Ethiopia and Eritrea agree to restore relations

[Karb]

I just need Ethiopia and a united Somalia to come to an accords about the Ogaden

Then I'll plant my banana farm by the Jubba river

I hope I live to see this vision realized

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

I hope I live to see this vision realized

I think things are moving that way. I see Somalia, Somaliland and Puntland entering some type of confederation in the future with a Swiss or EU type of set-up. I think your people are tired of war.

 

[JDH]

I just need Ethiopia and a united Somalia to come to an accords about the Ogaden

Then I'll plant my banana farm by the Jubba river

They just started to extract oil in Ogaden last month. Somalis never getting that shyt back lol

 

[BigMan]

INJERA!!!

Sucks

 

[Karb]

They just started to extract oil in Ogaden last month. Somalis never getting that shyt back lol

If the oil wealth isn't fairly distributed and benefits the locals, Ethiopia will never rest

No matter who controls Ogaden.

 

[Karb]

I think things are moving that way. I see Somalia, Somaliland and Puntland entering some type of confederation in the future with a Swiss or EU type of set-up. I think your people are tired of war.

Nah

We still fighting over dusty villages. The old crop of politicians/generals from the Barre era needs to die off.

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

Nah

We still fighting over dusty villages. The old crop of politicians/generals from the Barre era needs to die off.

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

If the oil wealth isn't fairly distributed and benefits the locals, Ethiopia will never rest

No matter who controls Ogaden.

Regional resource control is always best in federalism.

 

[2Quik4UHoes]

This move proves to me more than anything that Abiy is not window dressing but a personification of an internal coup in Ethiopia. The OPDO really does run the show in EPRDF and Ethiopia now. There is no way a TPLF stooge would sign off on this. Unlike for TPLF, the Eritrea conflict holds little personal or territorial value for Oromos, so the negative repercussions of a a reapprochement far exceed the positives.

The drivers of the internal coup and the rapid reforms were political instability and economic malaise, including much reduced foreign investment. Abiy seems to be slowly reversing this, particularly with Oromos but there remains heavy instability in the hinterlands. If he is to truly save his own party and the country from further upheaval, he will need to seriously address it. Nonetheless, he is definitely the boldest leader the region has seen in a very long time and it’s an exciting time with new possibilities that were unimaginable weeks ago.

It could be that. But I’ve come to look at the TPLF as a very cunning group generally. To me, this situation benefits both them and Isaias as well. There was increasing pressure from the diaspora to get rid of Isaias while the political unrest threatened to bring wholesale change in government.

In a weird way, this could be a way for both sides to prolong their stay in power. The Ethiopian side of this of course is more intriguing, but I don’t think Abiy is going to bring the true fundamental change Ethiopians need because the people have already crowned him in their hearts anyway.

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

It could be that. But I’ve come to look at the TPLF as a very cunning group generally. To me, this situation benefits both them and Isaias as well. There was increasing pressure from the diaspora to get rid of Isaias while the political unrest threatened to bring wholesale change in government.

In a weird way, this could be a way for both sides to prolong their stay in power. The Ethiopian side of this of course is more intriguing, but I don’t think Abiy is going to bring the true fundamental change Ethiopians need because the people have already crowned him in their hearts anyway.

What about the Oromo faction of the EPRDF? Surely, they'll gain more influence within the Ethiopian state?

 

[2Quik4UHoes]

That means absolutely nothing when it comes to having “boarders”

Have you seen the way Mexicans treat other mestizos who illegally enter Mexico?

Or how Bahamanians treat Haitians?

The thing is Eritreans are refugees in Ethiopia by politics only. Other than that they’re practically one of us from the split family ties to the commonalities in Culture. Only when things became hostile did both sides deport each other’s citizens. The political differences are just that strong though, especially after years of separation. It’s going to be really interesting when we start talking because there’s a lot that’s still not agreed upon.

 

[AB Ziggy]

Ethiopia has outfoxed Egypt. Sudan and Ethiopia have good relations now. Ethiopia and Eritrea have made peace. The government in Mogadishu and Ethiopia have mutual interests. Somaliland wants to be a port for Ethiopia's exports and imports. Djibouti is reaping tons of benefits from its trade relationship with Ethiopia. Is Egypt going to try and flip South Sudan?

Amazing that Ethiopia just turned itself into the primary allied powerhouse of East Africa with no shots fired. Egypt would be a fool to try and get at Ethiopia now

 

[thatrapsfan]

It could be that. But I’ve come to look at the TPLF as a very cunning group generally. To me, this situation benefits both them and Isaias as well. There was increasing pressure from the diaspora to get rid of Isaias while the political unrest threatened to bring wholesale change in government.

In a weird way, this could be a way for both sides to prolong their stay in power. The Ethiopian side of this of course is more intriguing, but I don’t think Abiy is going to bring the true fundamental change Ethiopians need because the people have already crowned him in their hearts anyway.

They are cunning, but I cant buy the idea they are pulling strings in the background. T

heir partisans, media, supporters etc are all very angry about Abiy and I cant see this being part of some huge ruse. The new chairman of TPLF wasnt even invited to the Eritrea trip. I agree that this will likely serve to preserve EPRDF rule, but I maintain that the OPDO are running the ship now.

 

[AB Ziggy]

The thing is Eritreans are refugees in Ethiopia by politics only. Other than that they’re practically one of us from the split family ties to the commonalities in Culture. Only when things became hostile did both sides deport each other’s citizens. The political differences are just that strong though, especially after years of separation. It’s going to be really interesting when we start talking because there’s a lot that’s still not agreed upon.

Do you see any annexation possible in the future to reunite the seperated the families after all these years? Eritirea would benefit heavily from Ethiopia's resources.

 

[The Odum of Ala Igbo]

Amazing that Ethiopia just turned itself into the primary allied powerhouse of East Africa with no shots fired. Egypt would be a fool to try and get at Ethiopia now

Perhaps this was inevitable given Ethiopia's geographic positioning, it's population size and its natural resources such as hydroelectricity. If I'm a EPRDF grand-strategist in Addis Ababa, I must be thinking "What's next?" after solving the foreign exchange crisis through gradual privatization?

What does the regime want aside from stability?