DonKnock Presents: Circumstances Advancing The 2nd Chance For This, Beloved [HOU v. GS] WCSF Thread

Who Moves on to the WCF?


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Lord_Chief_Rocka

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Turning in my lebron stan card, fell like slapping the fukk out of lebron right now

That same team blocked you from getting 3 championships in this the shyt you type, I'm a Stephen curry fan from now on.

Bron...

1nhqil.jpg
 

John Reena

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Houston need a stretch 3 who can create his own shot BAD, Eric Gordon don’t need to start no more, Tucker don’t need to play starter minutes, Harden gotta tweak his game, D’Antoni gotta GOTTA make some adjustments with his offense
 

Cadillac

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The tragic thing about this Rockets game 6 loss is that it "looks" worse because Kevin Durant isn't playing but the Rockets actually had a better chance of winning this series if Kevin Durant played. The Rockets defense these past 2 years was designed to force KD Isolations which bog down the offense as opposed to the style ball movement which made GS famous but is harder to defend. Here's some numbers:
Via Second Spectrum the Warriors offense per 100 possessions this season (not just a narrative):
KD on court - 14.6 isolation plays, 307 passes
KD off court - 10.7 isolation plays, 356 passes


Golden State is now 30-4 in the last 3 seasons WITHOUT Kevin Durant.

I've spent a significant amount of my time over the past 3-4 trying to determine what a player is worth to the point spread in every situation. I've stressed this for years to people close to me but everything we've seen the past 3 years through the on/off numbers and on court impact has shown us that the betting markets have been wrong about Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving's impact to their individual teams (Warriors and Celtics, Cavs apply as well for Kyrie) for years. Both are incredible scorers whose absence to their current teams simply doesn't warrant a 3 or 4 point line move and yet for years I've watched the betting markets over adjust to their absence.

Although Kevin Durant was worth 4-5 points to OKC, to GS he's probably worth 1 point or so (depending on the opposing team-He'd be worth more against the 2016 Cavs for instance because it forces Lebron to have to guard another player and not play center field).


Oddsmakers had Houston laying -3 in Game 3, -1.5 in Game 4....and laying a whopping -7.5 in G6. My own personal math model using 2019 playoff numbers made Warriors 3.28 point underdogs.


warriors.jpg
I should have placed a bet on this
 

Houston911

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@Houston911

Blame Capella?

Harden missed five free throws

Turned the ball over on that stupid offensive foul push off on draymond for no reason

Couldn’t even complete an inbounds pass

Those two plays cost them the game both by harden

Yeah harden didn’t have a sense of urgency and he smoked a ton of fts

But Capela looked like he didn’t even wanna be there

Embarrassing performance

If he plays half as good as looney the rockets win
 

DredScott

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I didn't think GS would win without KD but I was wrong.

Shoulda known better than to think dantoni wouldn't get outcoached and continue to prove that he doesn't know what the word adjustment means nor does he know how to motivate a team...feel bad for pj playing so hard and nobody on the team matching up with his effort.

Props to the warriors showing up and playing hard all 48, you deserved to win and earned it. Hate you motherfukkers but y'all did it.
 

AlainLocke

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Houston need a stretch 3 who can create his own shot BAD, Eric Gordon don’t need to start no more, Tucker don’t need to play starter minutes, Harden gotta tweak his game, D’Antoni gotta GOTTA make some adjustments with his offense

Honestly, the Warriors are just more talented than the Rockets.

The Warriors got two of the best shooters ever, with a DPOY PF and one of the best perimeter defenders and Olympian and then they added one of the best scorers ever.

And the Rockets are supposed to be beat them with James Harden and CP3 and some rag tag guys.

D'Antoni's offensive system is fine and maximizes the talent. They had the number 1 offense this year with Chris Paul being out and no real guards that can create their own shot beside James Harden

The defense is fine and was the number 1 defense this year after the all star break.

The Rockets just not better than them no matter how you slice it and really shouldn't even be a contest but the Warriors struggle with them due to the Rockets defensive and offensive scheme.
There's nothing the Rockets could realistically do besides praying that KD leaves so it can be a little more fair.

You can't adjust for somebody that is just better than you.
 
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