong about Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving's impact to their individual teams (Warriors and Celtics, Cavs apply as well for Kyrie) for years. Both are incredible scorers whose absence to their current teams simply doesn't warrant a 3 or 4 point line move and yet for years I've watched the betting markets over adjust to their absence.

Although Kevin Durant was worth 4-5 points to OKC, to GS he's probably worth 1 point or so (depending on the opposing team-He'd be worth more against the 2016 Cavs for instance because it forces Lebron to have to guard another player and not play center field).


Oddsmakers had Houston laying -3 in Game 3, -1.5 in Game 4....and laying a whopping -7.5 in G6. My own personal math model using 2019 playoff numbers made Warriors 3.28 point underdogs.

 

[theGoldmangod]

As someone who isn't quiet about criticism of Kerr, I have to give it to him. Gutsy play from Klay and Steph but he deserves 51% of the credit on this. He had the bench playing their ass off for him tonight. Much fukking respect

 

[fifth column]

if KD isn't around to bail your boys out, y'all aint winning this series period.

you better hope he plays.

 

[Lord-Yosh]

That’s my waffle colored goat

aka Off ball isis aka the aerobic assasin aka Elian Gonzalez with the floater aka mr. pull up from 40 aka mr. triple teamed without the ball aka Wardell the gawd

Never wanna hear about these disgraceful ass fraud ass bum ass rockettes again

Steph the realest I told these nikkas after game 3 don't count out the assassin

 

[Gil Scott-Heroin]

oh my gawwwwd

This could not have ended any better :goatded::Lolmueller:

I win forever.

 

[dayun]

@dayun @G.O.A.T Squad Spokesman

We did it, boys

 

[Deep_Black_Conscious]

Then what

Then the Rockets are worthless.

 

[The G.O.D II]

Window is closed and this team is fukked. CP3 is washed and that contract is hideous. Good luck paying an old man who is slow as fukk and can’t grt by his defender 120 over the next three years. Clint Capela is an undersized deandre jordan who can’t score and apparently rebound anymore. Shut down by Draymond. Harden is the biggest choke artist ever. How many playoffs will we see him go ghost in the final minutes? Antoni still garbage. Rotations awful. Clint Capela getting 30 minutes doing shyt while Faried doesn’t see the floor. Same with Rivers/Green getting 25 minutes over Shumpert. Good luck. Money is sending his resume out now

 

[Lord Beasley]

I'm ecstatic that tunabeard lost.
I hope he loses MVP to GIannis too...

 

[theGoldmangod]

The tragic thing about this Rockets game 6 loss is that it "looks" worse because Kevin Durant isn't playing but the Rockets actually had a better chance of winning this series if Kevin Durant played. The Rockets defense these past 2 years was designed to force KD Isolations which bog down the offense as opposed to the style ball movement which made GS famous but is harder to defend. Here's some numbers:
Via Second Spectrum the Warriors offense per 100 possessions this season (not just a narrative):
KD on court - 14.6 isolation plays, 307 passes
KD off court - 10.7 isolation plays, 356 passes


Golden State is now 30-4 in the last 3 seasons WITHOUT Kevin Durant.

I've spent a significant amount of my time over the past 3-4 trying to determine what a player is worth to the point spread in every situation. I've stressed this for years to people close to me but everything we've seen the past 3 years through the on/off numbers and on court impact has shown us that the betting markets have been wrong about Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving's impact to their individual teams (Warriors and Celtics, Cavs apply as well for Kyrie) for years. Both are incredible scorers whose absence to their current teams simply doesn't warrant a 3 or 4 point line move and yet for years I've watched the betting markets over adjust to their absence.

Although Kevin Durant was worth 4-5 points to OKC, to GS he's probably worth 1 point or so (depending on the opposing team-He'd be worth more against the 2016 Cavs for instance because it forces Lebron to have to guard another player and not play center field).


Oddsmakers had Houston laying -3 in Game 3, -1.5 in Game 4....and laying a whopping -7.5 in G6. My own personal math model using 2019 playoff numbers made Warriors 3.28 point underdogs.

I am going to enjoy the desperate write ups from Bron fans/KD haters over the next couple of days. A gutsy win against a perennially choking team means KD is meaningless. Yeah ok.

Still won't change shyt

 

[Kairi Irving]

Westbrook check.
Harden check.
__________________

Not a Superstar list

 

[Redguard]

PJ Tucker deserve better than this ​

Suns would take him back but they have too many SF's already. Unless he can play PF next to Ayton.

 

[GunRanger]

Steph Curry threads that are about to be made after this game

 

[Deep_Black_Conscious]

Houston fans asked for this shyt

Not only did they bring it...they brought it to your front door

Nah breh they took a giant shyt on their bed.